Folk 17/05

[dontbegreat]

Tip Detail

Sport	Horse Racing
Event	5:55 Folk
Selection	The Grey Baron (Each-Way)
Strength	5/10
Date	17/05/2007
Bookmaker/Price	Bet365 @ 9.00 (Back)
Reasoning	5:55 Folk The Grey Baron Good price even with the outing LTO with that 2nd place finish when top weight with 12-0. Able to stay the closest to the 4/5F LTO when just 6L back and 3rd place 7 back of TGB. The jockey is very inexperienced but at the track it is most experienced at. The jockey at Folkstone has 2 wins from 3 starts (2 wins from 5 for overall career). Both wins came when paired with Honourable Spider, the horse TGB finished 2nd to.

Tip Detail

Sport	Horse Racing
Event	6:25 Folk
Selection	Spanish Point (Each-Way)
Strength	5/10
Date	17/05/2007
Bookmaker/Price	Blue Square @ 6.50 (Back)
Reasoning	6:25 Folk Spanish Point Definite place prospect by the look of the rivals form (PU.PU.PU.4.0.PU.F.PU.PU.debut). Spanish Point finished 2nd LTO and been ran for Class 3 events for the last two. Those last two was from 2004 and not been out under rules since then. This track is where the jockey for today has the most experience. 4 wins from 18 starts, all chases, zero wins from 14 other starts anywhere else. The trainer also has the most experiece for her career here. 4 wins from 23 starts, all chases, zero wins from 27 other starts anywhere else.

Tip Detail

Sport	Horse Racing
Event	7:25 Folk (Bet365 BOG)
Selection	Glacial Evening (Each-Way)
Strength	5/10
Date	17/05/2007
Bookmaker/Price	Bet365 @ 6.00 (Back)
Reasoning	7:25 Folk Glacial Evening Had a good streak towards the last time it was seen. Went 2.2.3 from 3 of the last 5 it raced from 17Oct05 to 22Apr06. From Rp Spotlight "did come back from a year off with a hard-fought win over an extended 4m2f in a Kingston Blount open race last month and, provided he can hold it together at the fences, big run is entirely possible."

Tip Detail

Sport	Horse Racing
Event	7:55 Folk
Selection	No Reward
Strength	10/10
Date	17/05/2007
Bookmaker/Price	Stan James @ 3.50 (Back)
Reasoning	7:55 Folk No Reward Been out twice this year (out since 24May06) for a 5th and 6th palce finish. The last event was at Cheltenham with 14 others running. Should find this track easier to run on and have a good day. Been here 3 times for 4.UR.4. The two 4th placeers here are the best finish it ever ended up with. This track is where the jockey for today has the most experience. 4 wins from 18 starts, all chases, zero wins from 14 other starts anywhere else. The trainer also has the most experiece for her career here. 4 wins from 23 starts, all chases, zero wins from 27 other starts anywhere else.

Tip Detail

Sport	Horse Racing
Event	8:25 Folk
Selection	Jewel Song (Each-Way)
Strength	3/10
Date	17/05/2007
Bookmaker/Price	Sportingodds @ 15.00 (Back)
Reasoning	8:25 Folk Jewel Song Did not stay as close to the winner LTO compare to the prior race. But, LTO was at Cheltenham and was able to stay 14L behind the winner. The debut was here for 2nd place just 1 1/4L behind the winner. Having the same jockey from last time will help. LTO had the more favored runners in the market ahead (5/4, 3/1, 9/1, 9/2 was 1.2.3.4) but should be able to make a good effort if able to produce the race from 15 days ago.

[thomo14]

Re: Folk 17/05

Tip Detail

Sport	Horse Racing
Event	5:55 Folk
Selection	The Grey Baron (Each-Way)
Strength	5/10
Date	17/05/2007
Bookmaker/Price	Bet365 @ 9.00 (Back)
Reasoning	5:55 Folk The Grey Baron Good price even with the outing LTO with that 2nd place finish when top weight with 12-0. Able to stay the closest to the 4/5F LTO when just 6L back and 3rd place 7 back of TGB. The jockey is very inexperienced but at the track it is most experienced at. The jockey at Folkstone has 2 wins from 3 starts (2 wins from 5 for overall career). Both wins came when paired with Honourable Spider, the horse TGB finished 2nd to.
Well done 13/2 winner backed in from 8s :clap :clap :clap :window.close()'>