Fontwell 16/5

[dontbegreat]

Tip Detail

Sport	Horse Racing
Event	2:35 Font
Selection	Count Kristo (Each-Way)
Strength	3/10
Date	16/05/2007
Bookmaker/Price	Ladbrokes @ 13.00 (Back)
Reasoning	2:35 Font Count Kristo Currently on its best 4 race streak from a career of 17 starts. The last 4 have been for 5.5.2.3 and all of them since having current jockey on board. Being inconsistent prior to having Tom Siddall for jockey shows it has a good chance to continue on the 5523 form. The mistakes made from the last 4 should give plenty of lessons to learn from. I think it's forecast is too high at 12/1. The 9 rivals have two that was able to finish 2nd LTO and the rest are 0.7.6.6.4.F.5 The rivals have shown plenty they know how to not win and the way Count Kristo's form had changed since paired with Tom Siddall should be considred.

Tip Detail

Sport	Horse Racing
Event	2:35 Font
Selection	I'm Lovin It (Each-Way)
Strength	5/10
Date	16/05/2007
Bookmaker/Price	Bet365 @ 9.00 (Back)
Reasoning	2:35 Font I'm Lovin It One of the two from the field of 10 to finish 2nd LTO. Overall LTO form from the rivals is 2.0.7.6.6.4.F.3.5. The last three this one raced were good for 2nd place. Will have the same jockey from LTO and that helps because that was at this track. The last 4 it ran are all its Chase experience (5.2.UR.2). Three of the last 4 was here (5.2.2). The worst finish from the last 4 was the 'Unseated Rider' two events ago where it had the lead by 6 lenghts until 2 out. Been showing plenty more over fences compare to its hurdling career.

[dontbegreat]

Re: Fontwell 16/5

Tip Detail

Sport	Horse Racing
Event	4:15 Font (Bet 365 BOG)
Selection	Island Light
Strength	10/10
Date	16/05/2007
Bookmaker/Price	Bet365 @ 4.33 (Back)
Reasoning	4:15 Font Island Light Currently joint favorite in the market and deserves to be there. Last two ahve been at Ludlow for 1st and 4th but that was last year (Oct and Dec). Even with that much days off it is well capable of getting this event. The trainer has 5 wins from 29 that ran here over hurdles and that is good for a tie for most wins on any course when it comes to hurdles - (Ludlow & Plumton also has 5 wins on hurdles). Jockey has 7 wins from 27 hurdles here. This is the track where the jockey has the most Hurdle wins & tied for most wins from any track along with Stratford with 10.

Tip Detail

Sport	Horse Racing
Event	4:15 Font (Bet365 BOG)
Selection	Josear (Each-Way)
Strength	3/10
Date	16/05/2007
Bookmaker/Price	Bet365 @ 15.00 (Back)
Reasoning	4:15 Font Josear Too high of a price and it is very generous around 14/1. Been able to finish 3rd or better in 8 of the 15 hurdle runnings. LTO was with the jockey today and that good for 4th, behind by just 7L. I think it still has room to improve with it being consistent with the results. It is untested from the distance needed to travel today but its experience will help alot. It is one of two 5yo's set to race and this being only the 2nd race this year should have this well rested and well trained.

Tip Detail

Sport	Horse Racing
Event	4:45 Font (Bet365 BOG)
Selection	Shekel
Strength	10/10
Date	16/05/2007
Bookmaker/Price	Bet365 @ 2.50 (Back)
Reasoning	4:45 Font Shekel Very unlucky LTo that had a 2/1 and 11/8F to go up against. It was going well until a saddle slip over 2f out and the rider being unseated over 1f out while in the lead 3f out. Will be hard to out run if able to go in same fashion. I think it can being the result of the loss is due too the saddle. Been out for 188 days but these races are taken seriously by the yard and they have Timmy Murphy today.