Punchestown ~ 27/04/07

[mowgli77]

Selections Here Please :ok

Sport	Horse Racing
Event	4.05 Punchestown
Selection	Macs Joy (Best Odds Guaranteed)
Strength	10/10
Date	27/04/2007
Bookmaker/Price	Bet365 @ SP (Back)
Reasoning	Won this last year in classy style and has not had the long, hard season that others have had. Not running at Cheltenham could be a bonus and when 2nd lto it was given a tame ride once Newmill had gone past it and it was on heavy ground. Had a recent run on the flat just to put it spot on for today and the way it travelled smoothly last year makes me think it can repeat that win. I fancied this for Cheltenham only for it to be a non runner and think it could be worth following next year, has all the right credentials, course, distance, ground and fitness. Short price but might be even shorter by race time if the Irish money gets piled on. If Hardy Eustace goes off too fast like it did at Cheltenham it will set the race up perfectly for Macs Joy with Hardy likely to be in behind.

Sport	Horse Racing
Event	4.05 Punchestown
Selection	Hardy Eustace (Best Odds Guaranteed) (Each-Way)
Strength	5/10
Date	27/04/2007
Bookmaker/Price	Bet365 @ SP (Back)
Reasoning	BOG for every race until August This race might depend on if Hardy gets to the front and how it dictates the pace of the race. Mighty Man is likely to travel well off a strong pace but trainer and jockey have acknowledged that they went off too fast at Cheltenham but were still beaten fair and square. Proven Group 1 horse, likes this good ground, has some top class form and ran with credit lto at Cheltenham. Course and Distance winner and you always get a run for your money, managed to outbattle Brave Inca in January, stayed on well over the trip and looked in good heart. Might drift to a decent ew price, expected to be around 4-1.