Sandown ~ 27/04/07

[mowgli77]

Selections here please :ok

Sport	Horse Racing
Event	1.45 Sandown
Selection	Notnowcato (Best Odds Guaranteed)
Strength	6/10
Date	27/04/2007
Bookmaker/Price	Bet365 @ SP (Back)
Reasoning	BOG on every race until August Looks to me to be the classiest horse in the field and is a course and distance and group 1 winner. Rallied to win when headed at York over this distance, showing good attitude to win that Gp1 race. Has not won on good (but only had 1 run on good)but has won on good to firm and good to soft. Has won Gp3 races readily including its seasonal debut in April last year. Has to concede weight (penalty) and could be challenged by Art Deco with a 7lb advantage at a big price.

Sport	Horse Racing
Event	1.45 Sandown
Selection	Art Deco (BOG) (Each-Way)
Strength	5/10
Date	27/04/2007
Bookmaker/Price	Bet365 @ SP (Back)
Reasoning	BOG on every race until August Has won over this trip in game fashion in a Gp3 race and won at this course on its debut. Is fairly lightly raced compared to some of these and has been unlucky in two Gp1 races in France, just fading over longer trips and more likely to be suited by this step back in trip. Has the highest topspeed rating including for the course and distance. Not convinced by Mountian High or Red Rocks and think this is a cracking value ew bet at around 11-1, if that is the price it goes off at.

Sport	Horse Racing
Event	4.35 Sandown
Selection	Silkwood (Best Odds Guaranteed) (Each-Way)
Strength	5/10
Date	27/04/2007
Bookmaker/Price	Bet365 @ SP (Back)
Reasoning	BOG on every race until August Silkwood caught the eye in the paddock at the PL day at Wolverhampton and was well fancied that day and won well, beating Reciprocation and Man Of Vision. Reciprocation has been disappointing since but Man Of Vision has won and boosted form. That horse beat Serengeti which won last week, boosting form once more, making it look even more solid. Won over 1m but was running on and got 2nd place when upped to 1m2f lto, beaten by Zar Solitario (dead heat winner since). Slight concern that it has not run on turf but holds an Oaks entry, clearly well thought of and the horse with the form. I see this and Salaasa fighting out the finish but unsure what price this will go off at, was heavily backed lto when beaten at odds on. Good pedigree and good trainer.

Sport	Horse Racing
Event	4.35 Sandown
Selection	Salaasa (Best Odds Guaranteed) (Each-Way)
Strength	5/10
Date	27/04/2007
Bookmaker/Price	Bet365 @ SP (Back)
Reasoning	Bet365 now go best odds guaranteed on every horse race until August. Made its debut over 1 mile and got outpaced last furlong, mainly due to inexperience and lack of racing/fitness. Improved again to take 2nd at Musselburgh but ran green and needed racing experience. Was noted as likely to win a few races. Last time out at Pontefract it travelled really well but the response when asked to go on was great. Pricked its ears, head down and quickened away from the opposition including Veracity (from Jarvis' yard) which won the other day to boost the form although the other horses behind were nothing special. It looked like it really wanted to win and I was impressed with the way it quickened and the attitude shown for an inexperienced 3 yr old. Eased down at the line, had plenty in the tank and that was over this distance and on good ground. Expected SP is around 8-1, anything over 4-1 will be massive value for a big ew bet and I feel the horse could be a potential group horse in a handicap despite others holding fancy entries (Oaks and Dante). Richard Hills was on board lto and gave it a great ride and Johnstone won this race in 2005 and 2006.