Eurobasket Fri 23/2

[expert]

The eurobasket thread goes on...as im the only one posting in atm, let me add the current record (posted) 7-4 (63%)..much better atweird leagues... Todays picks:

Sport	Euro Basketball
Event	Zeleznik FMP vs. Zadar
Selection	Zeleznik FMP -7
Strength	10/10
Date	23/02/2007
Bookmaker/Price	10bet @ 1.87 (Back)
Reasoning	FMP imo to strong ATM for the Zadar team which is in a slump with 5 straight defeats, they only won their last match at home vs. bad Split team this season (2-19) with 21 points margin. FMP also have strong revenge motivation in this match as they were beaten by Zadar in first game this season away with 19 pts.

Sport	Euro Basketball
Event	Nevezis Kedainiai v Tartu Rock
Selection	Tartu Rock
Strength	10/10
Date	23/02/2007
Bookmaker/Price	10bet @ 1.91 (Back)
Reasoning	Mistake in line on the 10bet page! they have ML for Rock valued at 1.91 and zhe spread of -1 for the same team only at 1.89...AT expekt the ML for Rock is only 1.71...glad to take that offer. Anyway cant see, Nevezis taking anything from the Tantu team..theyre still unbeaten and also won their first h2h with 9 points when playing at home. Jome team also struggling against weaker opponents and winning games with small margins, and two rounds ago they even lost with Alus away with 20 points margin

Sport	Euro Basketball
Event	Nevezis Kedainiai v Tartu Rock
Selection	Under 162.5
Strength	10/10
Date	23/02/2007
Bookmaker/Price	10bet @ 1.87 (Back)
Reasoning	If my calculations are right this line is off by at least 5 points, really cant see the totals reaching 160 mark. Nevezis fond of playing games where the score is around 153-157 points in totals. Sure the stats shows the different picture, but this is a derby between 1st and 2nd placed team...anyway the first game had the totals of 157 points and imo this line is too high.

Sport	Euro Basketball
Event	Lacplesa Alus vs. BC Kalev Cramo
Selection	Lacplesa Alus -3
Strength	10/10
Date	23/02/2007
Bookmaker/Price	10bet @ 1.87 (Back)
Reasoning	IMO a tight game, but two teams in different form. Alus have starter playing great defense after a bad start of the season, and have now also won 4 in a row - also a home game vs. 5-2 Nevezis with 20 point margin in a game where they allowed only 68 to them. Kalev on the other hand still with only 2 defeats and theyve won 1st game vs. Alus with 25 points...but as i said much better defence for Alus now. Cant see other than home win in a low scoring game. Anyway other books have Alus already on -4 with lower odds.

Sport	Euro Basketball
Event	Khimky Moscow Region v Unics Kazan
Selection	Khimky Moscow Region -3
Strength	10/10
Date	23/02/2007
Bookmaker/Price	10bet @ 1.89 (Back)
Reasoning	Simply cant this game go by without a punt as Khymki are in great form and are fresh out of beatin the powerhouse of eurobasketball CSKA Moscow at home with 1 point..and they also beat Dyanmo Moscow when playing home with 14 points - both games played in february. Unics did have won a game at home confidently with 8 points, but in that match Khimky had a really bad 10 minutes when they lost the 3rd quarter by eleven and allowed the home team to decide the match. Khymki also with great home record - only one defeat vs. Dynamo Moscow in november wehen they lost with 5 points.

Sport	Euro Basketball
Event	Gambrinus v Spartak Moscow Region
Selection	Gambrinus -3
Strength	10/10
Date	23/02/2007
Bookmaker/Price	Bet365 @ 1.83 (Back)
Reasoning	Great odds for the Gambrinus to seal the 1/2 final qualification on their home court. The Czechs win the first match in Russia three days ago with 15 points, with great performance by Viteckova who had 33 points with 3 points shooting of 7/11. I was thinking of backing the Russians as they are pretty strong away, but the stats showin that Czech team has 16 TO compared to Russians 8, and they still won the game confidently...add to this the 15-7 in assists for the Czech i really cant see Russian soming and winning this match..Far to dominant A-T ratio for the Czechs

Sport	Euro Basketball
Event	MKB Euroleasing v CSKA Moscow
Selection	MKB Euroleasing +6
Strength	10/10
Date	23/02/2007
Bookmaker/Price	Bet365 @ 1.83 (Back)
Reasoning	Second game clash in the women EL quarters. CSKA won first match at home with 13 points difference, but they only did that because of great 10-2 run in the third period, as the ht score was 33-32. I see MKB as a great home team, with only one loss in the whole season (they also beat TEO Vilnus at home) and IMO they can win this match SU, but the 6 points spread is a lot and im willing to take it. IMO a very close match which will be decided in the last quarter.

[expert]

Re: Eurobasket Fri 23/2 Khimky Moscow Region v Unics Kazan Selection Khimky Moscow Region –3

FT 113-80 WIN Nevezis Kedainiai v Tartu Rock Selection Tartu Rock

FT 74-66 LOST Nevezis Kedainiai v Tartu Rock Selection Under 162.5

FT 74-66 WIN Gambrinus v Spartak Moscow Region Selection Gambrinus -3 FT 63-81 LOST MKB Euroleasing v CSKA Moscow Selection MKB Euroleasing +6

63-75 LOST

Zeleznik FMP vs. Zadar Selection Zeleznik FMP –7

105-84 WIN Lacplesa Alus vs. BC Kalev Cramo SelectionLacplesa Alus –3

FT 72-73 LOST So a 3-4 day and a loss of 3.7 points, chick basketball completely screwed me and also in BBL some funny results, Tarut loosing for the first time this season...that gives now a ytd of 10-8 (55%)...big weekend in basketball Europe and for sure i will have a nibble