Eurobasket Tue 20/2

[expert]

Sport	Euro Basketball
Event	Rock Tartu v Atletas Kaunas
Selection	Over 167
Strength	10/10
Date	20/02/2007
Bookmaker/Price	10bet @ 1.87 (Back)
Reasoning	a new teritory for me...hit one yesterday, but didnt post it, spreading my betting after the break...imo its good to look for wrong lines and trying to pick some winners... OK, this one from Baltic Basketball league Division II. Looking at the stats, this one looks easy to cover. Rock the favs avg over 97 PPG and allowing 78 OPPG, while Atletas avg 77 PPG and 92 OPPG away, so both averages over the todays limit. Teams met three times this season and, every time the result was over todays limit. Cant see today being anything deifferent Kaunas Atletas 94:79 Tartu Rock (173 pts) Tartu Rock 106:69 Kaunas Atletas (175 pts) Kaunas Atletas 91:94 Tartu Rock (185 pts) For the picking purposes im giving this one 7/10..but in RL im playing it on flat bet..so the pick is valued on 10/10....

Sport	Euro Basketball
Event	Dijon vs. Kalev
Selection	Kalev +10
Strength	10/10
Date	20/02/2007
Bookmaker/Price	10bet @ 1.87 (Back)
Reasoning	The clash of the worst teams in this group, Dijon with only one win - against Kalev in Talin (75-74) and the later team still winless...IMO they will end their European campaign with zero wins, but the spread is just to big - the teams are evenly balanced which was shown also in the first game they played. Also Dijon two recent defeats with 16pts at home to Virtus and 34 pts defeat away to Girona do give more confidence that this game should be a close one For the picking purposes im giving this one 6/10..but in RL im playing it on flat bet..so the pick is valued on 10/10....

Sport	Euro Basketball
Event	Marousi Honda vs. Dynamo Moscow Region
Selection	Dynamo Moscow Region to win and Under 144.5
Strength	10/10
Date	20/02/2007
Bookmaker/Price	10bet @ 1.44 (Back)
Reasoning	Its a must win for Dynamo. They are tied with 3w and 2 defeats with Riga and are facing an opponent who have no chance in qualifying for the quarters from this group - Maroussi who is on 0-5 record in this group. They have done the first assingment great as they beat first placed Azovmash at home with 68-51 - after almost crucial away defeat to Riga 68-63 two weeks ago and are now facing Maroussi who have no motive for todays game second time in a month - they won the first match confidently 63-54. I will be also adding the under bet in this one, as the away team last three games were all based around goo defending - allowed 54, 68, 51 points in last three, and the totals are set on 144.5 Strenghts: win 10/10 under 10/10

Sport	Euro Basketball
Event	Turk Telekom vs. Lokomotiv Rostov
Selection	Over 147
Strength	10/10
Date	20/02/2007
Bookmaker/Price	10bet @ 1.87 (Back)
Reasoning	Turks are already qualified to quarters and can enjoy the last group game with no stress. But they have something to prove, and that is revenge for their defeat to Rostov from month ago, when they were beaten with 83-72. Home team rarely scores less than 80 PPG and they are even more generous at scoring when playing at home, their current home totals are 179; 165; 157; 152; 155 pts, so all scores at least 5 points over todays totals Away team Rostov is more prone of playing low scoring games, but looking at the game these two last meet - it was the highrest scoring game for them, so it must be something with the Turks that they can enforce their style of play to other teams. IMO a mid 150s game this one. For the picking purposes im giving this one 7/10..but in RL im playing it on flat bet..so the pick is valued on 10/10....

[expert]

Re: Eurobasket Tue 20/2 oh my god...this is the topscorer for Rock Tartu team...the bet is lost:lol:lol