Pinnacle line middling

[Player]

Friday, February 23 (Day 5) - Round 1 Thread 1 Game: NCAAB: Columbia @ Brown, 7:00 PM EST Bet 15: 1.3 units: Columbia +5 -132 Bet 16: 1.3 units: Brown -3 -125 Thread 2 Game: NCAAB: Princeton @ Dartmouth, 7:00 PM EST Bet 15: 1.3 units: Princeton pk -117 Bet 16: 1.3 units: Dartmouth +2.5 -131 Thread 3 Game: NCAAB: Pennsylvania @ Harvard, 7:00 PM EST Bet 15: 1.3 units: Pennsylvania -9 -128 Bet 16: 1.3 units: Harvard +11 -127 Total out = 7.8 units

[Player]

Friday, February 23 (Day 5) - Round 2 Thread 1 Game: NBA: Memphis @ Portland, 10.00 PM EST Bet 17: 1.3 units: Memphis +4.5 -115 Bet 18: 1.3 units: Portland -2.5 -132

[Player]

Friday, February 23 (Day 5) - Round 2 Thread 2 Game: NBA: Utah @ Denver, 10:30 PM EST Bet 17: 1.3 units: Utah +5.5 -115 Bet 18: 1.3 units: Denver -3.5 -134 Thread 3 Game: NBA: Boston @ LA Lakers, 10;30 PM EST Bet 17: 1.3 units: Boston +9 -125 Bet 18: 1.3 units: LA Lakers -7 -130

[Player]

Friday, February 23 - Round 1 Results Thread 1 Columbia @ Brown 59-64 Bet 15: 1.3 units: Columbia +5 -132 PUSH! Bet 16: 1.3 units: Brown -3 -125 WINNER! W = 1.04 units Thread 2 Princeton @ Dartmouth 43-53 Bet 15: 1.3 units: Princeton pk -117 LOSER! Bet 16: 1.3 units: Dartmouth +2.5 -131 WINNER! W = 0.992 units Thread 3 Pennsylvania @ Harvard 83-67 Bet 15: 1.3 units: Pennsylvania -9 -128 WINNER! W = 1.016 units Bet 16: 1.3 units: Harvard +11 -127 LOSER!

[Player]

Friday, February 23 - Round 2 Results Thread 1 Memphis @ Portland 103-102 Bet 17: 1.3 units: Memphis +4.5 -115 WINNER! W = 1.130 units Bet 18: 1.3 units: Portland -2.5 -132 LOSER! Thread 2 Utah @ Denver 114-104 Bet 17: 1.3 units: Utah +5.5 -115 WINNER! W = 1.130 units Bet 18: 1.3 units: Denver -3.5 -134 LOSER! Thread 3 Boston @ LA Lakers 96-122 Bet 17: 1.3 units: Boston +9 -125 LOSER! Bet 18: 1.3 units: LA Lakers -7 -130 WINNER! W = 1.00 units

[Player]

Friday's totals Friday's totals: Bets = 12, Won = 6, Lost =5, Push =1 Bankroll = -0.192 units

[Player]

Re: Pinnacle line middling System Total after Day 5: Bets = 60, Won = 31, Lost = 26, Push = 3 Bankroll = -1.138 units

[Player]

The End :( Well, after 60 bets this looks like a total waste of time, plus nobody gives me any input...:( => nobody else cares! So I call it a quit... Too bad, the idea looked like it would really work. :loon

[si1965]

Re: Pinnacle line middling People do care :unsure I looked at this a few times but was waiting until you had enough results to observe a trend. My thoughts were based upon your decision to back both sides at the same time (30 minutes before the game). Assuming that the 'middle' that you are exploiting will be always a similar margin (movements in the line will move both sides equally), surely the only way in which you are going to maximise your chances of winning is by getting the best prices on both sides i.e. the greatest plus for the underdog (before it shortens) and the smallest minus for the favourite (before it lengthens) - effectively extending the 'middle'. Thus, if you think that a handicap is set too high, place the underdog bet (for maximum points allowance) and wait for the market to settle before backing the favourite (at the lower handicap). Obviously, the big difficulty is knowing which games have been handicapped wrongly and knowing which way the line will move. As you correctly stated at the beginning of the thread - games often end up very close to the spread set - so there are only few opportunities out there.