gamesfuture Posted February 3, 2007 Share Posted February 3, 2007 VALUE BETTING This is how it works: using rather hard equations, made using previous match results, we define the probability of an outcome in percent. After that we compare our probability with bookmakers bets (in our case we use a safe bookmaker – Gamebookers). We find the games that are overrated by bookmakers and find profit margins from bookmakers’ mistakes! It isn’t a secret that sometimes in life in general and also in football, certain events happen regardless of any staticstics or laws. That is why we introduced a “correction koeficient”, or a “insurance from high risks”. We call this the “championship efficiency”. The higher the positive figure is, the lower the possibility to expect a surprise! In this topic I will be posting bets on totals. This way we can define the competitive advantage of our product together. I will filter everything easily: On the games with a value betting rating of 120% or more will enter this topic, as well as championships for which our rating is positive. The sum of the bet is fixed and is equal to 3% from the bank Odds are taken from bookmaker gamebookers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gamesfuture Posted February 3, 2007 Author Share Posted February 3, 2007 Re: Value Betting 03.02.2007 16:30 ARMINIA BIELEFELD B, MOENCHENGLADBACH Under 2,5 1,75 17:00 BRISTOL ROVERS PETERBOROUGH Under 2,5 1,65 17:00 BRADFORD NOTTM FOREST Under 2,5 1,65 17:00 HEREFORD STOCKPORT Under 2,5 1,75 17:00 PIACENZA BRESCIA Over 2,5 2,05 17:00 NOTTS COUNTY LINCOLN Over 2,5 1,85 17:00 JUVENTUS RIMINI Over 2,5 1,7 17:00 DONCASTER CARLISLE Over 2,5 1,85 17:00 NORTHAMPTON CREWE Under 2,5 1,85 17:00 WALSALL ROCHDALE Under 2,5 1,8 17:00 MANTOVA AREZZO Under 2,5 1,55 17:00 CHESTERFIELD BOURNEMOUTH Under 2,5 1,75 17:00 WREXHAM WYCOMBE Under 2,5 1,75 19:00 PAOK PANATHINAIKOS Over 2,5 2,15 19:00 V, MANISASPOR TRABZONSPOR Over 2,5 1,8 19:30 CADIZ TENERIFE Under 2,5 1,45 19:30 ALBACETE ELCHE Under 2,5 1,55 20:30 PSV AZ ALKMAAR Over 2,5 1,5 21:00 MONACO AUXERRE Over 2,5 2,25 21:00 NICE BORDEAUX Over 2,5 2,35 21:00 VALENCIENNES LENS Over 2,5 2,25 21:00 SOCHAUX RENNES Under 2,5 1,55 21:00 HERCULES R, MADRID CASTILLA Over 2,5 2,05 21:00 ST ETIENNE SEDAN Over 2,5 2,05 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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