norton Posted November 29, 2006 Share Posted November 29, 2006 Hey all, just new. Gonna try out an overs/unders system and staking method. Worked well last night, so hoping it continues. It's simple. All I am doing is totalling the goals in all the home team's home game and the away team's away games, then using this info to find an average goals per game involving the 2 teams. If the average is <2.01 then it equates to 10pt stake on Under 2.5 goals. Average 2.01 - 2.10 then it will be 8pt stake on unders Average 2.11 - 2.25 then it will be 5pt stake on unders Average 2.26 - 2.74 then no bet Average 2.75 - 2.89 then 5pt stake on Over 2.5 goals Average 2.90 - 2.99 then 8pt stake on overs Average >2.99 then 10pt stake on overs As time progresses I am sure I will add necessary filters to this. The only one I am using to start with, is that the 2 teams have to be in the same division. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
norton Posted November 29, 2006 Author Share Posted November 29, 2006 Re: Overs/Unders strategy Tonight's bets are as follows: Fulham v Arsenal - 10pt Unders - 1.89 Betfair Bolton v Chelsea - 8pt Unders - 1.65 Betfair Man Utd v Everton - 5pt Unders - 2.20 Betfair Southampton v Birmingham - 10pt Unders - 1.66 Betfair Port Vale v Crewe - 10pt Overs - 1.83 Betfair Bristol Rovers v Macclesfield - 10pt Unders - 1.73 Betfair Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Darren Posted November 29, 2006 Share Posted November 29, 2006 Re: Overs/Unders strategy Tonight's bets are as follows: Fulham v Arsenal - 10pt Unders - 1.89 Betfair Bolton v Chelsea - 8pt Unders - 1.65 Betfair Man Utd v Everton - 5pt Unders - 2.20 Betfair Southampton v Birmingham - 10pt Unders - 1.66 Betfair Port Vale v Crewe - 10pt Overs - 1.83 Betfair Bristol Rovers v Macclesfield - 10pt Unders - 1.73 Betfair Hey Peter, good luck with this. Not a great start, but 2 winners. Saints game was a bit of a nightmare, gone in 20 mins. I'd have had it as an unders bets too tbh. And Crewe must be the overs bet of the season so far:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Darren Posted November 29, 2006 Share Posted November 29, 2006 Re: Overs/Unders strategy or 3 winners even. Will be interesting to see how it goes:) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
norton Posted December 1, 2006 Author Share Posted December 1, 2006 Re: Overs/Unders strategy Tonight's bets are as follows: Fulham v Arsenal - 10pt Unders - 1.89 Betfair Bolton v Chelsea - 8pt Unders - 1.65 Betfair Man Utd v Everton - 5pt Unders - 2.20 Betfair Southampton v Birmingham - 10pt Unders - 1.66 Betfair Port Vale v Crewe - 10pt Overs - 1.83 Betfair Bristol Rovers v Macclesfield - 10pt Unders - 1.73 Betfair 6 bets 3 winners 53pts staked 54.5pts returns 1.5pt profit +2.8% yield Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
norton Posted December 1, 2006 Author Share Posted December 1, 2006 Re: Overs/Unders strategy Decided I am going to reduce staking from 10-8-5 pts to 5-3-2 pts, just while I decide on additional filters to be applied. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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