barrhead73 Posted November 9, 2006 Author Share Posted November 9, 2006 Re: Home Football Drip Even more tinkering this morning to get to a new improved system. The system produces 4 outcomes 1. No Bet 2. Full stake money on DNB 3. 50% stake money on Win 4. Full stake money on Win Ok, Stage 2 Bank £200 Target £220 All bets are for tomorrow nights games Bet 1: Apeldoorn DNB £2 @ 1.52 Bet 2: Grenoble £1 @ 2.10 Bet 3: Go Ahead Eagles £1 @ 2.10 Bet 4: NAC £1 @ 2.38 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
barrhead73 Posted November 9, 2006 Author Share Posted November 9, 2006 Re: Home Football Drip Might as well add in Saturdays games as well. Bet 5: Everton £2 @ 2.0 Bet 6: E.Frankfurt £2 @ 2.0 Bet 7: Middlesboro £1 @ 2.2 Bet 8: Brescia £1 @ 2.1 Bet 9: Coventry £2 DNB @ 1.53 Bet 10: Crotone £2 DNB @ 1.66 Bet 11: Verona £2 DNB @ 1.66 Bet 12: Ath.Madrid £2 DNB @ 1.50 Bet 13: Bayer Lev. £2 DNB @ 2.25 :notworthy Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
barrhead73 Posted November 9, 2006 Author Share Posted November 9, 2006 Re: Home Football Drip :wall Made an :moon of the selections for Saturday. Crotone and Ath.Madrid should have been "no bet" while Bayer should have been a £1 win rather than a £2 DNB. I'm not having a good week. The bets are already placed so i will just need to see what happens. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
barrhead73 Posted November 10, 2006 Author Share Posted November 10, 2006 Re: Home Football Drip And here is Sundays are well Bet 14: Lazio DNB £2 @ 1.57 Bet 15: Alaves £2 @ 2.0 Bet 16: Almeria £2 @ 2.10 Bet 17: Freiburg £2 @ 2.2 Bet 18: Sparta £2 @ 2.15 Bet 19: Aachen £1 @ 2.37 Bet 20: Vitesse £1 @ 2.05 Twenty bets in total over the next three days, hopefully the tweaking will improve the strike rate after a terrible midweek run.:hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
barrhead73 Posted November 11, 2006 Author Share Posted November 11, 2006 Re: Home Football Drip Bet 1: Apeldoorn DNB £2 @ 1.52 :nana 2-0 Bet 2: Grenoble £1 @ 2.10 :nana 5-1 Bet 3: Go Ahead Eagles £1 @ 2.10:nana 5-0 Bet 4: NAC £1 @ 2.38:cry 1-1 3 out of 4 is an ok start Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
barrhead73 Posted November 13, 2006 Author Share Posted November 13, 2006 Re: Home Football Drip Over the weekend the results were, Wins 10 Losses 10 Strike rate 50% Ave Odds 1.90 Start Bank £200 Current Bank £196.65 Growth -1.68% ROI -9.57% Not brilliant, but not disastrous. One result could have swung me into profit........especially if Bayer Leverkusen hadnt surrendered a 2-1 lead with 8 minutes to go!!!!!!!:@ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
barrhead73 Posted November 16, 2006 Author Share Posted November 16, 2006 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted November 16, 2006 Share Posted November 16, 2006 Re: Home Football Drip Blimey, so many bets! Best of luck. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
barrhead73 Posted November 16, 2006 Author Share Posted November 16, 2006 Re: Home Football Drip Thanks David Obviously if i dont hit a strike rate of over 40% this will mean a certain end to this drip and i shall go back to following others. My betting bank balance came about due to a £200 win on the Irish Lotto so i'm not risking my own hard earned cash. I have updated the odds based on the prices from B365 as some of them have changed, most notably Middlesboro going from 2.8 to 3.75. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
barrhead73 Posted November 18, 2006 Author Share Posted November 18, 2006 Re: Home Football Drip 2 wins and 3 losses from fridays games. Not too bad, will need to get that strike rate up to close to 50% though to make some money. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
barrhead73 Posted November 19, 2006 Author Share Posted November 19, 2006 Re: Home Football Drip 2 from 7 yesterday leaves this drp in trouble again! League 1 and League 2 should probably be overlooked in the future due to some consistently poor picks from these divisions. 4 out of 12 overall with 8 results still to come. Probably need 5 out of 8 today. Not overly confident. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
barrhead73 Posted November 20, 2006 Author Share Posted November 20, 2006 Re: Home Football Drip 7 out of 20 this weekend. Not good enough. Bank now at £183.49 Bets : 40 Wins : 17 Losses : 23 Strike Rate : 42.5% Ave Odds : 2.00 Growth : -8.26% ROI : - 18.68% I will draw stage 2 to an end therefore Stage 1: -£16.20 Stage 2: -£16.51 I still think this system can work, need to re-assess the data and see if there is any way to reduce the bets and improve the strike rate. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
barrhead73 Posted November 23, 2006 Author Share Posted November 23, 2006 Re: Home Football Drip Stage 3 begins with a target of £235 which will write off the losses of the first two stages:hope . Lowered the number of selections this week and also looking at a few other divisions around Europe with a good home win %age. SelectionStake Odds Fulham2.00 2.20 Excelsior2.00 2.00 Stoke2.00 2.40 Huddersfield2.00 2.25 Gillingham2.00 2.30 Vecindario2.00 2.50 Beveren2.00 2.15 Panionios2.00 2.00 Only 8 selections so hopeful of a minimum of 4 winners this weekend. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
barrhead73 Posted November 24, 2006 Author Share Posted November 24, 2006 Re: Home Football Drip One more for this weekend, 26/11 Erciyesspor £2 @ 2.05 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
barrhead73 Posted November 26, 2006 Author Share Posted November 26, 2006 Re: Home Football Drip 4 wins , 2 losses and 2 to come today means that this drip will make money this weekend!:clap Thank god for that. Long way to go though before I can wipe out the losses from stages 1 and 2. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
barrhead73 Posted November 27, 2006 Author Share Posted November 27, 2006 Re: Home Football Drip 5 winners out of 9 this weekend means this drip shows a profit in stage 3. The tweaking has hopefully began to pay off. Stage 3 Start Bank £200 Current Bank £204.50 Bets 9 Wins 5 Losses 4 Strike Rate 55.56% Growth 2.25% ROI 25% Early days still, but hoping that stage 3 can wipe out losses from stages 1 and 2 sooner rather than later. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
barrhead73 Posted November 27, 2006 Author Share Posted November 27, 2006 Re: Home Football Drip The system throws up one for tomorrow night, Watford tb Sheff Utd £2.05 @ 2.20 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
barrhead73 Posted November 29, 2006 Author Share Posted November 29, 2006 Re: Home Football Drip Watford lose. :@ Bank now £202.45 No games for tonight. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
barrhead73 Posted November 30, 2006 Author Share Posted November 30, 2006 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
barrhead73 Posted December 4, 2006 Author Share Posted December 4, 2006 Re: Home Football Drip 6 wins, 6 losses and 1 postponement this weekend. Stats are as follows, Won 11 Lost 11 Strike rate 50% Start Bank £200 Current Bank £203.35 Growth 1.67% ROI 6.59% Ave Odds 2.15 Was a bit worried I was heading for a wipeout this weekend especially when i saw the Cocal Cola results coming in, but the system pulled back to 50% and i'm quite happy that this drip is starting to show some small signs of profit. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
barrhead73 Posted December 4, 2006 Author Share Posted December 4, 2006 Re: Home Football Drip Just the one for the midweek games, West Ham tb Wigan £2.33 @ 2.0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
barrhead73 Posted December 7, 2006 Author Share Posted December 7, 2006 Re: Home Football Drip West Ham lose 2-0. Bank now £201.02 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
barrhead73 Posted December 7, 2006 Author Share Posted December 7, 2006 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
barrhead73 Posted December 11, 2006 Author Share Posted December 11, 2006 Re: Home Football Drip Very poor weekend with only 3 wins out of 11. :wall Start Bank : £200 Current Bank: 187.29 Strike rate : 41.18% Growth : -6.35% ROI : -14.91% I am going to carry on,but will switch to Even stakes in ana attempt to crawl back up to £200. I thought about chucking this system, but i still feel there can be some value in it. Heres hoping.:notworthy Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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