In-running Horse Trading Strategy

[fetteredchinos]

Hi guys, i think this will be the first system i have posted up on here, so go easy please. anyway, i have just done a bit of number crunching in excel of the horse data from http://data.betfair.com owing to the size of the files, i have only tested the period from 28/8 to 3/9, and for UK/Irish racing only.. and anyway, as you are probably aware, the majority of the trading guides written on trading the nags before the off advise you to close your position before the off, so that you have no position in running as this is too unpredictable.. not so i say, at least based on this albeit small sample. of 456 horses that last traded at 3.0 or higher right before the off in this period, a rather impressive 305 traded at under half those odds. laying twice the stake at this halved price in running should generate approximately + 305 pts on all green screens, and -151 pts on those that didnt trade lower and therefore lost the backing stake for a toal of +154 and a yield of 33%!! had anyone else tried anything similar in practice? it does look pretty promising, and requires no knowledge of form etc.. ps, the higher the SP, the more likely it is to trade at half the odds - ie for those that start at over 100 on the exchanges, 89% at some point in the race trade at half those odds. might require fruther investigation FC

[fetteredchinos]

Re: In-running Horse Trading Strategy ok, first test looks like being:- 14.20 Smart John currently 11.0