Juuso Posted June 27, 2006 Posted June 27, 2006 Trying out some strikeout props today. Philadelphia Phillies @ Baltimore Orioles Cole Hamels over 5.5 strikeouts 2.73 (Pinnacle) 4 units PHI: LHP Cole Hamels (1-3, 4.41 ERA) BAL: LHP Erik Bedard (7-6, 5.09 ERA) Huge value in the price imo. Cole Hamels is clearly a big strikeout pitcher as his numbers from the minors are showing. He is averaging 8.5/9 SO in the MLB this season, and has gone over 6 strikeouts 3 times in his last 6 starts, despite lasting over 5.2 innings only twice in that span. He threw his longest game, 7 innings, last time out against the Yankees striking out 6. If he can go over 6 innings today the likelyhood of going over the number should be good. Colorado Rockies @ LA Angels Aaron Cook over 2.5 strikeouts 2.31 (Pinnacle) 4 units I'll take this low number with this price. It opened up as a even book, but now up to 2.31. Aaron Cook is a groundball pitcher, but he usually lasts deep into games growing the likelyhood of strikeouts. Last time out he struck out 5 against Oakland and Last 6 games his strikeout numbers are: 5 (oak) , 2 (stl) , 0 (lad) , 5 (pit) , 3 (sd) , 4 (lad). He would have covered this number 4 out of 6 times. Personally i see the probability of over 2.5 k's at least 50% making this a nice bet. Chicago White Sox @ Pittsburg Pirates Pirates 2.6 (Pinnacle) 4 units CWS: LHP Mark Buehrle (8-4, 3.27 ERA) PIT: RHP Ian Snell (7-4, 4.84 ERA) Probably not a very popular play as the public is pounding the Sox and Pirates odds have gone up during the day. I just can't pass up on the value here. Pirates have lost season high 11 in a row and just wrapped up a 6 game road trip getting swept by the Royals and the Dodgers. Now they are back home where they have almost even with a 18-20 record and Ian Snell has been rather good the past month. He is 5-1 in last 7 games and has allowed more than 3 runs only twice in that span. Sure White Sox have been cruising winning 11 of their last 13 games and are 10-2 in Interleague play. Mark Buehrle is their ace, but he allowed 10 hits and 4 earned runs, including 2 home runs, against the Cardinals last time out despite getting the win and he hasn't looked super sharp lately, being quite hittable. Playing with NL ballpark rules, Buerhle will hit and Paul Konerko will rest tonight, DH Jim Thome starting at the 1st base. 2.6 odds are enough for a play here imo. Quote
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