goodfren Posted May 4, 2006 Share Posted May 4, 2006 Here below is my Over / Under Bet System; The system of picks is based on odds analysis that have certain past records that is above 60% accurate prediction. What I present here is the betting system which is still on paper trade. The rule of betting is to pick maximum of 5 Under bet and 5 Over Bet for one day. If either Over or Under pick is less than 5 pick will also consider pick of the day. What I am looking for is the overall win for Under and Over Bet in Soccer. If the day end with Overall loss in Over Bet, then I will only bet in Over Pick for tomorow until I get the overall win picks in Over Bet. No matter how many loss I have in Over Bet, One day Over Bet is only limited to 5 Bet Pick only. The same apply to Under Bet. If both Under and Over Bet gets the overall win in the same day, I will continue my Bet Pick for both Under and Over Bet. The odd posted here is from Betfair at the time I finish my pick. I will start my bank at 100 point. 1 point for each bet. All the picks is available for bet in Betfair So let see what will be the results from this betting system; Day 1; Under Bet Finland MyPa Myllykoski - Tampere United @ 1.72 Valkeakoski Haka - Inter Turku FC @ 1.88 Danish Aarhus AGF - Horsens Under @ 1.95 EPL Manchester City - Arsenal @ 1.80 Sunderland - Fulham @ 1.82 Over Bet Danish Odense - Midtjylland FC @ 1.72 Esbjerg FB - Sonderjyll @ 1.62 Bröndby Kobenhavn - Farum @ 1.60 Copa Libertadores Corinthians River Plate @ 1.65 1.88 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted May 4, 2006 Share Posted May 4, 2006 Re: Soccer Over / Under Bet System May I be the first to wish you bon chance with this. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goodfren Posted May 4, 2006 Author Share Posted May 4, 2006 Re: Soccer Over / Under Bet System Thanks David; What is bon chance? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted May 4, 2006 Share Posted May 4, 2006 Re: Soccer Over / Under Bet System Thanks David; What is bon chance?Good Luck:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goodfren Posted May 4, 2006 Author Share Posted May 4, 2006 Re: Soccer Over / Under Bet System It seems to be a start for today, Overall win for Under Bet is confirm, Hopefully will get Overall win for Over Bet at the end of day. The Over and Under Bet here is based on 2.5 handicap as avaliable in BF. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goodfren Posted May 5, 2006 Author Share Posted May 5, 2006 Re: Soccer Over / Under Bet System Day 1 Result 6 Win 3 Loss - Profits 1.37 after 5% BF Commission Starting Bank: 100pts Total Bets: 9 Matches Total Won: 6 Striking Rate: 66% Current Bank Balance: 101.37pts Yield in % : 1.37 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goodfren Posted May 5, 2006 Author Share Posted May 5, 2006 Re: Soccer Over / Under Bet System After Yesterday Results, I have come up a way to further improved the profits winnings. The advice will be given when day picks is release. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goodfren Posted May 5, 2006 Author Share Posted May 5, 2006 Re: Soccer Over / Under Bet System Day 2; Under Bet France L2 Valenciennes - Lorient @ 1.59 Brest - Caen @ 1.59 Laval - Clermont @ 1.68 Ireland Dublin City - St. Patrick's Athletic @ 1.63 Over Bet Belgium Westerlo - La Louviere @ 1.87 Anderlecht - Waregem @ 1.56 Note: Since all picks start almost at the same time, I will bet all at once. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goodfren Posted May 5, 2006 Author Share Posted May 5, 2006 Re: Soccer Over / Under Bet System Day 2 Under Bet ELC Leeds v Preston @ 1.56 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goodfren Posted May 5, 2006 Author Share Posted May 5, 2006 Re: Soccer Over / Under Bet System Day 2 Result 5 Win 2 Loss - Profit 1.14pts after 5% BF Commission. Starting Bank: 100pts Total Bets: 16 Matches Total Won: 11 Striking Rate: 68.75% Current Bank Balance: 102.34pts Yield in % : +2.34 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goodfren Posted May 6, 2006 Author Share Posted May 6, 2006 Re: Soccer Over / Under Bet System Day 3 Over Bet Japan Gamba - Ventforet Kofu @ 1.45 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goodfren Posted May 6, 2006 Author Share Posted May 6, 2006 Re: Soccer Over / Under Bet System Day 3 Under Bet Russia Krylya Sovetov Samara - Tom Tomsk @ 1.50 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goodfren Posted May 6, 2006 Author Share Posted May 6, 2006 Re: Soccer Over / Under Bet System Day 3 Under Bet Czech Slavia Praha - Brno @ 1.63 Note: The Under pick posted start almost at the same time. If this two all win, I will not bet the remaining three pick for Under Bet today. Take a guaranteed profits for Day 3 Under Bet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goodfren Posted May 6, 2006 Author Share Posted May 6, 2006 Re: Soccer Over / Under Bet System Day 3 Over Bet GBL Leverkusen - Nürnberg FC @ 1.52 Russia CSKA Moscow - Amkar Perm @ 2.00 Scotland Falkirk FC - Livingston @ 1.96 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goodfren Posted May 6, 2006 Author Share Posted May 6, 2006 Re: Soccer Over / Under Bet System Day 3 Over Bet Poland Wisla Krakow - Górnik Zabrze @ 1.95 (2.75 - Point Bet) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goodfren Posted May 6, 2006 Author Share Posted May 6, 2006 Re: Soccer Over / Under Bet System Day 3 Under Bet If the earlier under does not win, I will carry on the remaining 3 Under pick below; Poland Groclin Grodzisk - Plock @ 1.93 (2 - Pointbet) Odra Wodzislaw - Polonia Warszawa @ 1.85 (2.25 - Pointbet) Spain Barcelona FC - Espanyol @ 1.88 I add Pointbet into my account as Betfair may have no good odd value for Betting for certain League. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goodfren Posted May 6, 2006 Author Share Posted May 6, 2006 Re: Soccer Over / Under Bet System Not a good day for Over Bet :wall Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goodfren Posted May 6, 2006 Author Share Posted May 6, 2006 Re: Soccer Over / Under Bet System Not a good day for Under Bet also. After reviewing my current picks performance for three day, I have seen that if I were to bet opposite from my current selection, even the striking rate is around 50%, but it will generate better profits due to long odds I can obtain. I will try this system from now on to see how my profits will perform. Below is the New System which bet against my former selection method. Over Bet Ireland Longford Town - Bohemians Dublin @ 2.72 Argentina Arsenal de Sarandi - Instituto @ 2.16 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goodfren Posted May 6, 2006 Author Share Posted May 6, 2006 Re: Soccer Over / Under Bet System Day 3 New System Bet Over Bet Spain Valencia FC - Atletico Madrid @ 2.32 Under Bet Brazil Fluminense - Parana Clube @ 2.38 The way to profits from this system is that my former system will achieved a maximum of less than 70%, on and off, this percentage will go back to near 50% and then move up again, if this is happen, it will mean that I will be able to gain a fixed profit. By using this reverse system against my former system, I will need to sustain a loss of upto about 70% or higher and to wait for the reverse till my loss is around 50%, this is a time where I can take out the money I won. If anyone of you have the comment on this, do share out the idea so that we all could improved ourself. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goodfren Posted May 6, 2006 Author Share Posted May 6, 2006 Re: Soccer Over / Under Bet System Day 3 Old System Result 3 Win 7 Loss - Loss 4.75pts. Starting Bank: 100pts Total Bets: 26 Matches Total Won: 14 Striking Rate: 53.85% Current Bank Balance: 97.59pts Yield in % : -2.41 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted May 6, 2006 Share Posted May 6, 2006 Re: Soccer Over / Under Bet System Keep at it GF. If you believe in it enough and put the effort in you'll get the rewards in the end.:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goodfren Posted May 6, 2006 Author Share Posted May 6, 2006 Re: Soccer Over / Under Bet System Thanks David, for the kind support, I get your point. I will go for it and see how much could be earn from it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goodfren Posted May 6, 2006 Author Share Posted May 6, 2006 Re: Soccer Over / Under Bet System Day 3 New System Result 1 Win 3 Loss - Total Day Loss 1.366pts. Starting Bank: 300pts Total Bets: 4 Matches Total Won: 1 Striking Rate: 25% Current Bank Balance: 298.634pts Yield in % : -0.455 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goodfren Posted May 7, 2006 Author Share Posted May 7, 2006 Re: Soccer Over / Under Bet System Day 4 Under Bet Japan Urawa - Kashima @ 2.12 Kawasaki F. - Cerezo @ 2.64 Over Bet Russia Rubin Kazan - Torpedo Metalurg @ 2.34 Spain 2 Real Madrid B - Gimnástico de Tarragona @ 2.46 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goodfren Posted May 7, 2006 Author Share Posted May 7, 2006 Re: Soccer Over / Under Bet System Day 4 Over Bet Poland Belchatow - Zaglebie Lubin @ 2.10 (Gamebookers) Russia Spartak Nalchik - Dynamo Moscow @ 2.18 Under Bet Denmark Silkeborg IF - Farum @ 2.22 Sonderjyll - Viborg FF @ 2.32 Esbjerg FB - Aarhus AGF @ 2.40 Italy A Ascoli - Lazio @ 2.28 Udinese - Cagliari @ 2.24 Parma - Milan AC @ 2.28 Lecce - Chievo @ 2.20 Juventus - Palermo @ 2.24 Roma AS - Treviso @ 2.66 Fiorentina - Reggina @ 2.64 Scotland Aberdeen FC - Celtic Glasgow @ 2.14 German 2 Aachen - Freiburg @ 2.36 Bochum - Karlsruher @ 2.30 Fürth - Rostock @ 2.30 München 1860 - Saarbrücken @ 2.22 Paderborn - Aue Erzgebirge @ 2.26 Dresden - Ahlen LR @ 2.38 Siegen Sp. - Burghausen Wacker @ 2.34 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goodfren Posted May 7, 2006 Author Share Posted May 7, 2006 Re: Soccer Over / Under Bet System Day 4 Under Bet EPL Manchester United - Charlton @ 2.32 Arsenal - Wigan @ 2.28 Norway Rosenborg Trondheim - Sandefjord @ 2.38 Turkey Fenerbahce - Kayseri Erciyesspor @ 3.20 Brazil Gremio - Vasco da Gama @ 2.30 Sao Caetano - Palmeiras @ 2.34 Cruzeiro - Juventude @ 2.56 Over Bet EPL West Ham - Tottenham @ 2.20 Blackburn - Manchester City @ 2.14 Fulham - Middlesbrough @ 2.08 Everton - West Bromwich @ 2.26 Newcastle - Chelsea @ 2.36 Bolton - Birmingham @ 2.22 Spain Santander - Osasuna @ 2.46 San Sebastian Real - Celta Vigo @ 2.30 Betis Sevilla - Mallorca @ 2.52 Getafe - Cadiz FC @ 2.18 Zaragoza - Alaves @ 2.30 La Coruna - Bilbao @ 2.40 Sweden Halmstad BK - Orgryte @ 2.36 Kalmar FF - Hammarby @ 2.28 GAIS Gothenburg - Djurgarden IF @ 2.20 Finland Jaro Jakobstad - Valkeakoski Haka @ 2.30 Spain 2 Ciudad de Murcia - Levante @ 2.70 Valladolid - Lleida @ 2.50 Hercules - Ejido @ 2.64 Xerez - Ferrol @ 2.32 Málaga FC B - Huelva @ 2.56 Portugal Ferreira - Benfica Lisbon @ 2.40 Penafiel - Naval @ 2.28 Gil Vicente - Belenenses @ 2.46 Sporting Lisbon - Braga @ 2.40 Guimaraes - Amadora @ 2.38 Coimbra - MarÃtimo @ 2.52 Leiria - Rio Ave @ 2.50 Argentina Olimpo - Gimnasia J. @ 2.34 Tiro Federal Rosario - Quilmes @ 2.28 Estudiantes - Rosario @ 2.34 Colon Santa Fe - San Lorenzo @ 2.38 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goodfren Posted May 8, 2006 Author Share Posted May 8, 2006 Re: Soccer Over / Under Bet System Day 4 New System Result 26 Win 37 Loss - Total Day Loss 3.161pts. Starting Bank: 300pts Total Bets: 67 Matches Total Won: 27 Striking Rate: 40.30% Current Bank Balance: 295.473pts Yield in % : -1.509 Base on the Day 4 results, with only 40% striking rate. The Profits loss has been much more lesser than the former system. I am confident to gain good long term profits using this new betting system when the striking rate is above 60%. To further increase the striking rate, I will now divide my picks into two session per day especially when there are many matches avaliable from my pick, if the overall striking rate for first session is above 70% then I will not bet for the second session of the day. The odd obtain will be refer to Betfair, Gamebookers or Betdaq for better betting odd. The default odd will be from Betfair Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goodfren Posted May 8, 2006 Author Share Posted May 8, 2006 Re: Soccer Over / Under Bet System Day 5 Under Bet Sweden 2 Norrkoping - Mjällby @ 2.06 Over Bet Sweden 1 Malmö FF - Helsingborg @ 2.24 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Betfairbetting Posted May 8, 2006 Share Posted May 8, 2006 Re: Soccer Over / Under Bet System Man, I took a look at your bets for yesteday and I am totally surprised. I have the feeling that you bet only according to the odds without any idea about the chances for Under/Over. You bet on so many Overs in all Under divisions and on Unders in the Over divisions. There is no way to expect profit in this way. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goodfren Posted May 8, 2006 Author Share Posted May 8, 2006 Re: Soccer Over / Under Bet System I do not have to look at the league, this is a system pick and bet that is going to play around the striking percentage. I am confident it will generate good profits. Let us see further to know, I am still on the refinement process. The day 4 bet has not been filter out by some rule, it is meant for public viewing to see what it looks like when getting right odd on low form. When good form return, I am sure to have very good profits. Majority of the league will end around 60%/40% for either side, the objective is to when to enter and when to stay away. Since we do not know for sure what is in the future, the best is to see how it perform. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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