NBA Sat 4th

[TazaD]

Dear Lord...coming off my worst day for a very long time..... Miami -12 League: 10-20-2 (Av. loss 15.7) away 10+ dog, no rest off a 10- ats loss as home 4- dog. [Atl] 3-10-1 (Av. loss 17.4) if opp last won ats as fav. 1-7 (0-8 this no...Av. loss 21.1) if opp won ats as a 5+ fav. Atl are 4-9 ats on no rest this season, and score just 92.8 ppg. Miami are 5-0 ats last 5 meetings, and have won the 2 meetings this season by 22 away and 19 at home. Miami are 10-4 away v. losing teams and 5-0 as favs of 10-13 Orlando +10.5 League: 14-4-1 (Av. loss 4.6) away 5+ dog, no rest off any ats win as away 10+ dog, if opp last lost ats as any dog, if total 190+. [Denv] Tells me what I already know, Denvers D is rubish! Denver are 4-19 tis number at home all season, and although Orlando are 6-24 SU away this season, their losing av is just 6.8. Orlando should be able to score enough to keep this one close against a D that allows 100.0 ppg (the NBA's 7th worst D). Orlando are 6-1-1 away when topping 100, and Denver just 3-12 at home when allowing 100+...given that they've allowed 100+ in 12 of their last 17, and Nelson is back for Orlando which gives them a huge scoring boost, I'm pretty conficent that the Magic can keep this one close.