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Champions Day Trends


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The first three races on the card do not "work" as the trends do not narrow the field down to more manageable numbers but it's a different story with the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes (3:20) at the Champion Stakes (4:00) - the trends:

"QEII":

  • 20/20 had run in the past 80 days
  • 20/20 had a 33%+ win rate
  • 19/20 were rated 113+ (the exception did not hold an official mark)
  • 18/18 had won over 1m+
  • 17/17 had won a Group 3+
  • 17/17 had finished 4+ in a Group 1
  • 14/14 had finished 1-3 in a Group 1 or 2 LTO

The trends remove all bar 1 runner - Godolphin's Group 1 winner, BENBATL (7/1).

Champion Stakes:

  • 20/20 had won 1+ of its last 3 races
  • 16/20 were rated 115+ (the exception did not hold an official mark)
  • 14/14 had finished 1-3 LTO

Just the 3 trends narrow the field down to just 1 runner - multiple Group 1 winner (including on heavy), CORONET (7/2).

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