Guest Posted July 6, 2005 Share Posted July 6, 2005 Just had this hand in a tourney... I'm Spike66 and i raised preflop 400 got and all-in call so called as short stacked... another caller so 3 all in shouts... What are the odds on that 3 way split pot ??? Anyone else got alonger shot? Mike Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
laidbackbloke Posted July 6, 2005 Share Posted July 6, 2005 Re: What are the odds on this ?????? It must be pretty long odds on three players having AK ................ even longer odds on them all calling :lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Posted July 18, 2005 Share Posted July 18, 2005 Re: What are the odds on this ?????? Another... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GreenPlasticWateringCan Posted July 18, 2005 Share Posted July 18, 2005 Re: What are the odds on this ?????? Well there is a 4/52 chance of the 1st card on the flop being a ten, and given that has happened there is a 3/51 chance of the next card being a ten etc. So I think the probability of the first 4 cards being tens is: (4/52) * (3/51) * (2/50) * (1/49) = 1 / 270725 = 0.0000037 = 0.00037% i.e. very small I think i've done the calculations right, although hopefully somebody else can confirm the answer Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaF Posted July 18, 2005 Share Posted July 18, 2005 Re: What are the odds on this ?????? Only thing I would "argue" with - are we looking at the odds of getting 4 tens or the odds of four of a kind - I would say that any 4 cards the same at the turn would have prompted the "what are the odds on this" question - if that is the case, then the first card is irrelevent and it is the odds of the second and third and fourth cards matching the first - i.e. (3/51) * (2/50) * (1/49) = 0.0048% or 1 in 20,825 As you said - VERY small...... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jeffers Posted July 18, 2005 Share Posted July 18, 2005 Re: What are the odds on this ?????? The odds on TTTT are exactly the same as the odds of any other 4 card combination however :\ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaF Posted July 18, 2005 Share Posted July 18, 2005 Re: What are the odds on this ?????? lol......agreed.......unless of course you hold one of the cards in your hand, in which case the odds are zero ;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
laidbackbloke Posted July 18, 2005 Share Posted July 18, 2005 Re: What are the odds on this ?????? Take away the number you first thought of, multiply by your shoe size and add on your age ...............you know ..............Very small was a good enough answer for me Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GreenPlasticWateringCan Posted July 18, 2005 Share Posted July 18, 2005 Re: What are the odds on this ?????? Only thing I would "argue" with - are we looking at the odds of getting 4 tens or the odds of four of a kind - I would say that any 4 cards the same at the turn would have prompted the "what are the odds on this" question - if that is the case, then the first card is irrelevent and it is the odds of the second and third and fourth cards matching the first - i.e. (3/51) * (2/50) * (1/49) = 0.0048% or 1 in 20,825 As you said - VERY small......Yeah the odds of getting 4 of the same card is 13 x the odds of getting 4 of a particular card (e.g. tens), i.e. 13 * 0.00037 = 0.000048 i.e. 0.0048% which is what you got Take away the number you first thought of' date=' multiply by your shoe size and add on your age[img']http://punterslounge.com/forum/images/smilies/unsure.gif ...............you know ..............Very small was a good enough answer for me Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Posted July 19, 2005 Share Posted July 19, 2005 Re: What are the odds on this ?????? I expect many more than 20,000 hands are played online each day so it would be a daily occurance. Nice to see though :) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arjonius Posted July 19, 2005 Share Posted July 19, 2005 Re: What are the odds on this ?????? I've seen multi-way splits when the board was high, but never due to identical holdings. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
laidbackbloke Posted July 19, 2005 Share Posted July 19, 2005 Re: What are the odds on this ?????? Hi Arjonius to the PL Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friskyfitz Posted July 20, 2005 Share Posted July 20, 2005 Re: What are the odds on this ?????? maybe not unbelievable but...... THIS WAS THE OPENING HAND IN A BETFAIR $2 MTT... Luckilly I pissed it!!!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friskyfitz Posted July 20, 2005 Share Posted July 20, 2005 Re: What are the odds on this ?????? and 20 minutes later i'm as good as out when on 9k chips an all-in is called by the guy on 8k before me. I have pocket Rockets and call. his QQ catches on the flop, I don't think a 5,6 suited kills my saving all-in 3-4 minutes later!! Poker is a strange old game but I know i'd prefer getting cards later in the game.... I will NEVER ever fold AA in an all-in situation pre-flop...EVER!!!!! maybe thats my downfall Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friskyfitz Posted July 20, 2005 Share Posted July 20, 2005 Re: What are the odds on this ?????? Anyway, the challenge is there for anybody to take out MORE than 4 players in one go on the opening hand....... and one MUST HAVE pocket aces C'mon you wimps!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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