playing the numbers with bog

[twinny]

im hopeing im in the right place,if not can a mod move this to gloryhunters section,the idea here is im going to look for races with at most 7 runners and back a horse @ bog to win but with a slight difference,the difference being if there is a 5 runner race my horse must be 4/1 or above when backed(giving me at least a 4/1 chance of winning) etc

so betting as follows

3 horses (must be minimum 2/1)

 4 horses(must be minimum 3/1)

5 horses (must be minimum 4/1)

6 horses (must be minimum 5/1)

7 horses (must be minimum 6/1)

the thinking is...

this gives me a slight edge over the bookie(MAYBE) i doubt it,but my reconing is if my 4/1 horse goes off at 3/1 sp ive got massive value and if it goes off at 5/1 then ive lost nothing,also there is bookies bonuses etc(free bet if loses by a head and stuff like that)

staking will be 1 percent of bank each bet up to a maximum 5 selections a day,bank will be updated daily and i will use a £100 starting bank

hopefully this will be a long running thread with both long loseing and hopefully winning runs

[twinny]

for updates...

pwa = price widely available

Edited May 26, 2017 by twinny
to explain pwa