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Cheltenham World Hurdle 2016


Aidymac

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TRENDS

No 4 or 5 year old has won the World Hurdle.

Only one Irish trained winner in the last 17 races.

Only one horse higher than 8/1 has won the race since 2000.

6 favourites have won in the last 13 years.

 

VERDICT

Thistlecrack is all the rage for this race and there is no doubt that if he can produce what he has been showing so far this season, he will be a tough horse to beat. However, I think he is too short a price to back now for such a competitive race and I have to go each-way on the Mouse Morris trained Alpha Des Obeaux, who bumped into some of the Willie Mullins stars on several occasions.

He would be a multiple Grade 1 winner only for bumping into the likes of Douvan and Nichols Canyon and he ran a career best last time out in the Galmoy Hurdle, with plenty left in the tank at the line. He may need the ground to come up with a bit of cut, which is likely due to all the storms lately and I can see him hitting the frame at the very least.

 

Back Alpha Des Obeaux E/W @ 8/1 Sky Bet

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