geeuppy Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Re: Nap Of The Day > Saturday February 14th 2.30 wincanton - themanfrom minella ( 1 point win @ sp ) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
robertob Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Re: Nap Of The Day > Saturday February 14th Entihaa ran a really good race last night. Made all and maybe put in a bit too much early on. But no complaints. Was still there one furlong out but just beaten by better horses eventually. 3.45 Lingfield: Class 2 Handicap Sovereign Debt has been off for more than a year now and question is how much of his old class he still has. Makes AW debut for new yard. Should be fine on surface but big mark to overcome dropping into handicap. Don’t Call Me hasn’t won for quite a while but finished well in 3rd in hot race last week, only neck beaten by 105 rated individual on first outing since October. Still career best required to win off current mark. However remains as good as ever and won strong Handicap last summer off 3lb lower. Tiger Tale finished runner-up on couple of occasions in recent weeks. Mark is increasing without winning since good win at Kempton in autumn. Fine performance lto over CD when short of room in crucial moment. Career best required. Secret Art is back after a break. Goes well on the All-Weather and ran well the last two starts in Autumn. Career best required today. Melvin The Grate is much improved since switched to the All-Weather. Won with plenty in hand on penultimate start over CD and ran fine 3rd of revised mark lto when not having run of race. Needs good pace to be able to close from trailing position. Energia Flavio hasn’t won in UK yet but has been competitive last three start on AW. Looks in the grip of the handicapper though. Claimers allowance sure to help however. Freud is a French import and hasn’t been seen since August. Seems to act on AW but hard to know what to expect today. Santefisio doesn’t win often but returned to form at Wolverhampton lto. May need more assistance from handicapper to be winning candidate in this class. Spiritual Star won with plenty in hand over CD last month when dropped to a mile. Five pounds up looks fair and remains competitive, though more required up in class today. Mindyourownbusiness finished a gutsy runner-up behind Spiritual Star a fortnight ago. Not too many miles on the clock and may improve again. But need to so as was fair beaten lto off similar mark. Halation was progressive last season on turf. Placed on AW as well. Now back after break. Fitness a question mark but top jockey in the saddle a bonus. Stormy Paradise was a fair lengths beaten on seasonal return over CD lto. Would need improve quite a bit for that run to be competitive here. Verdict: This is a really competitive affair, as one would expect from a big feature Handicap on a Saturday. More than half of the field have the potential to be really competitive in this. There is no doubt that Melvin The Great is a fair favourite. He won with plenty in hand his penultimate start and followed up with another nice performance over course and distance. His running style means that he'll always need a rattling pace and bit of luck as well. Not sure if he'll get another clear run today. As he had it all going for him the last two. i would expect Tiger Tale, who finished runner-up behind Melvin The Grate before, and beat him by half a lengths lto then when he was second again. He hit the crossbar a couple of times now and it remains to be seen if he can win off his current mark. Another bold performance wouldn't surprise though. Halation is a bit a dark horse today. Back after a break, progressive profile as a three year old. He could have still some unlocked potential and has Atzeni in the saddle. Secret Art has a similar profile to a certain extend. He was competitive before a break and if he is match fit, it wouldn't be a surprise to see him going close today. All those mentioned until now should go well, but I feel they aren't offering any value if it comes to odds. However the 12/1 for Don't Call me looks huge. He remains most of his old class and done extremely well in a very good handicap at Wolverhampton last week. He hasn't won off a mark as high as his current one, but this most recent performance indicates that he is well up to it. He didn't get quite a clear run in the closing stages lto, but the slight drop to a mile should suit much better today anyway. Not to underestimate is the chance of recent winner Spiritual Star either. An impressive winner over course and distance two weeks ago, his revised mark looks more than fair, if not even lenient to a certain extend, given with how much in hand he won and how similar winners have been hit with much higher increases. He hasn't won off a mark as high as this, however was placed over CD off even higher last season. He has the habit of starting slowly from time to time. So that is a risk that he may lose the race already at the start. Yet 9/1 looks a very big price. For NAP purposes: Don't Call Me @ 12/1 Sportingbet Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainbow Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Re: Nap Of The Day > Saturday February 14th 2.55 haydock harry the viking takes the eye, as although been out of form, he did show much better last time and looksto be coming back to something like his old self. if thats the case then todays race looks good for him with no trip and ground concerns and getting in off a mark of 124. jockey derek fox is more than capable and claims a valuable 3lb and so i see htv staying on stronger than most today. 0.5pts ew 16/1 paddy power bog Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tipsterix Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Re: Nap Of The Day > Saturday February 14th 16:20 Ascot: SIRABAD @ 6/1 William Hill Trainer Paul Nicholls is having a decent season returning a strike-rate of 24% from 343 runners and his French import SIRABAD (2) looks a good value on British debut as he won well by 12 lengths to Muretto over hurdles (17f) on heavy ground at Auteuil last October when faced slightly better rivals. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluemal Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Re: Nap Of The Day > Saturday February 14th Haydock 2:55 : Lie Forrit @ 10/1 bet365 e/w thanks Lie Forrit.....from Lucinda Russell yard in Perth the 11yo has won six hurdle races, two NH flat races and three chases from 1m 6f to 3m 3f on ground varying from good to heavy, The yard have saw it run well so far this season with a 1,2,and 1st in last race at Kelso over 3m 2f heavy last month where it beat Harry The Viking by 2 lengths , its probably a big ask for these two to win but a place finish at descent odds maybe worth a small punt, Stable jockey Peter Buchanan is in saddle Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trapper74 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Re: Nap Of The Day > Saturday February 14th 1615 Lingfield 0.5pt e/w Al's Memory 8/1 William hill Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luckypants Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Re: Nap Of The Day > Saturday February 14th Bygones Sovereign 3.25 Haydock 1pt win 9/1 Bet Victor BOG Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mr.benn Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Re: Nap Of The Day > Saturday February 14th 2.35 Lingfield REETAJ 11/4 SkyBet Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BARNSLEYCHOP Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Re: Nap Of The Day > Saturday February 14th 3.25 HAYDOCK AQALIM @ 5/1 Laddies Tip in itself that AP rides in preference to two O'Neill horses including a JP horse. Has only been beaten once over hurdles and that horse is 6/4 for a grade 2 this afternoon. Up to 3m for hcap debut. Not my thing to back favs in big hcaps but this ticks all the boxes for me. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thebestthere Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Re: Nap Of The Day > Saturday February 14th 2.45 Gowran 1pt win King Leon 14/1 Bet365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trotter Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Re: Nap Of The Day > Saturday February 14th 4.10 Winc - Memphis Magic - EW at 40/1 bog betvictor Novice hurdle A well odds on shot here, Zarib, has some classy form - winning at Newbury and finishing 3rd to the Triumph Hurdle favourite at Cheltenham. Looks a class above these but is a 4yo carrying a penalty and as they say - you should never be frightened of one horse ! The 2nd favourite at the moment is 12/1 so it looks a good race for an EW shot with two big priced ones certain to get in the first 3...........just a question of picking the right one My selection ran a couple of OK races on the flat in 2013 then was well beaten in a couple of hurdles last year Just got a feeling he might do better this time around as he did show a bit of promise in a run at Cheltenham before weakening to be well beaten. This easier track might suit better and this looks a very poor race outside the favourite Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheBoyRooney Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Re: Nap Of The Day > Saturday February 14th 415 LINGFIELD BERIE BLUE BOY 16-1 1 pt win SKY BET Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Re: Nap Of The Day > Saturday February 14th Winners From the top; Jimmy 3rd 12/1 EW BH 3rd 13/2 EW Smarty 4/1 Xtc 9/4 Sarrow 2nd 9/1 EW Rainbow 2nd 16/1 EW Custom Cut 4th 16/1 EW Bluemal 10/1 EW Luckypants 9/1 :clap Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
robertob Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Re: Nap Of The Day > Saturday February 14th Winners From the top; Jimmy 3rd 12/1 EW BH 3rd 13/2 EW Smarty 4/1 Xtc 9/4 Sarrow 2nd 9/1 EW Rainbow 2nd 16/1 EW Custom Cut 4th 16/1 EW Bluemal 10/1 EW Luckypants 9/1 :clap Well done guys! :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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