NAP of the day - Saturday 15th November

[robertob]

13.15 Cheltenham: Novices' Chase (Class 2) - Creepy: Talented hurdler and mightily impressive winner on chasing debut at Chepstow in September. Course form, but ground conditions slight worry. - Drop Out Joe: Point winner, nicely progressed over hurdles. Won well on seasonal reappearance and chasing debut. More required here though. Hasn’t won over 3m yet, but was placed. Combination of distance + soft ground potentially a worry. - Knock House: Progressive hurdler and eye-catching chasing debut last month. Big, bold jumps, and nice acceleration. Form on soft ground. Steps up in trip but every chance to get it on pedigree. - Sausalito Sunrise: Fair hurdler, won chasing debut well. Should relish trip and ground conditions and open to improvement. - Kings Palace: Smart hurdler, won G2 at Cheltenham in December. Seasonal reappearance and first start over fences. Likely to do well over fences too and interesting if he acts on ground (form on soft in NHF) and jumps well. Fitness obvious question mark. Yard in good form though. Receives weight all around. Verdict: We have a short favourite with Kings Palace, who looks a very exciting prospect. If he has recovered from his fall at Cheltenham and is fit to go for his debut, then he rates a huge chance, given the fact that he receives a good deal of weight. The yard is in fine form though, so expect him to be ready. He jumps well usually, I've no doubt that he takes well to fences either - so allot to like about him. Only thing is, that he is a very short price. I believe the biggest danger will be Knock House. A lightly raced, progressive hurdler last season, but always likely to be better suited to fences. He proved that with an utterly impressive performance at Fakenham when he jumped big and bold and produced a turn of foot in the closing staged to draw away from the field to win easily. Ground and trip are slight question marks in this combination. He has excellent form on soft going (win plus 2nd behind Champagne West) and should get the trip on breeding. But in combination, this is obviously a tough test. Yet I feel he is almost dramatically overpriced, and with chasing experience as well as match fitness, I do fancy him big time to go really close. Knock House @ 8/1 Ladbrokes

[chris34]

Re: NAP of the day - Saturday 15th November 1.25 Lingfield Decent little field for a decent little pot. Capo Rosso scored nicely last time out at end of October. Up 6lb for that and drawn out wide today makes things tougher. Alfred Hutchinson was not beaten far in AW handicaps off this mark last season, again fairly consistent on turf but return to AW defenetily a positive and unlikely to be far away but clearly needs to find a little more to win. Big Baz has to be taken seriously given his consistent form on turf this autumn, only beaten a neck last time out off a 2lb lower mark. Has always looked a good horse on the AW with 2 wins from 3 starts and 1 from 1 around here. 1pt win Big Baz 5/2 pp