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Flat Racing 14th November


chris34

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2.40 Lingfield Don’t Have It Then has a good record on the AW but is starting to look plenty high enough in the weights at present. Amosite is the obvious front runner in this field but unlikely to be left alone in this field and likely to compromise his chance. Artic Lynx has dropped to 7lb below last winning mark but failed to show much recently but a strongly run race will suit him. Top Offer another prominent runner won last time out, a 4lb rise not out of the question but clearly needs more in a competitive heat. Moiety is an unknown quantity to a certain degree, winning in very good style on 2nd start last time out at Kempton over this trip. A mark of 70 hard to judge as that maiden was a pretty weak affair with the 2nd officially rated 63 and failed to back that effort up. One to watch at this stage. Multitask won last night at Kempton over 7f, under a 6lb penalty racing off a mark of 75 and is yet to win off a mark this high. Pour La Victoire was 7th in Multitasks race last night however he looked badly in need of a drop back in trip having shaped as if he had emptied out. Not sure either of these could cope with another race today so put off by them. Varsovian is an interesting runner for a yard who appear to have hit a purple patch at present. He has improved for the switch to sprinting winning twice at Kempton over this trip. First time in really good style, didn’t get the best run through last time out off revised mark only just failing to get up. Up 6lb for that effort but that race has worked out ok and he remains fully unexposed at this trip and looks to have been freshened up for a winter campaign. 2pt win Varsovian 7/1 hills 5.30 Wolverhampton A pretty desperate affair with most of these struggling for form. Incomparable used to be a fair performer but has gone a bit wayward recently and although scored Beverley in the summer that was a poor race, has largely struggled again since showing very little. Quality Art was 2 lengths behind Gypsy Rider last time out couple weeks ago and appears to be heading in the right direction however Gypsy Rider who races here again was disappointing for no apparent reason at Kempton on Wednesday so that form has to be questioned, which also questions Diamond Solitaires latest run when he was just over 2 lengths behind Gypsy Rider last time out. Minty Jones has been going well on turf but record on the AW is awful. Lisa Williamson runs both Your Gifted and Rat Catcher. The latter looks second string on jockey bookings, he has run a couple better races recently including last time out when again behind Gypsy Rider. Your Gifted is a horse that can frustrate any punter dangerously well handicapped, 33lb below last winning mark which obviously is a worrying stat for anyone but she continues to run well. She had to take a wide trip last time out but still finished extremely well over CD, runs off same mark and very of the others make appeal has to go close if the gaps appear. 2pt win Your Gifted 5/1 bet365 7.00 Wolverhampton Good little class 3 handicap, several of these have been running in decent handicaps all summer but most need to show something more to be winning. Energia Eroz was a high class group 1 performer in brazil but has failed to land a blow in UK and can only be watched despite falling in the weights. Sleeper King comes from a top yard and its interesting they are persevering with him having shown little this season. Steps up dramatically in trip today and that needs to unlock some improvement on recent efforts. Berlusca has a good record on the AW however never won off a mark this high before and look held last time out off revised mark. Sbraase takes a further step up in class but looked in need of further last time out so this return to the extended trip will help. Needs to continue improvement though in a much stronger race. Linganno Felice is an interesting runner only had 4 runs and started in handicaps last time out in good style only beaten ¼ length, up 5lb for that and untried on AW but clearly unexposed and more to come. Mias Boy might offer some value. He isn’t getting any younger and has been around the block plenty of times but he showed last time out he can still be competitive at a decent level. Beaten less than 2 lengths on first run since April, quite likely to have needed that run given his age and therefore should be able to expect a better run this time round. He is 13lb below last winning mark and one to take seriously. 2pt win Mias Boy 8/1 VC

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