AFL Rd. 4.

[TazaD]

Adelaide +19.5 Wow! Can anyone give the Crows some lovin'?! 2 good wins and a close loss to the Eagles, but public perception is that they're still crap. Adelaide's defense is statistically much better than the Swans' at this stage, only allowing a shot at goal 2.5 every entries into the 50, which is best in the league. They also rebound the ball 60% of the time which is also best. Adelaide have also had 31 more entries into their own 50 than Sydney, and are slightly better in the clearances. Adelaide have won 4 of the last 5 meetings, 2 @ the SCG and a loss there last year by 13 points, with O'Loughlan kicking 2. Really like Adelaide to win this one. 3 goals start is huge! Geelong -15.5 Geelong are just a much better team than Essendon right now. Hird only about 50% will cancel out Ling being about the same. The Cats have a big advantage in the ruck, and and even bigger edge in pace in the midfield....And their pace is a big reason they won 6 of 7 @ the dome last year by an av. of 43 points. (Inc. Essendon by 23) Can't see Geelong being chalenged too much in this one.

[rowdy]

Re: AFL Rd. 4. Been following the AFL for a few years now, but always with smallish stakes as Im far from being an expert. Expecting PA and Brisbane both to make up from embarresments last weekend and get themselves back on track and COVER -23.5 and -25.5. Thoughts?? Thinking that each one is coming up against two of the comps weakest teams in Carlton and Hawthorn respectively, and both will be targetting these matches as must wins. Both teams getting a few players back from injury too. Burgoyne and Salopek back for Port, with Brisbane getting Black and Charman. Pending fitness tests Cornes and Lappin may also return. Will be following you on Gelong too, and also taking the Kangaroos ML.