Dave_'s hunt for glory

[Dave_]

Hello everybody! I tried making football betting systems for a while now, although success seems to be far away as of yet :) My newest strategy is that I give points to teams based on their performance (ball possession, shots on target). So if a team performed well, but lost miraculously it still gets 3 points while the lucky team gets 0. I'm dividing 3 points per match, so it could be 3.0-0.0, 2.5-0.5, 2.0-1.0 or 1.5-1.5 I'll bet on 1x2 and AH too. There is no league restriction (as long as I can obtain the sufficient stats). I'm using a 100 points bank, and start with flat betting of 1 point/bet. A weakness of this system that I want to overcome is that it ignores the hardness of a team's fixtures. My goal is to make the system better along the way, so feel free to make suggestions and/or ask any questions. Cheers,

[Dave_]

Re: Dave_'s hunt for glory I forgot to mention: To keep it simple I only use Pinnacle odds for betting. First picks: (38 bets) [TABLE=width: 566]

[TR] [TD]Home[/TD] [TD]Away[/TD] [TD]1x2 Pick[/TD] [TD]Odds[/TD] [TD]AH Pick[/TD] [TD]Odds[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Genoa[/TD] [TD]Napoli[/TD] [TD]Napoli[/TD] [TD]1,82[/TD] [TD]Napoli -0,75[/TD] [TD=align: right]2,08[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Torino[/TD] [TD]Juventus[/TD] [TD]Juventus[/TD] [TD]1,58[/TD] [TD]Juventus -0,75[/TD] [TD=align: right]1,72[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Atalanta[/TD] [TD]Udinese[/TD] [TD]Udinese[/TD] [TD]2,95[/TD] [TD]Udinese +0[/TD] [TD=align: right]2,04[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Cagliari[/TD] [TD]Inter[/TD] [TD]Cagliari[/TD] [TD]4,13[/TD] [TD]Cagliari +0,5[/TD] [TD=align: right]1,91[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Catania[/TD] [TD]Chievo[/TD] [TD]Catania[/TD] [TD]2,18[/TD] [TD]Catania -0,25[/TD] [TD=align: right]1,86[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Sassuolo[/TD] [TD]Lazio[/TD] [TD]Sassuolo[/TD] [TD]4,58[/TD] [TD]Sassuolo +0,75[/TD] [TD=align: right]1,77[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Verona[/TD] [TD]Livorno[/TD] [TD]Livorno[/TD] [TD]4,31[/TD] [TD]Livorno +0,5[/TD] [TD=align: right]1,93[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Roma[/TD] [TD]Bologna[/TD] [TD]Roma[/TD] [TD]1,36[/TD] [TD]Roma -1,25[/TD] [TD=align: right]1,85[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Fiorentina[/TD] [TD]Parma[/TD] [TD]Parma[/TD] [TD]6,67[/TD] [TD]Parma +1[/TD] [TD=align: right]1,88[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Huddersfield[/TD] [TD]Blackpool[/TD] [TD]Huddersfield[/TD] [TD]2,45[/TD] [TD]Huddersfield -0,25[/TD] [TD=align: right]2,1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Nottingham[/TD] [TD]Derby[/TD] [TD]Nottingham[/TD] [TD]2,04[/TD] [TD]No bet[/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Bolton[/TD] [TD]Yeovil[/TD] [TD]Yeovil[/TD] [TD]4,93[/TD] [TD]Yeovil +0,75[/TD] [TD=align: right]1,92[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Bournemouth[/TD] [TD]Blackburn[/TD] [TD]Blackburn[/TD] [TD]3,13[/TD] [TD]Blackburn +0,25[/TD] [TD=align: right]1,84[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Burnley[/TD] [TD]Charlton[/TD] [TD]Charlton[/TD] [TD]4,55[/TD] [TD]Charlton +0,75[/TD] [TD=align: right]1,79[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Ipswich[/TD] [TD]Brighton[/TD] [TD]Ipswich[/TD] [TD]2,48[/TD] [TD]Ipswich -0,25[/TD] [TD=align: right]2,12[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Leicester[/TD] [TD]Barnsley[/TD] [TD]Barnsley[/TD] [TD]7,1[/TD] [TD]Barnsley +1,25[/TD] [TD=align: right]1,78[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Millwall[/TD] [TD]Leeds[/TD] [TD]Leeds[/TD] [TD]2,98[/TD] [TD]Leeds +0,25[/TD] [TD=align: right]1,79[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Reading[/TD] [TD]Birmingham[/TD] [TD]Birmingham[/TD] [TD]4,27[/TD] [TD]Birmingham +0,5[/TD] [TD=align: right]2[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Sheffield Wed[/TD] [TD]Doncaster[/TD] [TD]Doncaster[/TD] [TD]3,59[/TD] [TD]Doncaster +0,25[/TD] [TD=align: right]2,04[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Watford[/TD] [TD]Wigan[/TD] [TD]Watford[/TD] [TD]2,12[/TD] [TD]No bet[/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]