Does distance matter? (1794 bets, -140.03 points, -7.8% ROI)

[JohnPR]

During the last part the the 2012/2013 European season I demonstrated my away betting model based on distance traveled by the away team. http://forum.punterslounge.com/threads/137528-Does-distance-matter-An-away-betting-model-(663-bets-10-13-points-1-5-ROI) I have made some adjustments to include the home team as well and added some 'off season' leagues. If anyone wants to know anything about my selection process please feel free to ask. 100 point starting bank and 1 point per bet. Team in bold is selected bet. New bets[TABLE=width: 1175]

[TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightblue]Match date[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightblue]League[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightblue]Home team[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightblue]Away team[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightblue]Price[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightblue]Bookmaker[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightblue]Bet time (UTC)[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]22 Jun 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Japan J2 League[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Sapporo[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Gifu[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]5.13[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]21 Jun 2013 @ 23:23[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]22 Jun 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Japan J2 League[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Fukuoka[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Ehime[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2.71[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]21 Jun 2013 @ 23:23[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]22 Jun 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Japan J2 League[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]G-Osaka[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Fagiano Okayama[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]6.75[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]21 Jun 2013 @ 23:23[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]22 Jun 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Japan J2 League[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Kobe[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]V-Varen Nagasaki[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]4.7[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]21 Jun 2013 @ 23:23[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]22 Jun 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Japan J2 League[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Montedio Yamagata[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Yamaga[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.82[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]21 Jun 2013 @ 23:23[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]22 Jun 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Japan J2 League[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Yokohama FC[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Kataller Toyama[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]4.7[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]21 Jun 2013 @ 23:23[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]22 Jun 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Japan J2 League[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Gainare Tottori[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Giravanz Kitakyushu[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2.51[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]21 Jun 2013 @ 23:23[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]22 Jun 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Japan J2 League[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Tokushima Vortis[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Chiba[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2.07[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]21 Jun 2013 @ 23:23[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]22 Jun 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Japan J2 League[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Kyoto[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Mito Hollyhock[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]6.62[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]21 Jun 2013 @ 23:23[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]22 Jun 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Japan J2 League[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Roasso Kumamoto[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]ThespaKusatsu[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]4.37[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]21 Jun 2013 @ 23:23[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

[loredan]

Re: Does distance matter? Oh, that's something different...don't think I ever seen someone calculating this. I'm pretty sure most of the guys would consider distance when placing their bets, especially in lower leagues but using graphs and calculations for this...well that's something new for me. Good luck with your system...I'll keep an eye on this thread.