Binchy's Lucky Thread

[Binchy]

Evening all! Some of you may have follows my Jumps Thread which was based on Stats which was relatively successful and I will probably reprise when the Jumps gets going again. Unfortunately, for whatever reason, the same system has not translated to the flat. In the past before joining this forum, I have had some decent results with £1 win Lucky 15's, getting four winners on a fair few occasions. The selections are not system generated, purely my own opinion. I will start with a bank of 300pts and will stake 15pts per bet. All bets will be placed with Bet365. Selections for tomorrow are as follows : 4.00 - Che - Croeso Mawr - 7/2 - Completed a hat-trick at Chepstow on his last start in September all over 1m, the last of which was also on ground described as good which is likely to be the case tomorrow. Up 5lb's from that victory but it shoudln't prove too much of a problem in what looks a weak race. 4.15 - Lei - Exceedexpectations - 8/1 - Made his reappearance at Thirsk 3 weeks ago over a 1m and finished 3rd of 15. Over 7f today, a trip which the horse has only race over on two occasions but Jamie Spencer looks an interesting booking and has won on the horse before. Exceedexpectations has finished in the first 3 on 9 of 11 starts in class 5 races. 7.00 - Win - Mince - 10/11 - Tipped by people in the know to be a big player this season, looked desperately in need of the run when last seen at York. These conditions should play to Mince's strengths and looks a good thing in this contest if still retaining the ability of last term. 7.45 - Car - Diamond Blue - 6/1 - Down to a winnable mark and came 2nd a week ago over course and distance and with the same underfoot conditions by just over a length, after rearing at the start and being forced to challenge wide. Never won at this class before but in the first three on 9/12 starts over 5f and 4/5 on good to firm ground. If things fall correctly Diamond Blue should go close.

[Binchy]

Re: Binchy's Lucky Thread 4.00 - Che - Croeso Mawr - lost - Probably in need of the run in hindsight. 4.15 - Lei - Exceedexpectations - placed - Ran well but was well beaten by the leader, could have done with an extra furlong. 7.00 - Win - Mince - lost - Very disappointing and perhaps to much use was made of the horse early on. 7.45 - Car - Diamond Blue - lost - Wasn't beaten far after messing up the start again and maybe one to give another chance somewhere along the line. Staked 15pts Returned 0pts -15pts Todays Selections : 3.00 - Rip - Special Meaning - 7/4 - Very good reappearance at Leicester when making all and pulling clear to 4f victory. Under a penalty for that but given the nature of the victory should not prove too much of a problem. Unraced on the quicker ground but should go well. 6.25 - Yar - Estiqaama - 6/4 - Progress expected first time out from this William Haggas horse. Last seen in midfield in a heavy ground race at Newmarket, todays conditions should suit and potentially well treated on handicap debut. 6.55 - Yar - Flynn's Boy - 5/1 - Ran a brilliant race when narrowly defeated last time out at Newmarket over 6f, now back up in trip to 7f over which all three wins have come. Up 3lbs for that narrow defeat but should go well again. 7.40 - Hex - Corky Dancer - 5/2 - Won over course and distance last time out making all. Up 8lbs for that victory but Jason Maguire an interesting booking and looks like the same tactics will be employed again and can go close.