Football Lays - 1 bet, 1 withdraw

[RedSaddler92]

Evening. After starting and failing with a GH thread through last week I decided to go away and compile some research in the football betting area. Having been un-sure on what exactly to 'search' for or 'trial' to see if I could find a reliable source of betting income I feel back to the ever reliable Bet365, the best and most in depth betting website. For months and months know, I've had the odd couple of quid on random 10-14 folds on the 'Odds on Coupon'. One thing I always found during that period was just how unreliable and unpredictable 'odds on' games actually were. This weekend I decided to take matters into my own hands and set a spreadsheet up (that I know realise I can't post in this thread, which is very frustrating) listing 200 randomly seleceted matches from the Odds on Coupon and logging, Odds, half time score, full time score and whether the favourite actually won or not. In all honesty, I didn't find out much that I already didn't know, however I did find a reasonable way of making money, providing I used Betfair (so I can cash out) and providing I use a well thought out system of placing 1 bet with a high stake and withdrawing any winnings, before starting placing a new bet. I know, I know your thinking this looks like a load of old waffle. Let me show you my results. Below is the outcome for the favourite in the match. [TABLE=width: 995]

[TR] [TD]Total Table[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Results[/TD] [TD]Won[/TD] [TD]Lost[/TD] [TD]Drew[/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]200[/TD] [TD]126[/TD] [TD]32[/TD] [TD]24[/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] (18 games were Postponed, or results weren't in on Soccerway yet) During this period, one thing became immediately established. When there is a favourite in a particular game, there is rarely a game that finishes 0-0. Precisely 4 games in the 182 results that I logged finished 0-0 and 2 of thoose 3 came in 1 particular division. The Idea? 4 games in 182 isn't a particularly high level of reliabilty when it comes to large stake betting, however the plan I have is potentially a solid way of earning a small, but solid and frequent income before withdrawing it. For example, I start with a £100 bank and I lay £100 on a game finishing 0-0 at odds of 10. The game finished 3-1 and the bet wins, returning £10. I then withdraw this £10, leaving the £100 bank to place my next bet with. You can get 45.5 into 182 four times, which according to my trials means I'd have lost one bet every 45 games. You see where Im coming from? The chances are, by the time you find yourself a 0-0 game the chances are you will have earnt more than your loss. You also have to remember, using Betfair there is less 'Odds on' games because they have less games than bet365 to choose from and bet on. This wont be the only bets I try and do in this thread, but I think it's certainly a good basis to have a look at and continue to try and test myself. Let's lay down the rules. - 1 bet 1 withdraw - Laying 0-0 in games with an obvious favourite involved - Any bet's go (as I wont restrict myself to just this system) - The cash out/trading system is acceptable to use at all times Aim? - Double my start bank (in withdrawals) before having to deposit any more money. In other words - I start with £100 bank, I want to have withdrawn at least my starting bank, before having to deposit anymore money.

[RedSaddler92]

Re: Football Lays - 1 bet, 1 withdraw Bank - £40.55 Bet 1. FC Vaslui 0-0 CRF Cluj at Half Time. Cluj down to 9 men. Placed (matched) [TABLE=class: lay, width: 316]

[TR] [TH=class: runner]Lay (Bet Against)[/TH] [TH=class: odds, align: center]Backer's odds[/TH] [TH=class: stake, align: center]Backer's stake[/TH] [TH=class: profit, align: right]Your liability[/TH] [/TR] [TR=class: event-name] [TH=colspan: 4]FC Vaslui v CFR Cluj (In-Play)[/TH] [/TR] [TR=class: bet open, bgcolor: #F3DCE2] [TH=class: runner]0 - 0 Correct Score[/TH] [TD=class: odds, align: center]

6.8

[/TD] [TD=class: stake-cell, align: center]£6.99[/TD] [TD=class: profit, align: right]£40.54[/TD] [/TR]

[/TABLE] Bank £0.01.