NFL 12/13 Season Total Combined Points Thread

[4bettororworse]

Because its getting late local time, I'll just post picks tonight and then add an introduction in the near future. Hopefully that's ok with mods - if I understand correctly, its the specific league forums that require reasoning to accompany selections. All odds referred to are with tab.co.nz

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NFL WEEK 2 TOTAL COMBINED POINTS PICKS
Visiting		Home	Pick	Total Pts	Odds
Chiefs	@	Bills	over	44.5	1.9
Saints	@	Panthers	under	51.5	1.87
Texans	@	Jaguars	over	41.5	1.92
Cardinals	@	Patriots	under	48.5	1.85
Titans	@	Chargers	under	43.5	1.85
Buccaneers	@	Giants	under	43.5	1.9
Broncos	@	Falcons	under	50.5	1.97
Redskins	@	Rams	over	43.5	1.85
Lions	@	49ers	over	46.5	1.92
Browns	@	Bengals	over	39.5	1.87
Raiders	@	Dolphins	under	38.5	1.85
Cowboys	@	Seahawks	under	42.5	1.92
Jets	@	Steelers	over	42.5	1.85
Vikings	@	Colts	under	45.5	1.87
Ravens	@	Eagles	over	45.5	1.87

[4bettororworse]

Re: NFL 12/13 Season Total Combined Points Thread Week 2 over and done with. Last season I developed a simple system for under / over bets with more of a weighting towards recent results rather than historical trends. I implemented the system from week 11 onwards for an overall positive result so I though I'd follow it over a longer period this season. The system is purely mathematical and I'm following it 'blind'. That is to say, I will go with what the system says even if circumstancial factors or internal hunchs suggest otherwise. I figure that, over a period of time, the number of system picks that look silly and lose will be balanced out by suprise successes that the system picked but logical analysis didn't. Starting with bank of 100. Consistent staking. 1 uint per selection. [TABLE=width: 561]

[TR] [TD][/TD] [TD=colspan: 5]NFL WEEK 2 TOTAL COMBINED POINTS PICKS[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Week[/TD] [TD]Visiting[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Home[/TD] [TD]Pick[/TD] [TD]Total Pts[/TD] [TD]Odds[/TD] [TD]Net Result for 1 unit[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]2[/TD] [TD]Chiefs[/TD] [TD]@[/TD] [TD]Bills[/TD] [TD]over[/TD] [TD]44.5[/TD] [TD]1.9[/TD] [TD]0.9[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]2[/TD] [TD]Saints[/TD] [TD]@[/TD] [TD]Panthers[/TD] [TD]under[/TD] [TD]51.5[/TD] [TD]1.87[/TD] [TD]-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]2[/TD] [TD]Texans[/TD] [TD]@[/TD] [TD]Jaguars[/TD] [TD]over[/TD] [TD]41.5[/TD] [TD]1.92[/TD] [TD]-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]2[/TD] [TD]Cardinals[/TD] [TD]@[/TD] [TD]Patriots[/TD] [TD]under[/TD] [TD]48.5[/TD] [TD]1.85[/TD] [TD]0.85[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]2[/TD] [TD]Titans[/TD] [TD]@[/TD] [TD]Chargers[/TD] [TD]under[/TD] [TD]43.5[/TD] [TD]1.85[/TD] [TD]-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]2[/TD] [TD]Buccaneers[/TD] [TD]@[/TD] [TD]Giants[/TD] [TD]under[/TD] [TD]43.5[/TD] [TD]1.9[/TD] [TD]-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]2[/TD] [TD]Broncos[/TD] [TD]@[/TD] [TD]Falcons[/TD] [TD]under[/TD] [TD]50.5[/TD] [TD]1.97[/TD] [TD]0.97[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]2[/TD] [TD]Redskins[/TD] [TD]@[/TD] [TD]Rams[/TD] [TD]over[/TD] [TD]43.5[/TD] [TD]1.85[/TD] [TD]0.85[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]2[/TD] [TD]Lions[/TD] [TD]@[/TD] [TD]49ers[/TD] [TD]over[/TD] [TD]46.5[/TD] [TD]1.92[/TD] [TD]-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]2[/TD] [TD]Browns[/TD] [TD]@[/TD] [TD]Bengals[/TD] [TD]over[/TD] [TD]39.5[/TD] [TD]1.87[/TD] [TD]0.87[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]2[/TD] [TD]Raiders[/TD] [TD]@[/TD] [TD]Dolphins[/TD] [TD]under[/TD] [TD]38.5[/TD] [TD]1.85[/TD] [TD]-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]2[/TD] [TD]Cowboys[/TD] [TD]@[/TD] [TD]Seahawks[/TD] [TD]under[/TD] [TD]42.5[/TD] [TD]1.92[/TD] [TD]0.92[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]2[/TD] [TD]Jets[/TD] [TD]@[/TD] [TD]Steelers[/TD] [TD]over[/TD] [TD]42.5[/TD] [TD]1.85[/TD] [TD]-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]2[/TD] [TD]Vikings[/TD] [TD]@[/TD] [TD]Colts[/TD] [TD]under[/TD] [TD]45.5[/TD] [TD]1.87[/TD] [TD]0.87[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]2[/TD] [TD]Ravens[/TD] [TD]@[/TD] [TD]Eagles[/TD] [TD]over[/TD] [TD]45.5[/TD] [TD]1.87[/TD] [TD]0.87[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=colspan: 5]Selection made but posted after game played.[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]2[/TD] [TD]Bears[/TD] [TD]@[/TD] [TD]Packers[/TD] [TD]under[/TD] [TD]51.5[/TD] [TD]1.85[/TD] [TD]0.85[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD=colspan: 2]Running Total[/TD] [TD]0.95[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]