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MLB: July 1st 2012 picks


blackcrow

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Miami - Philly over 9.5 @ 2.26 pinnacle Nolasco is 6-6, with a 4.78 ERA as he has allowed at least 4 runs in 6 of his lasty 9 starts, including 3 of his last 6 home starts. He allowed 4 runs on 8 hits in the 5-4 road win over Philly last month. Blanton is 7-6, with a 4.87 ERA and has allowed 5 runs or more in 6 of his last 8 starts as well as in 3 of his last 4 road starts. He allowed 5 runs on 9 hits in the 5-1 home loss to them last month but should get some run support here as the Phillies have scored 5+ runs in 7 of his last 9 starts and 6+ runs in his last 4 starts. Like the look of both teams scoring runs here. Baltimore - Cleveland over 10.5 @ 2.10 pinnacle Matusz is 5-9, with a 5.24 ERA as he has allowed 4+ runs in 3 of his last 4 starts as well as in 2 of his last 3 home starts. With Cleveland having scored 26 runs in their 3 games against Baltimore in this series, then like them to score a few more here. Masterson is 4-7, with a 4.09 ERA as he has allowed 4+ runs in 4 of his 6 road starts this season, and though he has do well against Baltimore last season, and with the Orioles scoring 16 runs in the three games so far this series, they too have shown the ability to score runs. Like this game to go over Atlanta - Washington under 7.5 @ 2.16 pinnacle Hudson is 6-3, with a 3.58 ERA as he has allowed 3 runs or less in his last 4 starts as well as in 7 of his last 9 starts. He has a very low 1.34 ERA in 3 days starts this season, allowing jsut 3 runs in total while going 14-4 with a 2.35 ERA in 24 starts against Washington. Expect him to pitch much better than the 7 runs on 8 hits he allowed in 7-4 home loss in May this season. Gonzalez is 10-3, with a 2.78 ERA as he has allowed 3 runs or less in 9 of his last 10 starts and like him to bounce back after allowing 5 runs on 8 hits in the 12-5 road loss to Colorado. Prior to that, he had given up 2 runs or less in his last 4 road starts, and has a 3.13 ERA on the road as well as a 3.12 ERA when pitching during the day. Like both pitchers to play their part in a low scoring game NY Yankees - Chicago White Sox under 9.5 @ 2.21 pinnacle Hughes is 8-6 with a 4.48 ERA but has allowed 2 runs or less in 8 of his last 10 starts, as well as in 4 of his last 5 home starts. He has gone 2-1 with a 0.75 ERA in 4 starts against the White Sox and like him to keep them quiet yet again. Floyd is 6-7, with a 4.80 as he has not allowed a run in his last two starts while his batters have given him 3 runs of support in 3 of his last 4 starts. He has allowed 2 runs or less in 3 of his last 5 road starts and has won his last two starts in NY. He too is pitching well enough to keep the runs down and keep this to a low scoring game. Minnesota -1.5 @ 2.60 pinnacle Liriano is 2-7, with a 5.30 ERA as he has allowed 3 runs or less in 5 of his last 6 starts, including 3 of 4 at home. He has won 3 of his 4 home starts against Kansas with a 3.81 ERA and allowed 1 run on 4 hits in the 1-0 road loss to them last month. Chen is 7-6, with a 4.53 ERA as he has allowed 3 runs or less in 8 of his last 10 starts, however, he as allowed 6 runs in 2 of his last 5 road starts. Though he allowed just 4 hits in the win over Minnesota while opposing Liriano last month, he has struggled in Minnesota, going 1-2 with a 6.14 ERA in his last 4 starts there, as he did give up 6 runs on 6 hits in the 7-4 road loss to them in April. He has a 7.56 ERA when pitching during the day, and like themTwins to hit him here Record: 87-144 (-22.31)

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