Flat Racing Wednesday 6th June

[robertob]

16.15 Nottingham: Dubai Dynamo @ 14/1 VC Small field and a really difficult race but when I looked through all the runners it turned out that only one of them will appreciate the given conditions: Dubai Dynamo, the biggest price in the field. He has a bit to find on the ratings apparently but he definitely won't mind the ground and he is proven over the distance. Both things doesn't apply to the rest of the field in one or another way. Favourite St Moritz is the class act, no doubt, but all his good performances came on at least good ground and he rather prefers fast conditions to be seen at his best anyway. It his highly likely that the word soft appears in the ground description at Nottingham tomorrow and therefore he's very short in the betting market. For Invisible Man applies the same. He has never showed anything on ground worse than good, he has to overcome a long break as well. Rodrigo De Torres likes cut in the ground as he showed a few weeks ago when he finished a strong 2nd at Thirsk. The distance looks too far for him, though. The 3yo Graphic don't face an easy task at the weights here and is not an attractive price in my mind. Bay Knight makes a bit appeal. The soft ground is definitely not problem but 1m looks not his ideal distance. That leaves me with Dubai Dynamo, who is a very big price for a horse that finds the conditions very much in his favour. The majority of his good performances came on softish ground and he stays definitely 1 mile. He's also in good form at the moment, he won in impressive style at Ripon two weeks ago, couldn't really confirm that success nine days later at the same track, though. But the ground was very fast that day and he had to shoulder a penalty, yet he was not too far beaten. He's got a chance in this race here tomorrow anyway. Edit: Price gone in meantime of writing. VC don't offer a price now anymore atm, Boylesports does though with 5/1! Bf still 10/1. Strange.

[Bathtime For Rupert]

Re: Flat Racing Wednesday 6th June 2.00 Nottingham - 2pts win Comrade Bond @ 11/1 (Bet365) Mark Tompkins has had a couple of winners recently and with Ted Durcan jumping back aboard his generally progressive runner here, I anticipate a good run. He's been partnered by amateurs and apprentices the last twice over 7f with his 3rd at Lingfield two starts back being a solid effort seen as he was keen over 7f and was only swamped late on when looking like the winner. Last time he chased a hot early pace in a hands and heels race which saw those prosper who didn't go the early gallop to the same extent. Similarly, the 7f at Salisbury proved too much of a test and a return to 6f on an easier track with a bit of cut in the ground is ideal. He has to improve again a little bit but his run at Lingfield off this mark was sound, and Durcan has a fine record on the horse with a win, two narrow seconds, and a third from four runs on board. Durcan's last two rides for Tompkins have seen a win and a third in the last fortnight so it's a positive to see him back on this one. Hopeful of a good run at a decent price.