Self created ratings test thread

[delnaja]

Hi, I have come up with a way of rating runners in both Jump and Flat and on all surfaces. Which I want to test in a public forum. I won't be betting using this system until I have proved it works which may never happen. The reason I am posting in glory hunters forum is that I am not ready at the moment to release details of the way I get to my ratings. If it works I will post the spreadsheet if requested. I will be starting with an imaginary 100point bank betting 1point per selection (no matter what the odds) There are some races without a clear selection, and the ratings seem to throw up a lot of first and second favourites also. Here goes... [TABLE=width: 230]

[TR] [TD][/TD] [TD]Saturday 7th April[/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Kempton[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1:35pm[/TD] [TD]NO SELECTION[/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]2:05pm[/TD] [TD]Maverik[/TD] [TD=align: right]8.8[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]2:40pm[/TD] [TD]Law of the Range[/TD] [TD=align: right]3.3[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]3:15pm[/TD] [TD]Rasheed[/TD] [TD=align: right]6[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]3:45pm[/TD] [TD]Laugh out Loud[/TD] [TD=align: right]2.32[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]4:20pm[/TD] [TD]Leqqaa[/TD] [TD=align: right]2.46[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]4:55pm[/TD] [TD]Galician[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.55[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Carlisle[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1:45pm[/TD] [TD]Bellapais Abbey [/TD] [TD] N/R[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]2:15pm[/TD] [TD]Dartford Warbler[/TD] [TD=align: right]3.2[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]2:50pm[/TD] [TD]Rich Lord[/TD] [TD=align: right]2.04[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]3:25pm[/TD] [TD]Long Distance[/TD] [TD=align: right]7[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]3:55pm[/TD] [TD]Vamizi[/TD] [TD=align: right]3.2[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]4:30pm[/TD] [TD]Quel Elite[/TD] [TD=align: right]8.8[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]5:05pm[/TD] [TD]Saddle Pack[/TD] [TD=align: right]3[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]5:40pm[/TD] [TD]Keeneland[/TD] [TD=align: right]4.2[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Haydock[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1:50pm[/TD] [TD]Charminster[/TD] [TD=align: right]2.38[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]2:25pm[/TD] [TD]NO SELECTION[/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]2:55pm[/TD] [TD]Top Smart[/TD] [TD=align: right]12[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]3:30pm[/TD] [TD]Owen Glendower[/TD] [TD=align: right]5.6[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]4:05pm[/TD] [TD]Sydney Paget[/TD] [TD=align: right]4.6[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]4:40pm[/TD] [TD]Emperor Concerto[/TD] [TD=align: right]9.6[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]5:15pm[/TD] [TD]NO SELECTION[/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=colspan: 2]Newton Abbot[/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1:55pm[/TD] [TD]My Regal Lady[/TD] [TD=align: right]8.2[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]2:30pm[/TD] [TD]Kilvergan Boy[/TD] [TD=align: right]3.3[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]3:05pm[/TD] [TD]Opening Batsman[/TD] [TD=align: right]2.78[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]3:40pm[/TD] [TD]NO SELECTION[/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]4:10pm[/TD] [TD]NO SELECTION[/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]4:45pm[/TD] [TD]NO SELECTION[/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]5:20pm[/TD] [TD]Right Option[/TD] [TD=align: right]10.5[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=colspan: 2]Musselburgh[/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]2:10pm[/TD] [TD]NO SELECTION[/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]2:45pm[/TD] [TD]Hamish McGonnagall[/TD] [TD=align: right]3.9[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]3:20pm[/TD] [TD]Jeannie Galloway[/TD] [TD=align: right]5.9[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]3:50pm[/TD] [TD]Shabora[/TD] [TD=align: right]9.8[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]4:25pm[/TD] [TD]Cabal[/TD] [TD=align: right]4.5[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]5:00pm[/TD] [TD]Key Gold[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.49[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]5:35pm[/TD] [TD]Greenhead High[/TD] [TD=align: right]6.8[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

[delnaja]

Re: Self created ratings test thread As Betfar require min £2 bet. Ive changed my bets to 2point bets for ease. Today went ok, 8 winners from 28 picks with 28% strike rate 16 out of 28 in first 3. Ive decided to probably be a bit more selective rather than blindly using the ratings. [TABLE=width: 383]

[TR] [TD]Kempton[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Price[/TD] [TD]Stake[/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1:35pm[/TD] [TD]NO SELECTION[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD=align: right]0[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]2:05pm[/TD] [TD]Maverik[/TD] [TD=align: right]8.8[/TD] [TD=align: right]2[/TD] [TD=align: right]-2[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]2:40pm[/TD] [TD]Law of the Range[/TD] [TD=align: right]3.4[/TD] [TD=align: right]2[/TD] [TD=align: right]-2[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]3:15pm[/TD] [TD]Rasheed[/TD] [TD=align: right]6[/TD] [TD=align: right]2[/TD] [TD=align: right]-2[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]3:45pm[/TD] [TD]Laugh out Loud[/TD] [TD=align: right]7.6[/TD] [TD=align: right]2[/TD] [TD=align: right]15.2[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]4:20pm[/TD] [TD]Leqqaa[/TD] [TD=align: right]4.4[/TD] [TD=align: right]2[/TD] [TD=align: right]-2[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]4:55pm[/TD] [TD]Galician[/TD] [TD=align: right]3.85[/TD] [TD=align: right]2[/TD] [TD=align: right]-2[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Carlisle[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1:45pm[/TD] [TD]Bellapais Abbey [/TD] [TD] N/R[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD=align: right]0[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]2:15pm[/TD] [TD]Dartford Warbler[/TD] [TD=align: right]3.05[/TD] [TD=align: right]2[/TD] [TD=align: right]5.89[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]2:50pm[/TD] [TD]Rich Lord[/TD] [TD=align: right]2.04[/TD] [TD=align: right]2[/TD] [TD=align: right]-2[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]3:25pm[/TD] [TD]Long Distance[/TD] [TD=align: right]7[/TD] [TD=align: right]2[/TD] [TD=align: right]14[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]3:55pm[/TD] [TD]Vamizi[/TD] [TD=align: right]3.2[/TD] [TD=align: right]2[/TD] [TD=align: right]-2[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]4:30pm[/TD] [TD]Quel Elite[/TD] [TD=align: right]8.8[/TD] [TD=align: right]2[/TD] [TD=align: right]-2[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]5:05pm[/TD] [TD]Saddle Pack[/TD] [TD=align: right]3[/TD] [TD=align: right]2[/TD] [TD=align: right]6.1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]5:40pm[/TD] [TD]Keeneland[/TD] [TD=align: right]4.2[/TD] [TD=align: right]2[/TD] [TD=align: right]-2[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Haydock[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1:50pm[/TD] [TD]Charminster[/TD] [TD=align: right]2.38[/TD] [TD=align: right]2[/TD] [TD=align: right]-2[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]2:25pm[/TD] [TD]NO SELECTION[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD=align: right]0[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]2:55pm[/TD] [TD]Top Smart[/TD] [TD=align: right]12[/TD] [TD=align: right]2[/TD] [TD=align: right]-2[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]3:30pm[/TD] [TD]Owen Glendower[/TD] [TD=align: right]5.6[/TD] [TD=align: right]2[/TD] [TD=align: right]-2[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]4:05pm[/TD] [TD]Sydney Paget[/TD] [TD=align: right]4.6[/TD] [TD=align: right]2[/TD] [TD=align: right]-2[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]4:40pm[/TD] [TD]Emperor Concerto[/TD] [TD=align: right]9.2[/TD] [TD=align: right]2[/TD] [TD=align: right]-2[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]5:15pm[/TD] [TD]NO SELECTION[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD=align: right]0[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=colspan: 2]Newton Abbot[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1:55pm[/TD] [TD]Bollin Juduth[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.37[/TD] [TD=align: right]2[/TD] [TD=align: right]2.74[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]2:30pm[/TD] [TD]Kilvergan Boy[/TD] [TD=align: right]3.3[/TD] [TD=align: right]2[/TD] [TD=align: right]-2[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]3:05pm[/TD] [TD]Opening Batsman[/TD] [TD=align: right]2.78[/TD] [TD=align: right]2[/TD] [TD=align: right]5.06[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]3:40pm[/TD] [TD]NO SELECTION[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD=align: right]0[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]4:10pm[/TD] [TD]NO SELECTION[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD=align: right]0[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]4:45pm[/TD] [TD]NO SELECTION[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD=align: right]0[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]5:20pm[/TD] [TD]Right Option[/TD] [TD=align: right]10.5[/TD] [TD=align: right]2[/TD] [TD=align: right]-2[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=colspan: 2]Musselburgh[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]2:10pm[/TD] [TD]NO SELECTION[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD=align: right]0[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]2:45pm[/TD] [TD]Hamish McGonnagall[/TD] [TD=align: right]3.9[/TD] [TD=align: right]2[/TD] [TD=align: right]9.64[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]3:20pm[/TD] [TD]Jeannie Galloway[/TD] [TD=align: right]5.9[/TD] [TD=align: right]2[/TD] [TD=align: right]-2[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]3:50pm[/TD] [TD]Shabora[/TD] [TD=align: right]9.8[/TD] [TD=align: right]2[/TD] [TD=align: right]-2[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]4:25pm[/TD] [TD]Cabal[/TD] [TD=align: right]4.5[/TD] [TD=align: right]2[/TD] [TD=align: right]-2[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]5:00pm[/TD] [TD]Key Gold[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.49[/TD] [TD=align: right]2[/TD] [TD=align: right]2.91[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]5:35pm[/TD] [TD]Greenhead High[/TD] [TD=align: right]6.8[/TD] [TD=align: right]2[/TD] [TD=align: right]-2[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Bollin Judith replaced NR: My Regal Lady Starting Bank : 100 points Current Bank : 121.54 points Bank +/- : +21.54