anaconda69 Posted March 21, 2012 Share Posted March 21, 2012 Will paper trade until I get some new money on my account (have a £10.00 a week limit on betfair to limit losses were applicable and not get carried away) I have seen many bets on 1.02 I and others putting on that have failed for over 0.5 goals+, although admittedly, some are pulling out a profit from patience and dedication via compunding their bets all in. I want to see what doing the opposite on with only rules that games are 20-1 or better to end 0-0, no statistics will be used, but I may be swayed towards some Greek and Championship games were under 1.5 goals are higher. The increasing stake will hopefully mean that a profit will be made when a 0-0 comes along. Rules Will consider trading out at half time if odds are good enough, but will run a separate indication of profit for trading out. Stakes will be 10 points for ease, increasing stake after each losing 10 games of 5 points until a win. Odds will need to be 14-1 or better. Bets with Betfair but won't take into account 5%, we can do that at the end by taking 5% off. Target will be 10 times starting stake, so at least 100 points, which means hitting 6 25-1s from 50 bets, 12 from 100 bets etc, but hopefully a few 50-1s and 33-1s may come in to ease that brutal strike rate. I will bet when time allows and put up results after the bet has been traded and game ended. If I've forgotten anything I need to mention, please let me know. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anaconda69 Posted March 21, 2012 Author Share Posted March 21, 2012 Re: Paper trading 0-0 back on long odds All games on this evening: FC Basel V Lausanne 33-1 18:45 Hapoel Kfar Saba V Maccabi Haifa 15-1 18:45 Athletico Madrid V Athletico Bilbao 16-1 19:00 FC International U19 V Marseille U19 15-1 (at least) 19:00 KV Kortrijk V GBA 29/2 19:30 Blackpool V Leicester 15/1 20:00 If I traded any out, I'd look at the 0-0 half time odds. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anaconda69 Posted March 21, 2012 Author Share Posted March 21, 2012 Re: Paper trading 0-0 back on long odds Both FC Basel V Lausanne 33-1 18:45 Hapoel Kfar Saba V Maccabi Haifa 15-1 18:45 0-0 after 22 mins, odds already half nearly for trading out, but will wait till halftime to keep with rules ;) fc basel out just scored Hapoel Kfar Saba V Maccabi Haifa 0-0 ht lay is 4-1 at most, so laying 30 points at 4-1 costing 120 points, means profit of 20 points for 1 goal or more, or 30 point profit for 0-0 ft. As stated in 1st post, will keep count of Betting only without trades also. 0-0 ft so a win of 30 points trade and 150 points ft scoring :D Athletico game looks good for a trade at half time 0-0 40 mins, will post shortly hopefully, but the inter game has a 1-0 lead, two losses so far, one half time gain. Athletico Madrid V Athletico Bilbao 0-0 ht, again will lay 30 points at 4.7 costing 111 points, means profit of 20 points for 1 goal or more, 49 point profit for 0-0 ft. Athletico score so 20 points profit KV Kortrijk V GBA 29/2 19:30 0-0 ht, laying 30 points at 4.5 costing 105 points, means profit of 20 points for 1 goal or more, 40 points for 0-0 ft Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anaconda69 Posted March 21, 2012 Author Share Posted March 21, 2012 Re: Paper trading 0-0 back on long odds Final Results are in: FC Basel V Lausanne 33-1 18:45 lost 10 points Hapoel Kfar Saba V Maccabi Haifa 15-1 18:45 won 150 points / traded for 30 points profit Athletico Madrid V Athletico Bilbao 16-1 19:00 lost 10 points / traded for 20 points profit FC International U19 V Marseille U19 15-1 (at least) 19:00 lost 10 points KV Kortrijk V GBA 29/2 19:30 lost 10 points / traded for 20 points profit Blackpool V Leicester 15/1 20:00 lost 10 points Trade: 6 games 10 points each, 3 won for 70 points - 30 points on 3 lost = 40 points profit 0-0 scoreline - 6 games 10 points each, 1 won for 150 points - 50 points on 5 lost = 100 points profit Good start to the thread, will post more soon. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anaconda69 Posted March 22, 2012 Author Share Posted March 22, 2012 Re: Trading 0-0 back on long odds (140 points profit from 6 games) Malaga v real vallecano 17-1 21:00 start Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anaconda69 Posted March 22, 2012 Author Share Posted March 22, 2012 Re: Trading 0-0 back on long odds (140 points profit from 6 games) ABOVE lost athletico vs codoy cruz 1am 16-1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anaconda69 Posted March 23, 2012 Author Share Posted March 23, 2012 Re: Trading 0-0 back on long odds (140 points profit from 6 games) both above had goals in first half so loss of 20 points in each area. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anaconda69 Posted March 24, 2012 Author Share Posted March 24, 2012 Re: Trading 0-0 back on long odds (100 points profit from 8 games) Barnsley V Peterborough 29/2 Bolton V Blackburn 14/1 Preston V Bury 14/1 0-0 back and trade half time if 0-0 at approx 4-1 or less My value 0.5+ is swansea v everton for anyone doing other way at 1/8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anaconda69 Posted March 25, 2012 Author Share Posted March 25, 2012 Re: Trading 0-0 back on long odds (100 points profit from 8 games) 0-0 traded Preston match 4-1 for 20 points profit but early goals for others so down 30 points 0-0 and breakeven trade Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anaconda69 Posted March 30, 2012 Author Share Posted March 30, 2012 Re: Trading 0-0 back on long odds (100 points profit from 8 games) Club Brugge V Genk 17/1 Dortmund V Stuttgart 21/1 Again, trades on 0-0 ht, and singular bet on 0-0 ft 9 games without win, so goes up to 15 points on dortmund onwards. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anaconda69 Posted March 30, 2012 Author Share Posted March 30, 2012 Re: Trading 0-0 back on long odds (100 points profit from 8 games) Club Brugge out, Dortmund 0-0 30 mins :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anaconda69 Posted March 30, 2012 Author Share Posted March 30, 2012 Re: Trading 0-0 back on long odds (100 points profit from 8 games) Both out 1-0 dortmund Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted March 30, 2012 Share Posted March 30, 2012 Re: Trading 0-0 back on long odds (100 points profit from 8 games) good luck with this :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
craigeecraigoo Posted March 31, 2012 Share Posted March 31, 2012 Re: Trading 0-0 back on long odds (100 points profit from 8 games) This sounds a similar strategy to the betting exchange buster. It worked but relied on in play betting and I am not near a computer enough to use it effectively enough. Good luck Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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