Premier League Value - Defying The Odds

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So I've gone through all my bets in what is almost the end of the first half of the season in many leagues across Europe. To my surprise, the English Premier League has been my most profitable market, despite the common belief that it is one of the most difficult leagues to find value in. Unlike lower leagues, where lots of factors are often not taken into consideration by bookies, any news that breaks in the Premier League is immediately factored in to the odds, making finding value almost impossible. However, betting on lower leagues has its disadvantages. E.g. standard of officials, state of pitches, possibility of fixing, condition of players etc etc. As a small experiment, I am going to devote a very small bank to just EPL matches, to explore the possibility of finding long-term value and profit. I will try any market (usually AH, goals, corners, cards) and see if I am still in profit by the end of the season. Starting with £100, I will operate a staggered staking system. 5% = odds below 1.8 3% = odds between 1.8 and 3 1% = odds above 3

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Re: Premier League Value - Defying The Odds I will write explanations of my bets when I have time, but as the match has just kicked off on my first bet, I will not. QPR v Man Utd - over 2.5 goals @ 1.8 (stanjames) 3% = £3 to win £2.40