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MLB: August 17th picks


blackcrow

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Like this card, so going with a larger number of picks today. Boston - Tampa Bay over 9.5 @ 2.08 pinnacle Lackey is 11-8 with a 6.08 ERA as he has allowed at least 3 runs in 7 of his last 10 starts (total of 33 runs) with an average of nearly 8 hits per game. He has won 6 of his last 7 games, but has received quite a bit of run support, with at least 6 runs scored in each of his last 6 starts (total of 50 runs) as each of these 6 games has seen at least 10 runs scored in them. Lackey allowed 3 runs on 10 hits in the 9-5 road win over Tampa Bay last month, and can see them scoring on him again here. Price is 10-10 with a 3.76 ERA as he has allowed at least 4 runs in 5 of his last 8 starts, as well as in 3 of his last 4 road starts. He allowed 3 runs on 5 hits in the 9-6 home win over Boston last month, and like the Boston bats to score on him here, as they do tend to hit left handed pitching quite well Houston - Chicago Cubs over 8.5 @ 2.01 pinnacle Norris is 5-8 with a 3.55 ERA as he has tended to ptich much better on the road than at home of late. Of his last 10 starts where he has allowed a total of 24 runs, he has allowed 20 of these runs in his last 5 home starts. He allowed 1 run on 8 hits in the 4-2 road loss to the Cubs last month, but now at home, where he has struggled, then can see them hitting some more runs off him. Coleman is 2-4 with a 7.03 ERA as he has allowed at least 4 runs in 4 of his last 8 starts (total of 27 runs) and has a high 8.19 ERA when pitching during the day compared to a 4.97 ERA at night. Like the weak hitting Astros to score some runs here, as they have managed to score 9 runs in this series with the Cubs. San Diego -1.5 @ 2.65 pinnacle Latos is 6-11 with a 3.80 ERA as he has allowed 2 runs or less in his last 3 starts (total of 5 runs) and has given up 10 runs in his last 4 home starts. He has allowed 3 runs on 6 hits in total in winning both of his starts against the Mets. The Mets have scored 3 runs or less in 3 of their last 5 games, which have been on the road, and may be looking forward to heading home for the weekend series with the Brewers. Gee is 10-4 with a 4.07 ERA as he has allowed at least 3 runs in 7 of his last 10 starts (total of 32 runs) with 3 or more runs in 4 of his last 5 road starts (total of 17 runs). While he has yet to face the Padres, they are a side that is hitting well and like them to score some runs on him given the form they are in, as the Padres have scored at least 4 runs in 9 of their last 12 games, so like Latos to get some run support here. Philly - Arizona under 7.5 @ 2.08 pinnacle Lee is 12-7 with a 2.83 as he has allowed 2 runs or less in 7 of his last 10 starts (total of 18 runs) with just 10 runs in his last 5 home starts. He allowed 4 runs on 5 hits in the 4-0 road loss to Arizona in April this year, but like him to be even better at home here. Saunders is 8-9 with a 3.76 ERA as he has allowed 3 runs or less in 9 of his last 10 starts (total of 21 runs) with just 8 runs in his last 6 road starts. Though he allowed 6 runs on 10 hits in the 8-4 home loss to them in April this year, the Phillies have not hit left handed pitching all that well this year, and with Saunders in good form, like him to contain them here. Detroit - Minnesota over 9.5 @ 2.17 pinnacle Penny is 8-9 with a 4.99 ERA as he has allowed at least 4 runs in 5 of his last 6 starts, with 14 runs allowed in his last 3 home starts. He has given up 9 runs and 17 hits in his two games against Minnesota this year, with 4 runs on 7 hits allowed in the 4-1 road loss to them last month. Pavano is 6-9 with a 4.55 ERA as he has allowed at least 5 runs in 3 of his last 5 starts, with 16 runs allowed in his last 3 road starts. He gave up 5 runs on 9 hits in the 6-2 home loss to Detroit last month and like them to score off him again here. St Louis -1.5 @ 2.39 pinnacle Lohse is 10-7 with a 3.37 ERA as he has allowed just 6 runs in his last 4 starts, which included giving up 2 runs on 4 hits in the 4-3 road loss to them last month. He has shown enough of late to suggest that he will not allow many runs here. Maholm is 6-13 with a 3.60 ERA as he has allowed at least 3 runs in 5 of his last 6 starts, which includes 16 runs in his last 3 home starts. He faced the Cardinals last month, where he allowed 5 runs on 10 hits in the 6-4 home to loss, and like them to hit him again as they look to avoid the sweep here. Chicago White Sox -1.5 @ 2.36 pinnacle Buehrle is 10-5, with a 3.06 ERA as he has allowed 3 runs or less in his last 18 starts, with just a total of 15 runs allowed. He has given up 7 runs in his last 5 home starts, and allowed 4 runs on 8 hits in the 15-10 win over Cleveland in April this year. Carmona is 5-12, with a 5.12 ERA as he has allowed 29 runs in his last 10 starts. Though he has pitched much better of late, he has had his problems with the White Sox this year, as he allowed 10 runs in this loss on opening day to Buehrle, while he allowed another 8 runs in the 8-2 road loss to them in May. With wins in their last 3 games, and just 3.5 games behind Detroit in their division, like the White Sox to continue the good roll they are on with another win here. LA Angels -1.5 @ 2.92 pinnacle Santana is 9-8, with a 3.10 ERA as he has allowed 3 runs or less in each of his last 10 starts (total of 14 runs) with 8 runs allowed in his last 5 home games. He has won each of his last 5 starts with 1 run or none at all allowed in them, and though he has struggled in both of his starts against Texas this year, both games were on the road. Santana has won his last 3 home starts against them with a 1.50 ERA to go with it. Wilson is 11-5, with a 3.28 as he has allowed 5 runs in 2 of his last 4 starts. He is 3-2 with a 1.61 ERA in his last 7 starts against the LA Angels as he allowed 1 run on 2 hits in the 1-0 road loss to them last month, but feel the Angels will get to him here as they need a win here to not only to avoid losing three in a row to Texas, but also to peg back the increasing lead they have over them. August picks: 26-42 (-8.60) July picks: 54-62 (+3.14) June picks: 53-72 (-2.95) May picks: 31-73 (-30.18) April picks: 45-56 (+2.52)

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