MLB: August 7th picks

[blackcrow]

Pittsburgh - San Diego over 8.5 @ 2.30 pinnacle Correia is 12-9, with a 4.71 ERA as he is 2-7 with a 7.86 ERA in 10 home starts, compared to a 2.74 ERA on the road. He has allowed 27 runs in his last 5 home starts and hard to see him not giving up runs since San Diego have scored 15 and 13 runs in the two games of this present series. Latos is 5-11 with a 3.94 ERA as he has allowed at least 3 runs in 7 of his last 01 starts (total of 27 runs) with 15 runs in his last 5 road starts. He is 1-0 with a 3.00 ERA in 2 starts against Pittsburgh and allowed 2 runs in the 6-5 win over them in May this year. Both pitchers are giving up runs and with 4 of the 5 games they have played this season seeing at least 9 runs scored, like this game to be another game that goes over. Baltimore - Toronto under 8.5 @ 2.09 pinnacle Simon is 3-45 with a 3.83 ERA as he has allowed 3 runs or less in his last 5 starts, with just 2 runs in each of his last 2 home starts. He allowed 3 runs on 7 hits in the 3-0 loss to Romero and Toronto last month, and like him to do well again here. Romero is 9-9, with a 2.98 ERA as he has allowed 3 runs or less in 8 of his last 10 starts (total of 22 runs) with 12 runs in his last 5 road starts. He has won his last 2 starts against Baltimore, with just 1 run on 7 hits allowed in these 2 games, and allowed just 4 hits in the 3-0 win over them last month. Like these two to pitch well again and keep this to a low scoring game. Tampa Bay - Oakland over 7.5 @ 2.02 pinnacle Price is 9-10, with a 3.77 ERA as he has allowed at least 3 runs in 7 of his last 10 starts (total of 31 runs) with 13 runs in his last 5 home starts. He allowed 4 runs on 7 hits and 5 walks in his most recent starts against Oakland, in the 6-1 loss to them last month, and is 1-1 with a 3.66 ERA in 3 starts against them. Cahill is 9-10, with a 3.91 ERA as he has allowed 17 runs in his last 2 road starts. He is 2-1 with a 5.00 ERA in 3 starts against Tampa Bay and like the Rays to hit him here. They have combinned to score at least 8 runs in 5 of their 6 meetings this year and like this one to go over again Detroit -1.5 @ 2.28 pinnacle Scherzer is 11-6, with a 4.23 ERA as he has allowed 2 runs or less in 8 of his last 10 starts (total of 25 runs) with just 4 runs in his last 3 road starts. He is 4-2 with a 2.34 ERA against Kansas as he allowed 1 run on 6 hits in the 3-1 road win over them last month. Chen is 5-5 with a 4.37 ERA as he has allowed at least 3 runs in 6 of his last 10 starts (total of 33 runs) with 18 runs allowed in losing 3 of his last 4 starts. He allowed 3 hits in the 3-1 win over Detroit in April this year but faces a side in very good form and looking to continue that form here with a sweep of games in this series. LA Angels -1.5 @ 2.77 pinnacle Santana is 7-8, with a 3.32 ERA as he has allowed 2 runs or less in 8 if his last 10 starts (total of 18 runs) and allowed just 1 run in throwing successive complete games. He has allowed 7 runs in his last 4 home starts, and allowed 3 runs on 6 hits in the 4-3 win over Seattle last month. Hernandez is 10-9, with a 3.36 ERA as he has allowed at least 3 runs in 5 of his last 10 starts (total of 28 runs) with 10 runs in his last 4 road starts. He is 0-3 with a 3.47 ERA in his last 7 starts against the Angels, and allowed 2 runs in the 4-2 loss to them last month. The Angels can hit while the Mariners have difficulties in scoring, so like the Angels to continue their aim of overtaking Texas in their division August picks: 12-15 (+0.70) July picks: 54-62 (+3.14) June picks: 53-72 (-2.95) May picks: 31-73 (-30.18) April picks: 45-56 (+2.52)

[kattis]

Re: MLB: August 7th picks 1/3 yesterday (only the Cubs came through easily) as far as main picks are concerned and 4/4 on the secondary selections; in total 5/7 for the night and even though the number is very good, I would have preffered one more main pick in rather then Oakland's win for instance (damn these insticts sometimes; rubbish on the road Oakland with a comfortable 8-0 shutout win). Oh, not to embrace myself or anything, but it does feel nice to call a monster over (Colorado yesterday) and see 22 runs plated, the most scored in of yesterday's games... On to today: ATL @ NYM: Mets win @ 2,10 (bookmaker)...5/10 As I suspected last night, the Mets bats did finally warm up against the struggling since the All-star break Hanson and despite Niese not being at his best on the mound, they tied the series with an 11-7 win. Going into the series finale today, the Mets will send Dillon Gee on the mound, who has been one of the most reliable guys in the rotation throughout the season, something proven by his 10-3 record as well as the 3.69 ERA posted. His last scheduled start on Wednesday never happened due to the rainout so the certain thing here is that Gee is well rested coming into this game; prior to that, he has a 2-0 record in his latest three outings with an ERA of 3.38, remaining just as consistent as he has been all season so far, at least giving his team a chance to win every time he is out there. The Atlanta Braves will oppose with their lefty Mike Minor, one of their hotter prospects that was involved in several trade rumors last week. Last time we saw him was about a month and a half back, when he pitched a one run ball game against Toronto on five hit and today he get’s the nod in replacement of Jurrjens. The Mets have already seen him a couple of times and despite Minor having a 1-0 record in those two starts, he’s posted a 6.75 ERA. With the Mets coming through nicely last night, I am giving them the go today as well at what I consider a nice price to do so. As mentioned already, Gee has been one of the most consistent starters in their rotation while it should also be noted that he has a lifetime 2-1 record against Atlanta in four starts with a very impressive 1.52 ERA and an even more impressive 0.54 ERA in the latest three starts which came earlier this season. CWS @ MIN: White Sox win @ 1,87 (bet365)…7/10 After a rough stretch and consecutive losses, the Chicago White Sox have rebounded nicely to pick up two straight wins over the Minnesota Twins, a place they also traditionally have struggled a lot. Good pitching has been the key so far and with Jake Peavy on the rubber today, it looks like they have a good chance to complete the sweep. Now, Peavy’s season certainly hasn’t been any spectacular but his last outing looked really promising and I am sensing it may be a sign for a strong finish in this second half of the season. He pitched a really good game against the strong Yankees lineup, only to pick up a hard luck loss (2-3) and should he carry that performance into today’s game, he should pick up the W against this Twins team that certainly don’t possess that much offensive strength. Opposing pitcher here will be Brian Duensing, who is coming off a mediocre outing in L.A and who for the most part has been quite hittable. SEA @ LAA: Angels win @ 1,81 (bet365)...7/10 Great pitching match up in this one, with Felix Hernandez going at it for Seattle against Ervin Santana for the L.A. Angels. As much as Seattle have certainly picked it up a bit over the last week or so, they are still pretty bad on the road and with Ervin Santana rolling lately, it feels like the Angels should be able to continue in winning ways and stay close to Texas in this interesting race in the American League West. Felix Hernandez has pitched great for Seattle lately and is coming off two really good outings against the Yankees and A’s, both of which resulted in wins but he’s always had trouble when facing the Angels in L.A., with a 4-8 life time record against them and a 4.11 ERA. L.A. rightfully favored here and at a pretty fair price, medium high stakes for me… Elsewhere around the league, the over in Florida is quite appealing to me, with a couple of pitchers that have been really up and down for the most part of the season and even though I got stung yesterday, I'm again feeling pretty good about Pittsburgh; can't suggest the bet but I do see them winning today and ending the skid. Cheers and good luck ;)