MLB: August 2nd Picks

[AGurv]

MLB Overall 2011 107-83 +16.20 units (56.31%) Dodgers -101 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes Pirates -145 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes Don't forget the contest BC :cow

[blackcrow]

Re: MLB: August 2nd Picks Washington - Atlanta over 8.5 @ 2.03 pinnacle Lannan is 7-7, with a 3.63 ERA as he has allowed at least 3 runs in his last 3 home starts (total of 10 runs). He has been able to complete 7 innings only 2 times in his last 10 starts, so it means that their (average) bullpen does get a workout. Also Lannan has given up 4 walks in his last 3 starts, so he is allowing batters to get on base. Though he is 2-0 with a 2.70 ERA in 3 starts against Atlanta this season, they have seen enough of him to be able to read his pitches and get some runs here. Lowe is 6-9, with a 4.52 ERA and he has allowed at least 3 runs in 8 of his last 10 starts (total of 32 runs) with at least 4 runs in 5 of his last 6 road starts. He allowed 5 runs on 6 hits and 3 walks in the 6-5 win over Washington in May this year, with 7 of their 10 games this season seeing them score 9+ in their games, like both sets of bats toscore on each of these two pitchers to send it over the total. Pittsburgh - Chicago Cubs over 8.5 @ 2.03 pinnacle Correia is 12-8, with a 4.24 ERA as he has allowed at least 3 runs in 7 of his last 10 starts (total of 34 runs) but he is much better on the road than at home where he has allowed 23 runs in his last 5 home starts compared to just 11 runs in his last 5 road starts. He allowed 5 runs on 9 hits in the 6-3 home loss to the Cubs last month, and with an average of 7 hits allowed in his last 10 starts, and the fact that he has only once gone past the 7th innings in these starts, then can see the Cubs scoring some runs here. Wells is 2-4, with a 6.16 ERA as he has allowed at least 4 runs in 7 of his last 10 starts (total of 38 runs) with 21 runs in his last 5 road starts. With both pitchers struggling at home and on the road respectively, then like this to go over, just like 6 of their 10 meetings this season where they have scored 9+ runs in these games Detroit - Texas under 8.5 @ 2.02 pinnacle Scherzer is 11-6, with a 4.28 as he has allowed 2 runs or less in 7 of his last 10 starts (total of 28 runs) with just 13 runs in his last 5 home starts, with just one bad start in these games. He is 3-0 with a 3.48 ERA against Texas as he allowed 2 runs in the 3-2 win over them in April this year. The Rangers are missing some of their bats which will help Scherzer keep this total of runs allowed by him, down. Lewis is 10-8, with a 4.00 ERA as he has allowed 3 runs or less in 6 of his last 8 starts (total of 16 runs), with just 4 runs in his last 3 road starts. Like him to make up for his last start against Detroit where he allowed 9 runs on 10 hits in the 13-7 loss to them in June this year, as since then he has put together 6 out of 8 good starts. NY Mets - Florida over 8.5 @ 1.94 pinnacle Capuano is 9-10, with a 4.51 as he has allowed 4 runs or more in his last 3 starts, which includes 4 runs in both games against Florida, that was played away then at home last month. Expect Florida to hti him again as they should be able to read Capuano's pitches since they should be fresh in their minds. Hand is 1-3, with a 2.73 ERA and though he has alowed 3 runs or less in each of his 6 starts this season, only once has he gone past the 6th innings in these starts, and has allowed at least 3 walks in 5 of these 6 starts, so think that his luck will run out soon enough and he will get hit. Though the Mets have not seen him yet, they have hit well enough of late to make you think they will score on him, as these two teams have hit at least 9 runs in 6 of their 9 meetings this year. Boston - Cleveland under 8.5 @ 2.06 pinnacle Beckett is 9-4, with a low 2.17 ERA as he has allowed 3 runs or less in 9 of his last 10 starts (total of 20 runs) with 10 runs in his last 4 home starts. He has a 1.88 ERA in 9 home starts so he is tough to score on at home. Beckett has faced Cleveland twice this year where he allowed 3 runs on 5 hits in the 3-1 loss to them in April and then 1 run on 5 hits in the 4-2 win over them in May. Like hi to continue to do well here. at home against them. Huff is 1-1, with a 0.71 ERA in his 2 starts so far this season, allowing just 1 run. He has allowed just 5 hits in 7 innings in his only road start in Minnesota, so like him to do well here, as Boston have not seen him yet. These two teams have scored less than 8 runs in 4 of their 7 meetings this year, and with the form these two pitchers are in, like this to stay under. Houston @ 2.19 pinnacle Rodriguez is 7-7, with a 3.47 ERA and has pitched much better in his last 2 starts, both on the road, where he has allowed just 3 runs in these 2 starts. He usually pitches much better at home, though he has gone 0,5,0,4 in his last 4 home starts, so looking to him to not allow a run if the trends continue. Also, Rodriguez is 3-0 with a 2.18 ERA in his last 5 home starts against Cincinnati, and they are coming off a 4-3 win voer them last night, after they had traded two of their better hitters, so the young players in their team are going to make most of their chances to impress. Bailey is 5-5, with a 4.68 ERA and has allowed at least 3 runs in 5 of his last 9 starts, including his last start where he allowed 9 runs in the 10-9 loss to the NY Mets. He has allowed at least 4 runs in his last 3 road starts, and though he has a 0.69 ERA in winning both of his starts against Houston this year, his present form is not good enough to suggest he will win again here. Like Rodrigues to close down the Reds again at home, and they do enough to score off Bailey to get the win Chicago White Sox -1.5 @ 2.86 pinnacle Danks is 4-8, with a 3.79 ERA as he has allowed just 4 runs in his last 6 starts, winning 4 of them, after his poor start to the season. In his last 4 home starts, he has allowed 3 runs, winning 3 of them, as well as pitching at least 7 innings in 4 of these starts. Though he is 2-2 with a high 7.36 ERA in 5 starts against the NY Yankees, his recent formm suggests that they will find it difficlut to score off him here. Hughes is 1-3, with a 8.24 ERA as he has allowded at least 5 runs in 4 of his 7 starts this season, with 10 runs in 3 road starts. He has yet to go past the 6th innings in any of his starts and like the White Sox to get to him and the bullpen here August picks: 0-3 (-3.00) July picks: 54-62 (+3.14) June picks: 53-72 (-2.95) May picks: 31-73 (-30.18) April picks: 45-56 (+2.52)