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MLB: July 21st picks


blackcrow

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Florida -1.5 @ 2.44 pinnacle Vazquez is 6-8 with a 5.14 ERA as he has allowed 3 runs or less in 7 of his last 10 starts (total of 26 runs) with just 7 runs in his last 6 starts. He has not allowed a run in his last 2 home starts, and is 5-4 with a 3.00 ERA against San Diego. Moseley is 2-9 with a 3.36 ERA as he has allowed 3 runs or less in 8 of his last 10 starts (total of 22 runs) but has allowed 4 runs in each of his last 2 starts. He has yet to face Florida but believe the Marlins will score some runs here as they look to avoid the sweep while the Padres may be looking ahead to their next series with the Phillies starting tomorrow. NY Mets -1.5 @ 2.83 pinnacle Niese is 9-7, with a 3.73 ERA as he has allowed 3 runs or less in 9 of his last 10 starts (total of 20 runs) with 10 runs in his last 5 home starts. He has allowed just 1 runs in the 8-2 win over St Louis last July and with the way the Mets have been hitting like him to get some runs support here. Westbrook is 7-4 with a 5.26 ERA as he has allowed 3 runs or less in 6 of his last 10 starts (total of 29 runs) but has allowed 21 of these runs in his last 6 starts where he has allowed at least 4 runs in 4 of these last 6 starts. He allowed 5 runs on 11 hits in the 6-4 loss to the Mets last year in June, and with his batters finding it hard to score regularly, dount he gets much run support here NY Yankees -2.5 @ 2.92 pinnacle Sabathia is 14-4, with a 2.64 ERA as he has allowed 1 run or none at all in 7 of his last 10 starts (total of 18 runs), winning 9 of these 10 starts, and with just 2 runs in his last 5 starts. He has allowed 7 runs in his last 5 road starts, with 1 run or none at all allowed in 4 of these 5 road starts. Sabathia is 9-5 with a 3.05 ERA against Tampa Bay and allowed just 4 hits in a 1-0, complete game shutout win earlier this month. Shields is 8-8 with a 2.60 ERA as he has allowed 3 runs or less in 7 of his last 10 starts (total of 26 runs) with 10 runs allowed in his last 2 home starts. He is 3-10 with a 4.47 ERA against the NY Yankees, and is 1-5 with a 3.83 ERA in 8 home starts against them. Like the Yankees to continue their good form where they have won 4 of their last 5 games while TB have lost 6 of their last 8 games. July picks: 29-34 (+1.77) June picks: 53-72 (-2.95) May picks: 31-73 (-30.18) April picks: 45-56 (+2.52)

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