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MLB: July 20th picks


blackcrow

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Cincinnati -1.5 @ 2.36 pinnacle Cueto is 5-3, with a 2.01 ERA who has allowed 3 runs or less in each of his last 10 starts (total of 17 runs) with just 12 runs in his last 6 road starts. He has a 1.75 ERA when pitching during the day and is 9-3 with a 2.94 ERA when pitching against Pittsburgh, and like him to bounce back from the 5-3 loss to them in May this year. Karstens is 8-4, wih a 2.34 ERA and he too has pitched very well of late, also allowing 3 runs or less in his last 10 starts (total of 12 runs) with just 7 runs in his last 5 home starts. However, he has a 4.06 ERA when pitching during the day, compared with a 1.64 ERA at night, and is 0-4 with a 6.46 ERA in 5 starts against Cincinnati. Though not much separates the two pitchers, Cueto has better figures when pitching during the day as well as against Pittburgh, so like the Reds to win this one, to ensure they do not get swept. Boston -1.5 @ 2.26 pinnacle Miller is 3-1, with a 5.68 ERA and has allowed 3 runs or less in 4 of his 5 starts this season (total of 16 runs) and expect him to bonce back from allowing 7 runs in the 9-6 loss to Tampa Bay. He allowed 3 runs in the 10-4 win over Baltimore earlier this month, and has a low 1.50 ERA when pitching during the day this season. Arrieta is 9-6 with a 5.10 ERA and has allowed 4 runs or more in 5 of his last 10 starts (total of 35 runs) with 16 runs in his last 5 home starts. He allowed 5 runs in the loss to Miller and the Red Sox and like Boston to come out swinging again against him. Minnesota -1.5 @ 2.73 pinnacle Blackburn is 7-6, with a 3.99 ERAas he has allowed 2 runs or less in 6 of his last 10 starts (total of 31 runs) with 17 runs in his last 6 home starts. He is 6-3 with a 2.40 ERA in 11 starts against Cleveland, and is 2-0 with a 1.27 ERA in the last 3 starts against them as well as 4-1 with a 2.97 ERA at home to them. Tomlin is 11-4, with a 4.03 ERA and has allowed 4 runs or more in 5 of his last 10 starts (total of 38 runs) with 23 runs in his last 5 road starts. He allowed 6 runs on 9 hits in the 6-4 loss to Minnesota last month, in his first start against the Twins. Like Minnesota to tie up this series with a win here July picks: 26-32 (-0.58) June picks: 53-72 (-2.95) May picks: 31-73 (-30.18) April picks: 45-56 (+2.52)

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