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MLB: May 3rd 2011 Picks


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Re: MLB: May 3rd 2011 Picks oops, yesterdays picks :) MLB Overall 2011 41-27 +11.54 units (60.29%) Mets -122 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes I'm positive that Vogelsong is no stud. The Giants offense can't get anything going right now so if the Mets even put a few on the board that seems to be enough these days Kansas City -123 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes

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Re: MLB: May 3rd 2011 Picks

Sport MLB
Event San Diego - Pittsburg
Selection Pittsburg (Asian-handicap)
Strength 10/10
Date 03/05/2011
Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle Sports @ 2.46
Reasoning San Diego are disastruous at home this season, 4 - 12 record, while Pittsburg are playing better on the road with an 10 - 7 road record. I just can't see San Diego winning in this game because they are unable to score enough runs. More than that Pittsburg already won the first game and proved what is the value of each team at the moment. They have beaten Harang(4-1 at that time) in the first one and now they play against Matos who is much weaker with a 0-4 record this season. There's one problem though, Pittsburg are 0-5 in the second games after winning the first. But there's a start for everything and San Diego are the team to do that against. (as a stronger bet I'd suggest +1.5 and as a gamble Pitss to win -2.5 at odds around 5)
Sport MLB
Event Kansas - Baltimore
Selection Kansas City
Strength 10/10
Date 03/05/2011
Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle Sports @ 1.86
Reasoning Kansas City are very strong at home this season. They come after scoring 21 runs in the last 2 matches so they should win this one. I don't think they will win with 2 runs margin or something like that though, probably 7-6 6-5, we'll see. But they should win it cause in their home matches this season they have won against Seattle and LA Angels and they score many runs in home games. Some more facts: Orioles are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Kansas City. Over is 31-13 in the last 44 meetings in Kansas City.
Sport MLB
Event Boston - LA Angels
Selection Boston -1.5 (Asian-handicap)
Strength 10/10
Date 03/05/2011
Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle Sports @ 2.25
Reasoning Boston won 14 of the last 15 meetings with LA Angels, 13 of them at a margin greater than 2 runs. In other words Boston beats Angels on a regular basis. They won the first game at 3 runs margin 9-6 against Weaver who had no defeat this season until the match against Boston. There's a small chance this game will end 3-2 or something like that, but I'll asume the risk, when I know the beatings that Boston administered to Angels in the past.
Sport MLB
Event Cincinnati - Houston
Selection Cincinnati -1.5 (Asian-handicap)
Strength 10/10
Date 03/05/2011
Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle Sports @ 2.22
Reasoning
  • Astros are 7-21 in the last 28 meetings.
  • Astros are 3-13 in the last 16 meetings in Cincinnati.

Astros are only 1-4 with Happ as starter this season. He's got a 6.35 ERA so far and doesn't look good. Last match Leake vs Happ was 8-2 win for Cincinnati. 12 of the last 13 Cincinnati victories were at 2 runs margin at least. Cincinnati won 5 of the first games in the last 6 series against Houston Astros. Over is also highly probable.

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Re: MLB: May 3rd 2011 Picks Tampa Bay -1.5 @ 2.21 pinnacle Davis is 3-2, with a 2.73 ERA as he allowed 2 runs on 7 hits in the 8-2 win over Minnesota. He has limited batters to 2 runs or less in each of his last 4 starts, while also having a good record against Toronto, with a 1.84 ERA in winning his last 2 starts against them. Reyes is 0-2, with a 5.48 ERA as he allowed 6 runs on 5 hits in the 7-6 loss to Texas. He faced Tampa Bay last month and allowed 4 runs on 6 hits as he got some run support, with Toronto ending up winning 6-4. Davis is pitching much better here and like him to close down Toronto, with the Rays bats continuing their good hitting of late Boston -1.5 @ 2.47 pinnacle Lester is 3-1, with a 2.52 ERA and has been in very good form, winning his last 3 starts with a 1.35 ERA to go with it as he allowed 2 runs on 4 hits in the 6-2 win at Baltimore. He has pitched well against the Angels in ths past, winning his last 2 starts against them with a 0.64 ERA as he did not allow a run in the 4-3 win over them at Anaheim last month. Haren is also pitching well this seasons as he is 4-1, with a 1.23 ERA as he allowed all 4 runs in the loss when opposing Lester. He has a 4.41 ERA in losing his last 3 starts against Boston, and is 1-4 with a 3.81 ERA in 5 starts in Boston, so the bats have tended to do well against him. Boston have won all 5 games against LA this season, scoring 29 runs to 10 in them, and can see Lester closing them down again while the Red Sox hit a few off Haren NY Mets -1.5 @ 2.67 pinnacle Dickey is 1-3, with a 3.82 ERA and though he has not pitched well in his last 4 starts losing 3 of them with a 4.67 ERA, he does face a SF side that is struggling to hit the ball, scoring 2 runs or less in 8 of their last 11 games. He pitched well in his only start against them last year, allowing 1 run in the 2-0 loss to them with ni run support to back up his good effort. Like the Mets bats to do well here against SF, as they have been hitting reasonably well, and getting runners on base, but they have been unable to convert that into runs. Vogelsong pitched for SF as he allowed 2 runs on 4 hits in his only start to date in the 5-2 win at Pittsburgh last week, but he faces a surging Mets side that has won 7 of their last 10 starts. Colorado -1.5 @ 2.33 pinnacle De La Rosa is 4-0, with a 2.61 ERA as he allowed 2 run in the 4-3 win over the Chicago Cubs. He has pitched well against Arizona, going 5-1 with a 1.64 ERA in his last 6 games against them, and led them to a 3-1 win over them last month. He has been effective on the road, winning his last 2 starts, as Colorado have the best away record in MLB

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