[Primeira Liga > 2nd Jan/ 3rd Jan]

Sporting-Porto

Assuming christmas and new year didn't mess sporting players minds and body, I think this will be a easy win for sporting, since despite Porto first place, they performances had been somewhat inconsistent that range from appaling to decent and looks worsening over time, they only win because the later teams they faced are very poor. Sporting is very solid team and seems even improving each day they play. The last game they lost against U.Madeira they were just very unlucky. Clear value on sporting. My bets (divide stake unit for all):

EH Sporting -1, at 5.00

Sporting to win, at 2.5

Sporting to win HT, at 3.25

Guimaraes - Benfica

Benfica has been with inconsistent performances, and odds are good for Guimaraes possibility to win here.

Guimaraes to win, at 6.75

Setubal-Braga

Setubal is the sensation team of the liga, they are playing good football and with above average performaces. Braga is good team, but odds for Setubal winning are too high.

Setubal to win, at 4.00

[Premier League > Boxing Day]

I agree with with previous posts analysis for Leicester and Watford. But I prefer the odds for Watford [email protected], rather than X2.

The other bet with value I think is Arsenal -1 (assuming Giroud will play hehe). Southamptom seems to be performing bad recently. This is a game where I believe either will run very well for Arsenal or could be a draw, so handicaps favoured here.

[Premier League > Dec 19th - 21st]

Watford - Liverpool

Liverpool has potential but has been inconsistent. I think if Liverpool win this game its likely to be by more than one goal. We have seen briliant matches from Liverpool away from home where they crushed: chelsea, city, southamptom. So, handicap 1:0 or 2:0 for Liverpool I consider a good bet.

Everton - Leicester.

This one is easy. Leicester has been performing very good and solid with natural results, while Everton not impressive. Leicester is the superior team, so odds of 3,6 are great value.

Chelsea - Sunderland, I dont see value right now but worth a look during live . Lets see how they perform without Mourinho.

[Serie A > Dec 19th - 20th]

Sassuolo are getting good results lately and from what I see they are capable of playing some good football although not consistent. Verona has been performing poorly this season... I will give Sassuolo a try at 2.6, although it may be little value. Bologne-Empoli should be a good match, I would be tempted to bet on Empoli, since they are performing very good with nice results, but so Bologne is improving and getting good results lately (they had luck in last game however), I can't really say the outcome of this match but Bologne odds seem little too low. A game worth watching during live, and if betting anything before match start it would be Empoli or X2.

[Liga NOS 2015/16]

Hi, started this topic to track portuguese liga for this season

For this week, the only value bet I see is Setubal. Tondela season has been appaling with very bad results, poor performances and is changing the coach for the 3rd time in a short period of time. The new coach (Petit) and lost his first match playing at home agains Braga, and personally I dont believe he will change the team for the better. On the other side Setubal is in good form and is playing well. I consider they have at least 50% chance of winning this game, so the current odds of 2.5 for Setubal to win, is good value. 

For the remaing matches I don't see any value at moment, but some worth a look for live betting.

Porto - Academica (look for Porto weakness)

Benfica - Rio Ave (look for Benfica weakness)

U Madeira - Sporting (Bet on Sporting to win if the odd rises much, they usually comeback from behind and score late goals. Sporting is the best playing team by far at the moment)