janekda

David Goffin to beat Andy Murray @ 4.15 Marathonbet (1 pt)
After Goffin flattened Berdych in the last round I'd say he has a chance against Murray. Regardless of what state Berdych was in, a double bagel is some achievement in my eyes. Murray had an easy win over Chardy in his last match where he was never tested, and if Goffin can carry forward the momentum of the Berdych win then I think he can cause Murray problems.
Misaki Doi to beat Irina-Camelia Begu @ 3.96 Marathonbet (1 pt)
I'm quite happy to back Doi again after her win against Konta. The Japanese did well to come back from a set down in that match meaning that she's battle-hardened, whilst Begu has reached this stage without dropping a set. I think this might go to three sets and if it does I'd rather be on the player that's already been the distance. I'm not sure there's much to separate these two and so the price on Doi appeals.

At the first view the bet is very reasonable but. Safarova is not on the level of previous year. Without service, return harmless as usually, soft shots, worse movement. So win over Safarove we can not take into account. I think Konta with her service and agressive game can easily win over Misaki. But If should to bet I bet on Misaki too. As for me there is no value.
so GL

At the first view the bet is very reasonable but. Safarova is not on the level of previous year. Without service, return harmless as usually, soft shots, worse movement. So win over Safarove we can not take into account. I think Konta with her service and agressive game can easily win over Misaki. But If should to bet I bet on Misaki too. As for me there is no value.
so GL

Misaki Doi to beat Johanna Konta @ 4.05 Pinnacle (1 pt)
I think there's some value in this price. Both players were on losing streaks ahead of this tournament, and both players have strung a couple of wins together here and beaten good players in the last round. Doi has never beaten Konta in three previous meetings so that speaks against the Japanese, but none of those matches were on clay and her confidence must be high after her win against French Open finalist Safarova. It's fair to say that Konta will also be on a high after her demolition job against Vinci, but even taking that into account I think she's too short and should be taken on in this one.

I agree with Czech's picks for tomorrow, but instead of playing the handicaps I'm going to back Wawrinka to win @ 1.32 with Tempobet and Bellucci to win @ 18 on the exchanges for a point each.
Roger Federer to beat Dominic Thiem @ 1.59 1xBet (1 pt)
I quite like Federer here. I get that he isn't in great form and has had injury problems which might put some people off backing him, but for me those are some of the reasons I want to back him. With the French Open looming on the horizon, the Swiss is sure to want to go deep this week. He's already seen off one talented youngster in Zverev, and I think he can get the better of Thiem for the second time this season. The Austrian hasn't beaten anyone of Federer's calibre for some time now, and losing to Del Potro last week when the Argentinian still isn't at his best makes me think that Federer might win this even if he isn't in top gear.
Nick Kyrgios to beat Rafael Nadal @ 4.05 Marathonbet (1 pt)
What I like about Kyrgios is that he is fearless. He'll go after anyone and so Nadal won't faze him, despite the Spaniard's recent upturn in form. That's enough for me to throw a point at him in this match, but what also persuades me is the good results the Australian has had this clay swing. Wins over Wawrinka and Cuevas show that he knows what he's doing on the dirt, and it doesn't hurt when you know you've beaten Nadal before which Kyrgios has.

Kasatkina - Pliskova Karolina 2.34
Pliskovas game is well suited for faster surface because of her service, flatter fh and bh. Last 10(50) results on clay 7:3(38:12) x 6:4(30:20). Who has better record? Kasatkina. Even with the hardest opponents she could play tight game - Azarenka, Errani. Pliskova has to be big favorite to win on clay.

Kasatkina - Pliskova Karolina 2.34
Pliskovas game is well suited for faster surface because of her service, flatter fh and bh. Last 10(50) results on clay 7:3(38:12) x 6:4(30:20). Who has better record? Kasatkina. Even with the hardest opponents she could play tight game - Azarenka, Errani. Pliskova has to be big favorite to win on clay.

Tig - Stosur 3.40
I have watched on Tig longer time. She can have great future. Her match close match with in-form Siegemend in Charlstone. Her ride in Madrid. These matches were their victories with very active game. Sakkari, Kasatkina, Stephens, Keys - all are really good players.
On the other hand Sam was lucky, very lucky in match with Carla Suarez. Even with sick Carla she had mental problems to win. And nowdays her bh is really terrible.

Cirstea - Siegemund 3.3
Yesterday I saw matches of both players. Laura didn't seem very sure. But Sorana was like storm with Kovinic. Both has very good period. Laura on WTA level and Sorana on ITF level. I feel Laura is little bit out of energy. Mirjana was danger but with too mistakes. I feel Sorana can suite better with Laura's style. As for me fair odd is 2.3 on Cirstea.

I have to bet against Laura Siegemenund. 3.35 for Mirjana Lucic-Baroni is too high.
 
Laura had the best time of her career and I think it will stop sometimes. It's unusual to be on the high level too long. Even their match a couple weeks ago was close. Mirjana had more BPs but couldn't convert them.
 
 
Experience is also on Mirjana's side. 100 matches x 3 on Premiere level. Yes, Laura is favorite but not so high

Back Daniel Gimeno-Traver to beat Kyle Edmund for a 7/10 stake at 2.04 with Unibet
DGT as the underdog against Edmund, who rarely performs well on low-altitude clay? The Spaniard might be shaky, but sign me up nonetheless.
Full preview here: http://punts.pl/W3awiQ

Back Karolina Pliskova to win WTA Prague for a 4/10 stake at 6.00 with Bet365
Back Su-Wei Hsieh to beat Kristyna Pliskova for a 7/10 stake at 3.20 with Paddy Power
Back Yanina Wickmayer to beat Camila Giorgi for a 7/10 stake at 1.95 with BetVictor
Karolina Pliskova looks like the big favourite in Prague to me, did well in Stuttgart and won this event last year as well. Her sister, however, could easily go down against Hsieh in the very first round, while I also fancy Wickmayer to beat Giorgi (like she did last year).
Full preview here: http://punts.pl/u0ujRt

Czech why did'nt you take on Lucas Pouille v Ivo Karlovic today?How on earth you could miss that I don't understand. Ivo back from injury on his worst surface and you did find a winner in Monte Carlo with Pablo Cuevas v Ivo Karlovic where you had Pablo on the handicap. It was easy money with Lucas on the handicap.
I'm going against Pouille next match because he will face Paolo Lorenzi. If you want you could put up a preview on that match so I don't have to do it. I don't even think I got time for that tomorrow.
Anyway...
Paolo Lorenzi to beat Lucas Pouille for a 7/10 stake at 2.00 with Paddypower
I see a good opportunity here. Now Lucas is totally overrated. The price on Paolo is ok and he should have a good chance to reach the semifinal as he is the better clay courter. I usually go against players who are small favourites in situations like this where we have a player who have advanced to the quarters just because he's faced easy enough opponents. There is no value at all on Lucas so to me it makes sense going for Paolo. Don't overrate Lucas here just because he's beaten Gasquet in Monte Carlo or Ferrer in Miami. Go for Paolo or just skip betting on this match.

I need to put Fognini even with odd 1.6
There is for me one important reason. Next round Fognini would play with Nadal. I don't know why but Fognini is highly motivated with him. As he wants to show who is better player on clay.
For Fognini is motivation the main factor. He can loose with anybody and also win.