janekda
-
Posts
71 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
5
Posts posted by janekda
-
-
Ozaki - Kerber 6.5
I think odds on Kerber's opponent over 5 are good. Maybe Angie goes for final/title but she doesn't look very comfortably and she feels pressure as No1. And Ozaki is great in Miami (5:0). I'm wonder how Kerber will play against runner as Ozaki.
- four-leaf, CzechPunter and higuys
-
3
-
Mattek-Sands - Lucic 2.50
I believe in life's form of Bet. Lucic had great result with Radwanska but Radwanska is shadow of herself. And even she had an virus through week. I bet against Lucic even 1st round but Bondarenko lost 2 serves from 5:2 in decisive set.
It's hard to analyze bet when she is especially double player. But when she is is on her zone and it looks she is, she can with many players.
Yes, Lucic this year is great but I see worse form than in Australia and Miami is not her cup of tea.
- CzechPunter, four-leaf and higuys
-
3
-
-
Today in Miami there are sooo many matches with good tricky match-ups. But I start with favorite.
Fognini-Chardy 1.75
I really don't understand this odd. I like underdog but there are so many factors for Fognini.
* Fognini is simply better player also last 12months
* Fognini is higher ranking
* 5:0 for Fognini
* I understand Chardy defeated Cilic but Cilic isn't in-form. More valuable was Fabio's victory over R.Harrison in great form
* Fognini is a little bit strange player and that's why I love him. He has something in mind he is able to overplay anybody. It only dependes on him. And if he has beaten Chardy 5x it means he is somehow motivated against him. Maybe a girl in history?
Donaldson-Raonic 6.50
It is short to describe. I understand Raonic is high favourite but so high?
* Raonic is huge favourite but he is a little bit glassy player with many injuries
* Donaldson is on his high performance this year and Miami suits his play
Vesely-Sock 3.85* Vesely has play for top20 but his head is not so good. He was better player than Thiem during junior career.
* Sock has one of the most horrible bh in top100.
* even Vesely is tower he prefers slower courts(clay) and Miami is like clay court
* Sock has good score in Miami but no valuable win and he has played especially with players behind top50 there
* Vesely won 2 3sets close matches. It can help his mind.Be prepared to backup stakes on Vesely when he can just win service games.
Kukuskhin-Bautista 3.7
* Kukuskhin is much better player than odds show and now he is in good form 8:2 last 10 games
* Bautista has worse period than in the end of the last season
* in IW he withdrew with muscle injury
* in Miami RBA plays a little bit behind his average play
Coric-Thiem 4.3I think Thiems game is on hard court overrated and his form isn't so good as results show. On the other hand Coric is in bad form but he has qualities to overplay no confident player who playes on baseline
I agree with stake on Rublev.- CzechPunter and higuys
-
2
-
2 minutes ago, four-leaf said:
Fabio is not 5-0 against Jeremy! I don't know where you got that from? He is 3-0 against Jeremy winning on clay twice and hardcourt once. All three times in 3 sets. As Miami offers a bit slower pace than other harcourts I would still back Fabio when time comes around.
Estoril 2006, Amersfoort 2006
both on clay Fogna won
-
Parmentier - Babos 2.62
Another nice odd. I understand Babos is favourite because of ranking, good performance in Miami, H2H 2:0 for Babos. But Parmentier(edited) is performance of her life. She won 4 of last 5 matches as underdog! She plays great tennis right now. On the other side Babos has very bad last results on hard court. Last 9 of 10 she has lost. She won indoor title in Budapest and she can be too satisfied with that for longer time.
- higuys and CzechPunter
-
2
-
Flipkens - Konjuh 2.90
Great odd as for me.
* They have played once, this year in Auckland. Konjuh won in tight match with 1.9 odd for Flipkens. And now is 2.9? As for me, Flipkens is not in so bad form like odds show.
* Konjuh is horrible in Miami 1:2 (Urzsula Radw. and Bertens defeated her)
* Flipkens can play in Miami very well. She won with Kvitova. Defeated by Sharapova and A.Radwanska in three sets and has positive history there.
* Flipkens won with Brady from Brady's MP. That' great for positive attitude.
Fair odd is 2.0 for Kirsten imo.
- four-leaf, CzechPunter and higuys
-
3
-
2 hours ago, janekda said:
I think all the day about Yanina [email protected]. Except H2H everything talks for Georges but I think the match is 50:50. Disagree with me.
I betted on Yanina. But It was not Julia on the court. It was a monster. I haven't seen her to play in so magnificent mode. For example last game - 4 aces in row
-
13 hours ago, CzechPunter said:
I would be carefull. As for me Kerber hasn't come back yet. Konjuh, Puig are similar players. Their top level is high but in avarage they play with many errors. On the other side SweetOlina is exceptional in defence and waits for errors. As I see Kerber won on Svitolina with the best form in 2016 and when Svitolina was younger.
I think it's 50:50
-
I think all the day about Yanina [email protected]. Except H2H everything talks for Georges but I think the match is 50:50. Disagree with me.
-
On 18. 10. 2016, ejmali333 said:
Thanks
Understood, and what do you say about picks, any comments?
nice
-
Lisicki - Wozniacki 4.4
A little bit crazy tip. But some reasons are there for Sabine. Caro could be tired after winning tournament in Honk-Kong and generally successful results in Asia. She defeteated here Brengle very easy. But Brengle was right opponent to Caro. Many mistakes and no hard hits except first three games. And I think fatigue can catch Caro right now.
Caro has more problems with Sabine on faster courts and Luxembourg is. They met themselves in L. in 2013 and Caro won easily but I hope it was exception of their matches. Lisicki was tournament before in Osaka injured( She was forced to withdraw from the tournament with a left hip injury before her second round match ). And Caro was unable to win easy in HK final over injured Mladenovic who has similiar play to Lisicki.
I know Sabine has poor season but it could motivate her much more to finish the year in better ranking.
-
On 17. 10. 2016, CzechPunter said:
It was possible to bet on PCB in 4. As for me good tip
-
15 hours ago, CzechPunter said:
Going for many more after giving all the matches a think. Good luck to everyone who will be betting!
Back Pauline Parmentier to beat Caroline Garcia at 4.00 with Skybet
The problems keep on piling for Garcia, who hasn't been her usual self since Wimbledon. She has plenty of personal issues, plenty of results issues and the fact that the French tennis association is now against her isn't going to help things either, so she shouldn't be a 1.25 fav against pretty much anyone and much less against someone who can do damage in the Grand Slams and who has beaten her before. It was almost painful to see her play against Flipkens in New Haven, so I'll take my chances here.
Back Nao Hibino to beat Kristina Mladenovic at 3.40 with BetVictor
Have already gone against Mladenovic a couple of times with good results and I'm happy to do that again at odds like this. She got absolutely crushed by Rogers in her last match and she hasn't been able to string wins together for quite some time now, which is worrying given that she is all about momentum. Chances are that she also isn't the right place mentally now that she's got suspended by the French tennis federation over some petty issues, so Hibino has a real chance here imo.
Back Montserrat Gonzalez to beat Danka Kovinic at 3.25 with Paddy Power
A realistic chance for an upset here imo, with an in-form player facing an out-of-form one. Gonzalez has upset three strong players in the qualifiers, including Ivana Jorovic, while Kovinic hasn't had a good win since June, where she won a small ITF tournament in Marseille. She's also never done well in the US Open, so to have her above 3.00 looks a bit stupid. Gonzalez is living a dream in a sense and it doesn't have to stop in the first round.
Back Gilles Muller to beat Gael Monfils at 4.00 with Skybet
Monfils didn't show up for his last match due to back issues and we all know how much his career is getting derailed with those, while Muller has been at his ultra-solid best recently. He's always a danger for the seeds thanks to his serve that's both big and consistent - it's just really hard to get back to a set against him if you drop a serve even just once. Muller won their only previous hard-court match, might just be the fitter of the two at this point of time, and he has had his fair share of big scalps in the US Open as well (Roddick, Davydenko, Haas, Youzhny - all in their primes).
Back Kyle Edmund to beat Richard Gasquet at 4.33 with Skybet
Needs to be taken with a bookie that doesn't void retirements such as Skybet, as those who saw Gasquet-Millman will know that the Frenchman is far from being out of the woods injury-wise. He's still a level above Edmund in terms of quality, but he's never been the fittest guy around and the injury seems to be getting worse rather than better, so I wouldn't be surprised to see Edmund outlast him.
Back Vasek Pospisil (-2.5) to beat Jozef Kovalik at 1.85 with BetVictor
Pospisil has certainly seen better days singles-wise, but I feel that a lot of his results had to do with bad draws - for example, he's had to face Monfils twice recently and the Frenchman isn't a player most guys would be able to beat in his current form. Even with that, however, Pospisil is still competing with the best week in and week out, while Kovalik is yet to make it from the Challenger circuit. Importantly, he's never won a GS match before and he's here only thanks to some lucky loser luck, so I really don't see him winning.
Back Paul-Henri Mathieu (-5.5) to beat Christian Harrison at 2.00 with Paddy Power
Mathieu isn't losing this unless he gets injured, plain and simple. Christian Harrison shouldn't even be here to be honest, he's had tremendous luck during the qualifiers, with Diez somehow managing to lose and Kravchuk retiring. So far in this season, he hasn't even made it to a Challenger main draw, while Mathieu is having a super-solid one by his standards and there's no reason for him to tank this after looking alright against Robert in the week before. I appreciate that Harrison has nothing to lose here, but the quality gap is massive here. Probably the biggest mis-match of the first round in all honesty.
I have no idea about Parmentier and put on C.Harrison. For rest I can say "yes,yes, yes"
-
to CzechPunter:
good tips but I cannot like them because of I prefer odds higher than 2 ;-)
-
Makarova - Kvitova 2.75
Ohh, They've played 9 matches together with H2H 5:4 for Petra and one Petra's win was thanks to injury. This year is 2>1 for Makarova. I understand Petra has catched better form than in the spring but I have to disagree with so high odd. Makarova has annoying style for Petra. And even here in NH it can work.
-
3 minutes ago, CzechPunter said:
Back John Millman to beat Bjorn Fratangelo at 1.67 with Coral
Fratangelo had plenty of problems with Lorenzi in the previous round, while Millman has already managed to achieve two good wins over Ramos and Nishioka, so I'd have him as a bigger favourite here. The Australian hasn't been getting much coverage, but he's made massive progress in recent months and he's on his way to the top 50, while Fratangelo seems to be back to the Challenger level after getting some big results on a few occasions.
Again as usually I'm cautious about this match. Lorenzi is special player. Clay court player but with imrpessive stats 20:2 on hard court with players under him in ranking. I can imagine for Frantangelo it was harder to go into match with him. Last 2 sets were relatively easy for F. And surprise F. won last 7 matches when he was set down and match went to third set.
-
Khachanov - Basic 2.98
Khachanov is clay court player. Last match was on clay. And now he will play on hard court with hard court player. I know K. is generally better player but not on hard especially when he hasn't prepared for USO.
-
13 hours ago, LEV said:
Opelka - Roger-Vasselin 1 1.89 pinnacle
Good current form of the young perspective American.
Good result on the last tournaments. Surpassed expectations.
The skilled Frenchman after Wimbledon was not in business.
The standing price of the perspective American against the skilled age Frenchman who does not show a result.))sorry for my bad English
I've surprised by so high odd on Opelka. I'm afraid there are some hidden facts. Opelka should be bigger favorite.
edit: Maybe there is sentiment with Roger. When I saw his last match was in W it's nice. And even more he has pretty bad results at USO. And with Opelka he made big jump in Atlanta and maybe it is too fresh for punters
-
I hope who bet on Golubič with me, backed her when she served for match with 5.5. Golubič is my favourite player last year and I expected she improved her serve. But Gstaat was exception as I saw yesterday.
-
And sorry for M.Zverev it was uggly tip but sometimes it's better than lost very close
-
Bondarenko - Mladenovic 4.7
There is bigger possibility to turn match as for me. I has aggreed with odds on Bondarenko before match.
Golubic - Nara 2.05
Is this odd only because of LL in Cincy? I've prized Golubic as bigger favourite with 1.7. Golubic dislikes to play with hard hitters who controls thei aggression (opposite are crazy hard hitters like Kvitova, Giorgi). Nara has lost 5 of last 6 when priced as Favourite ($1.50 to $1.999). And she has no really good results last time.
-
9 minutes ago, four-leaf said:
Louisa Chirico to beat Timea Babos for a 7/10 stake at 4.00 with bet365
I'll take Louisa any day here against this out of form Timea who just does'nt play very good nowadays. She's doing unforced errors for fun and the only thing she does good is her slicing and it isn't enough to win matches. I'm taking Louisa here because of her decent level and she's got the home advantage and it's not smart to go for a big favourite like Timea here when she's making so many unforced errors. When Timea played Jelena Ostapenko in Florianopolis quarter there where 9 straight breaks of serve before Jelena Ostapenko finally won the first set and the only thing taking Timea through was her slice and Jelena Ostapenkos huge number of unforced errors.
You are right. Babos has very bad serve last a few weeks.
-
M.Zverev - F.Lopez 3.0
Zverev has good wins against dangerous opponents in Cincy in Q (Mannarino, Marchenko). He played with lefty Mannarino sho he's prepared for another lefty. Lopez was last week in final and it could be worse for him to prepare for Cincy. Their last match was not so clear as result shows. For me is fair odd about 2.5 for Zverev
- four-leaf and CzechPunter
-
2
March 27 - April 2
in Tennis Betting Tips & Predictions
Posted
Mannarino - Berdych 5.2
I cannot believe to Berdych. He has played great tennis in Miami but I think French tennis style will disgust him. Mannarino is better and better in matches with Berdych. And I think Berdych is in the age where is hard to stabilize form. One dfay grat tennis, another ugly.