Mindcrime
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Posts posted by Mindcrime
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Re: Borussia Dortmund v Real Madrid > Tuesday April 8th Statistics are one thing and the flow of the game is another. When he was injured last time, RM had 3/3 wins and 10-2 goal difference. Last week: 4-0 with Real Sociedad, again, without him. I'm not concerned about his missing, more concerned about the attitude. Away at Juventus, RM didn't struggle to win, a draw was OK too. I see that scenario here, too. If they score, their advancing is sealed 100%, now I'd say only 95%. I'd go for both to score: the Germans are back to 3 goals (Lewandowski's back in the XI) + they have the home crowd. Besides Real is deadly on the counter and the BVB defense is still lacking.
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Re: La Liga > March 25th - 27th all bets are PinnacleSports
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Re: La Liga > March 25th - 27th Interesting bet on the yellow cards, KavkaZ, very much documented. On Sevilla-Real I'd go for over3,5. Sevilla are the attacking home side, Real Madrid are always a guarantee for the over and think about the reverse fixture (7-3). Both teams are full ahead and they will be shooting like madmen and I see goals. As a plus, Ramos is out and Real conceded four home from Barcelona. they can easily conede one or two from Sevilla two. I expect something like 2-4, but I never bet on exact scores, so I'll leave it just that way. I'd go with an Atlético + Real bet today (1,89 on accumulator). It's very slight overvalue there, but both teams will know they need the win, so there are no excuses. This is going to be 3 wins for the 3 big boys, last week was the shocker. Another bet I'm taking into consideration is Rayo Vallecano. They are a very attacking team, especially at home, and managed to beat league greats like Sociedad or Valencia and not luckily but deservedly. They can outplay everyone in the bottom half and Osasuna away are very shaky. Therefore I will be a bit more daring with this one: Sevilla-Real over3,5 6/10@2,14 Rayo-1 4/10@2,69 Atlético+Real 4/10@1,89
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Re: La Liga > March 25th - 27th I'd go with an under on this one and a narrow Espanyol win. Sergio GarcÃa is goalless for a couple of matchdays and he's the make-it-all of the team. So I expect a marginal away win here. I'd put more money on the under, though.
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Re: Paris Saint-Germain v Bayer 04 Leverkusen > Wednesday March 12th I'd go with under2,5. Last year PSG beat Valencia away in the first leg (2-1) and did a relaxed match at home (1-1). Same story with the 4th group match after 3 comfortable wins (a home 1-1 with Anderlecht coming after a 5-0 demilition from away). Even in the quarters, PSG did an under with Barcelona at home (after the away 2-2, the home match was 1-1). I think the under2,5 line is pure value. so my bet is under2,5 5/10@2,45 (PinnacleSports)
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Re: La Liga > March 8th - 10th
Very logical bet, but it wasn't your lucky day with that. I went for Espanyol-1 (3/10) and it won. Elche misssed Edu Albácar and that's what made me bet this way. I'm sorry for not saying it here before, I should've.Espanyol v Elche With the missing of main striker Cordoba, Sergio Garcia will play the lone striker, 9. For odds 3.0 it is a good value, Espanyol will depend on him today when they welcome Elche. Anytime Goalscorer, Sergio Garcia (Esp) at 3.05 10Bet -
Re: La Liga > February 28th - March 2nd I wouldn't be so sure about that. Málaga didn't play quality football on their last trip to AlmerÃa and Valladolid are rougly cut from the same cloth. Valldolid will try to play, Málaga will defend (even at home), but given that solid backbone of the home side (with suspended players coming back in the defense) will not concede. But due to the defensive-minded play, I won't expect them to score either. I'd go for an under and choose the most comfortable line for that. I definitely don't expect a goal parade.
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Re: La Liga > February 28th - March 2nd Bilbao are a very strong side, and heavily based on 2nd half performances, but two brilliant strikes from Aduriz so far brought them up to 2-0 near the half an hour mark, at the very beginning. I expected a home win, betted it tooi, but now I'm wondering why wasn't I braver and played a handicap instead. Brilliant, brilliant play from the home team.
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Re: Europa League > Thursday February 20th Any thoughs on PAOK-Benfica? Some of the most prestigious pairs today. I've seen playing both sides this season, but I'm no expert on any one of them.
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Re: Useful Spanish Football Sites http://insidespanishfootball.com/ - very informative, analyses, interviews about Spanish football's first two tiers, cup games and Spaniards abroad.
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Re: La Liga > December 20th - 22nd Hello guys! It's my first post around here, so maybe I am giving too few insight into the matches, but I'll give it a go anyway. For this matchday I've chosen 2 matches, but nearly every fixture in Primera División seems tempting to bet and I might do so. Athletic Bilbao v Rayo Vallecano with one of the best home teams and the lousiest away ones seems like an easy bet and it really is. Bilbao have never lost a single match in their newly inaugurated San Mamés, so it's highly unlikely that an attacking team which is seriously lacking in defense will hold them at least for a draw. I would even go with a handicapped win, the only thing making me not to, is that both teams will be tired and yesterday in the cup (btw I also won with their 4-0 against Celta Vigo) most of the regulars were starters. MuniaÃn's form and the attacking potential of the Basque side makes this a quite safe bet. Bilbao rarely wins by large margins, but they had a couple of clean sheet wins with 2+ scoring, Rayo is struggling away and mostly against attacking teams with potential (Atlético 5-0, Sevilla 4-1, Barcelona 4-0) but there is an exception, they got back into tha match against Real Madrid after a 3-0 first half in a couple of minutes they made it 3-2, but they lost it anyway. Athletic's home record includes a deserved win against Barca and Villarreal both without conceding. At a local Romanian betting agency the home win pays 1,5 and a 1 goal handicapped win pays 2,3. Valencia v Real Madrid seems like a "derby" (although geographically it does not qualify as a derby anyway), but present-day Valencia is nowhere near the team that won championships against giants like Real Madrid or Barcelona. Now with DJukic sacked, their play is struggling just like the entire season, yesterday in the cup with many regulars they barely defeated a 2nd league Gimnástic de Tarragona. Real Madrid was having hard times, too, but I've seem Real play greatly this year and I haven't seen Valencia. CR will return to the visiting side, and with many regulars being rested for the cup fixture, the visiting team might win easily, therefore I back them up. I am a RM fan, so maybe I am biased, but sometimes I bet against my team, you have to be professional. This seems like a clear away win. Another one I would recommend is Getafe-Barca for a home double, because Barca will be without Messi and Neymar, Getafe is a strong and solid team at home, so why not. 2,86 it is for the 1X
Borussia Dortmund v Real Madrid > Tuesday April 8th
in Champions League Predictions
Posted
Re: Borussia Dortmund v Real Madrid > Tuesday April 8th No, why? Who said that? Don't put words into my mouth. I just said that Real is such an offensive team that they do not depend entirely on him. A fact we've seen a couple of times this season.