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** April Poker League Result : 1st Like2Fish, 2nd McG, 3rd andybell666 **

Caveman

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Posts posted by Caveman

  1. Re: Champions League » Sep 29/30 Sorry mates, I can't see any value in Sevilla away win tonight! This is exactly sort of matches, bookies love to make CA$H with. Many ppl compare basically form of teams from their domestic leagues, and this is why majority of cash flow is going towards away win in this one. Sevilla won all last 5 matches, sure, but who were their opponents? 4 mediocre or low class spanish sides and Unirea Urziceni!!They will have to prove their strength at least against teams of Valencia level, not even to mention Real or Barca ...Rangers are struggling atm, sure, drew 4 out of last 5, considering all competitions, but still are unbeaten in all competitons! And ppl forget fact this scottish side delivers traditionally strong matches at Ibrox in CL year after year. This is the team which drew against Barca or Inter Milan and only lost 1 match in last 12 CL home matches!! Sevilla will arrive with bigger names, sure, they will be full of confidence, also d'accord, but I think at the end Rangers will nick at least a draw out of this. For me with medium stakes Glasgow Rangers +0,5 @ 2,06 188bet

  2. Re: Champions League » Sep 29/30 I don't rate Lyon stronger than Liverpool and Hungarian side "achieved" a respectable 0:1 away defeat against Merseysiders, I saw this match and was really surprised of their well organized defense and I am sure We will also see them doing well at home. If we futhermore take into consideration that Delgado, Boumsong, Bodmer, Anderson, Lisandro Lopez and Bastos will miss for this clash, it is obvious Lyon will probably play defensively 4-5-1 with Gomis as lonely wolf in front... Lyon is quite different team this year, with Juninhio & Benzema also their main offensive weapons are gone. They win their matches, but not like years before, when we saw even scoring them 4 goals away against Real Madrid biggrin.gif And with half of their offensive section missing, I can't see a goalfest here, Lyon will probably nick it 1:0... Under 2,5 goals @ 2,15 188bet for me with medium stakes smile.gif

  3. Re: Champions League » Sep 29/30 Arsenal - OLY match screams to be played in O/U way, Arsenal at home is always a tough place, when Wenger as usually fields a strong starting team, we will see them scoring with ease in their tight stadium in front of fanatic crowds. For guest teams its nearly impossible not to concede, but this year Arsenal's defense offered also many opportunities to score against, too. Expect here smth like 3:1 result. Pinnacle offers over 3 goals @ 2,08 smile.gif

  4. Re: Champions League » Sep 29/30

    Bordeaux looked really good tonight so maybe could add them in a accumulator or something as odds so low
    Haifa is really not CL material, at least one class difference here, I saw their first home match against Bayern, and I really don't know how this team entered group stage... I can't even remember Bordeaux dropping points at home, should be sometimes last season...First match draw result against Juve showed what we could expect of this team around superstar Gourcuff this season. He was expected to be rested against Rennes today, but played, Wendel also was questionable and scored winning goal. I expect both starting in Wednesday's CL Clash. Pinnacle offers amazing Bordeaux AH -1,5 @ 1,96, I will take them with big thx , over 2,5 goals @ 1,93 IMO also worth a shot. I am sure we won't see those odds anymore at kick-off...
  5. Re: Uefa Champions League 15/16 September Only bet for today: Chelsea - Fc Porto over 2,5 goals @ 2,05 188bet only short: Both teams with good starts in their leagues, Chelsea especially with fantastic start with 5 wins in 5 EPL matches, the Blues are in fantastic form. But in this match Blues suffer from some important missings like Joe Cole,Yuri Zhirkov, Paulo Ferreira, Deco & Alex, Jose Bosingwa and on-form striker Didier Drogba arer suspended. Fc Porto Ferreira will field strongest team, no player is injured or suspended. Especially Falcao & hulk will vitalize Porto's game. I can't see any reason why we shouldn't see a wide open match tonight, Blues will still have advantage in front of home crowd, but Porto recently showed in CL , they can be very dangerous when they get spaceand I am sure, this will be one of those exciting CL matches :ok GL @all :)

  6. Re: International World Cup 2010 Qualifying September 5th/6th

    Sunday Sept 6th: TOGO - MOROCCO 2.10 - 3.20 - 3.20 Add to that that they will be fasting because it's ramadan and the game will be played during the day. Not sure how they will play without any water especially against a team who doesnt fast and is already superior.
    what a great analysis sir, really appreciated it :) I think these 2 sentences above are most important of all. Afternoon's heat will be around 30°C in Lomé, Togo where match takes place. Even more important is perhaps the fact, that this match will be played @ relative humidity over 70-80%, similar to an open air sauna, which means enormous additional effort to all players!! With guest muslim players fasting it's obvious who will be in superior health condition under these circumstances. Majority or perhaps all maroccean players will be around 9-10 hrs without any water at kick-off time (3.30pm) First time i made a single bet with higher stakes in CAF. Hope for both of us we will succeed. If bet goes through, thx in advance ;)
  7. Re: WORLD CUP 2010 Qualifiers (Asia) 06/17/2009 South Korea against Iran will be hell of a match for Team Melli. It will be most important match of the year for iranians. If Iran wins, it would guarantee at least third place for them, what also means quite sure start at WC next year. If they draw or lose, WC race is almost over,depends then how Saudis play against N.Korea at same time. S.Korea is already through and I doubt they will be highly motivated to give 100%. Iran uses to play his best football when they are under big pressure like now. All ppl over the world see what happens in Iran atm. If Iran wins this match, there will be another positive wave on streets, cos Iranians know their cleric elite & conservative government doesn't like them cheering and making party on streets. Ghotbi has already promised to iranian supporters, that his team will start next year in S. Africa, he will field best possible team and as I really believe in his great coaching abilities, I will have some bucks on Iran (0) @ 2,06 188bet, much better bet than straight Iran win, see them at least get a draw... So stay tuned to see even bigger rallies on Tehran's streets, if Iran wins tomorrow :loon

  8. Re: WC 2010 Qualifiers (South America)

    double: Ecuador+0,5 Argentina 1 1,60 + Columbia Peru 1 1,30 2,08 3 units paddypower (flat) I saw both matches last weekend and I was totaly desapointed with Argentina gameplay. Only Messi played good. Now they are without Mascerano, Aguero. If I am not wrong this game will play over 2000 meters so this is one more + for Ecuador. Columbia played very good on counters attack against Argentina. Peru had very bad defence against Ecuador and now they playing far away from home.
    nice combo, followed :ok
  9. Re: WC 2010 Qualifiers (Europe) 10 Jun 2009 I think Russia will win easily today, not only cos there is a quality gap between both teams, no, I see one huge advantage russian team has and this is the fact their domestic league have started since few weeks. Weekly matches and permanent practice is what makes players playing good, you can't expect to players playing world class matches coming back right out of their holidays!! Ppl are right to mention Russia's poor performance against Liechtenstein, but they also forget Russian team got 3 points out of that match, despite not being in best shape, cos of their late start of season in domestic league. They don't play nice atm like they played at EC 2008, but Hiddink made them more effective, more italian style atm, in 5 matches 9 goals were enough for 4 wins! Though Finland plays a good qualification, I can't see them really to be competing with Germany or Russia. I got 1,90 @ Interwetten monday evening, but wouldn't touch those crap odds at around 1,70 now...

  10. Re: WC 2010 Qualifiers (Asia) 10 Jun 2009 Iran home win @ 1,30 skybet looks like free money IMO, they are playing at home in front of 100.000 supporters in Azadi stadium and only a win will keep them in survival game for 3rd relegation place. Political stuff makes Saudi match interesting. North Korea prisioned 2 female US journalists with south korean routes. So many ppl think S. Korea will show his reaction in this match and give this away to Saudis to block North Korea WC plans. It's at least Asian football, so football remains political. But better than the X2 option with odds around 1,60 is IMO over 2,5 goals in this match with odds around 2,20. Koreans already qualified for S. Africa, play for nothing, Saudis have good offense but can't defend at all. Could get a wide open match with many goals. Japan home win against Qatar should also be clear, perhaps they even manage to win in handicap, there won't be any better opportunity in front of home crowd. Aussis are also through, you could see their listlessness in recent matches, why should it be a different case now against underrated Bahrain? Nobet ...

  11. Re: Weekend Bets 5-7 june (internationals)

    My weekend picks: Serbia & Netherlands double (bet of weekend) :cheers Singles: Netherlands -1 :eyes Serbia -1 :eyes Croatia under 2,5 g. :eyes Nigeria -1 :ok Guinea - Cote D'Ivoire over 2,5 g. :ok Zambia AH -1 Cashback Argentina -1 :eyes Bolivia over 2,5 g :eyes Uruguay +0,25 :eyes S. Korea :ok
    crap weekend, combo saved almost my a...:sad
  12. Re: WC 2010 Qualifiers (Europe) 06 Jun 2009

    Nope South Korea drawn 4 of the last 5. UAE can't defend but they have talented attackers in their side. I don't really want to rely on the Koreas personally.
    It even didn't matter, if S. Korea had lost last 5 matches, they won't fail against Emirates, who play for nothing and seem to be in holiday modus already. Different opinions on that match mate, so we both will see who was right today evening :ok
  13. Re: UEFA European Championship U21 (Sweden :: 15.-29.06.) I don't know much about all teams, but what I can see from German squad is really strong defense with already proven BL players like Höwedes, Aogo, Boateng, Hummels or Beck & very talented young goalkeeper Neuer from Schalke. Would be surprised if this team concedes many goals in this tournament... Edit: Sorry Germany, Aogo said bye bye :lol: http://www.goal.com/en/news/1863/world-cup-2010confederations-cup/2009/06/05/1306346/fifa-clear-dennis-aogo-to-star-for-nigeria

  14. Re: WC 2010 Qualifiers (Europe) 06 Jun 2009

    Croatia v Ukraine looks intresting. Croatia very confident and keep saying it will be easy match for them.Both teams know each other very well.First match ended 0-0 and i would give little advantage to Croatia.But is it going to be so easy for them this time? It reminds me about England v Ukraine,where England were strong favorite and at the end were lucky to win 2-1.I will give more info about Ukraine on friday or saturday but looks Mihaylechenko will have big choice up front as Sheva,Voronin,Milevsky and Kovpak("Tavria"top goal scorer in Ukraine 2008/2009) all fit and ready.
    clearest under 2,5 goals of round for me, both teams neutralize each other in an amazing way :)
  15. Re: WC 2010 Qualifiers (Europe) 06 Jun 2009 I am tempted to play Serbia + Netherlands double @ 2,03 Cashpoint atm. Were clearest mismatches at first glance. Both opponents, Austria and Iceland are at least one class below deserved favorites. Serbia is playing hell of qualification this year, won 4 out of 5 matches, very good team and oviously nice team atmosphere atm. They already won in Austria 3:1 and I wouldn't be surprised to beat them again in handicap at home. Being 2 points in front of "almighty" France, they will do their duty at WE for sure... Netherlands are without any serious opponents in their group, won all their 5 matches. Sure, season is over in Netherlands and top European leagues, where most of squad plays, but as I know van Marwijk from his Dortmund times, he isn't kind of coach to give away such matches, though a draw would be ok for them. I'll await team news to decide stakes, but I think we'll see Netherlands A Team to make trip to skandinavian side.

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