mcege
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Posts posted by mcege
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Re: NBA regular season 2013/2014 running stats: 4-8 -2.09 Raptors - Wizards Are Wizards capable of winning 3 straight, winning back to back on road? I'm not sure, but I like fading Raptors when they are home favorites and I like the match ups. I slightly rate Wizards' bench better, despite T.Ariza is questionable for tonight and from the starting line ups, Raps might have a slight edge at wings, but Wizards' front court is slightly better, as well. I don't see any difference between squads and current forms. For the sake of home advantage, Raps can be favorites by couple points, so I believe there's some value taking road underdogs. Wizards ml @2.66 Sixers - Bucks I like Sixers as home underdogs, as long as they're not facing with one of the powerhouses, but with the probability of T.Young missing second straight game, I'll love to fade them as home favorites. Bucks is not a team to trust at all, but almost whole squad dealt with some injuries throughout the preseason and the first month of the season and now, besides couple long terms, most of those guys returned to action and they should be healthy enough. OJ.Mayo's probability to miss the game is not a good thing, but I expect him to play, as his in-game injury didn't seem that serious at first sight. I can't argue a huge value or such, but I'm not feeling good about Sixers being set as favorites. Bucks ml @2.34
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Re: NBA regular season 2013/2014 one more and the last from tonight: Sixers - Raptors Neither are trustable teams at all, Michael Carter-Williams is doubtful for Sixers, but I took this bet assuming he won't suit up. Raps might have better individuals on paper and had higher ambitions about the season, but after three weeks of regular season basketball, I rate these two teams very similar. Sixers has the better offense, better ball sharing, Raps has more talented hands and a slightly better defense overall. Sixers are coming home after 3-games road trip, whereas Raps is on the road after 2 games at home. This generally works for the team, which returns to home and had a day off. Raps might be arguably better team, but they're far from being the team, which is expected to make a late playoff run, underrated Sixers at home against not sharp teams cashed so far and I don't see any opposing thing to that because of schedules, player news, etc, for tonight as well. Sixers ml @2.44
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Re: NBA regular season 2013/2014 running stats: 3-5 -0.42 Knicks - Pacers Revenge game of last season's playoffs, Knicks won only 1 in 6 home games, they are definitely better home team then that. Coach Woodson had to shake the rotation up too much and that effects surely chemistry and integrity, but I believe they're getting there. Absence of T.Chandler definitely hurts the team, as he was the defensive leader and signal caller, and it'll definitely not help against mighty Pacers front court, which killed them last playoffs. But, I still feel Knicks deserve a shot, since this is an almost MUST win game for them. Their season is almost in line and coach Woodson has definitely a hot seat, a loss will cause terrible mood in MSG, M.Woodson, whom I believe his players like him, will speculatively get fired. I expect C.Anthony to step up against D.Granger and dominates the game. Pacers got rested for a long time and I don't think that'll help them. I expect them to start flat and Knicks to start well due to urgency. I can't argue with the odds, since this is a match up between the hottest team versus one of the coldest teams, but traditionally teams which needs these kind of games deadly generally nails an ugly win. Odds over 3 is good enough for me to skip. Knicks ml @3.18 Cavaliers - Wizards Slightly better, or similar level team, lost the reverse match up last week, at home, after screwing 16 points lead up. Traditional trends scream for an away win, but more importantly, I believe there're more things to like Wizards, instead of sole trends. I can not argue if Wizards has a good team chemistry, but it's known that Cavaliers recently had a poisonous dressing room, players pointed fingers lately in players meetings and coach Brown had anything but control of his team, so far. K.Irving continues to struggle, but since it's a team of M.Brown, Cavaliers' offense only depends on his creativity, when the game is on the line. I would be more confident, if Wizards couldn't nail that spiritual come back against hot T'Wolves, but they can carry that momentum to this revenge game. Cavaliers seemed to be a solid home team, but they never couldn't close the games properly and they lost to Bobcats in last home game, so they are not a solid home team at all, as well. Wizards ml @2.33 Magic - Heat I was expecting Wade to play yesterday and sit today, despite he still has the probability of sitting, I expect him to play. But, it's obvious he's not fully healthy, at all. Heat enjoyed one of the easiest schedules, so far, yes they could've won that much of games, if they had the most difficult schedule as well, but due to change of line ups and minute restrictions, I believe coach Spoelstra couldn't maintain his main rotation. Heat played so far 4 games on the road and lost 2 of them against Nets and Sixers. They are not sharp yet, especially on the road. Magic is a tanking team, but first they're not that clueless and has a talented core, and second, they so far nailed the big named visitors at home, namely Nets and Clippers. They are coming off a huge rest, which is not good at all and Heat is coming off a b2b, I expect Heat to start well, then a bit of relief to span out to team, then Magic to stick to the game and start challenging. It's extremely difficult to figure out the games such teams like Heat will lose, but these teams eventually lose, as well. I believe this is a good chance, because Magic will be more motivated then usual and b2b might catch, aged Heat's bench throughout the game. Magic ml @4.01
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Re: NBA regular season 2013/2014 running stats: 3-4 +0.58 Rockets - Celtics Rockets is an ok defensive team at best and in order to keep D.Howard happy, they waste too many offensive possessions, as well. Yes, they have one über talented individual, who's one of the best closers of the game, but I believe there are some concerns about this team. Moreover, I don't think chemistry is good, as well, O.Asik wants to get traded and C.Parsons likes to comment everything publicly. I can't understand, why a young player acts like the head of PR department, since off season. Celtics is not a good team at all, but 6+ odds against Rockets, for a team which already won at Miami... Despite being a speculative play, in order to maintain my Nba betting principles, I must make this play. Rockets will travel to Dallas tomorrow, so no need to tell which one is more important game. And like I didn't believe Celtics is a team capable of winning 4 straight, I don't think they're that bad to lose 8 straight and if they lose tonight, that is a likely case, because of upcoming schedule. Moreover, most of Rockets' back court had been dealt with numerous minor injuries since summer, I would not surprise to see some last minute DNP's, or minute restrictions as they're heading to a very tough schedule, 3 games against Western rivals, in 5 days, starting from tomorrow. Celtics is 2-4 on the road, but except the one against T'Wolves, they managed to stay close in all of those which they lost and lost it by clutch time screw ups, besides their chances to close this and win, I would really surprised to see them not being close until last couple minutes, then Rockets will have the home advantage, a good closer named J.Harden, but Celts will have fairly better coach in the bench and 6+ odds... If you decide to follow, you can always wait for bigger odds, because public likes to use such big favorites as combo material. Yesterday, Nuggets ml went to 5's before the game starts and despite shooting terrible from charity line, they still had the last ball to win, or take the game to over time. But roughly calculating, I won't give anything better 6 for Celts to make an upset, that's why, I'm satisfied to take it now. Celtics ml @6.34
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Re: NBA regular season 2013/2014 12 more missed ft's killed this long shot, i hope anybody followed, went safe and took the spread. it was definitely close, but ends up being the wrong play...
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Re: NFL Week 11 Picks I took small Pats ml, T.Brady is 17-7 ATS, when he's underdog and he won 8 of 9 regular season games, after bye week, since his breakout year 2003. The defense is hurt, but offense is fully fit after a while, except already replaced S.Vollmer. Mainstream media is crazy about Panthers lately and I believe, it's the perfect situation for Pats, since both coach Bellichick and T.Brady are really pissed. Good teams generally comes sharp after bye week and C.Newton was not that perfect as he thought to be in last couple weeks and his main target S.Smith will be covered by one of the best corners A.Talib. Current odds for Patriots is must take for me.
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Re: NBA regular season 2013/2014 running stats: 3-3 +1.58 Thunder - Nuggets OKC is 3-0 at home court, but against lower level teams like Suns and Wizards, it's fair to say they escaped quite luckily. This game is quite similar to the spot with Wiz game, they're coming off an Eastern trip and they'll face with much important conference match up, after this. Nuggets didn't transform into world beaters in one week, but coach B.Shaw shaked the rotation a bit, some trade rumours came out with some players and malignant J.McGee is down with injury, whereas long term injured W.Chandler returned to the team. All those things made the good and Nuggets improved. They managed to play competitive on the road, generally and I expect their front court presence and depth to hurt Thunder. It's a gusty play for sure, since Thunder is traditionally great at home, not covering wise, but with two perfect closers K.Durant and R.Westbrook, they close the games some way, or another. But, I believe 4+ odds deserve a shot. Nuggets ml @4.54
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Re: NBA regular season 2013/2014 running stats: 2-3 +0.4 Lakers - Pistons Lakers competed all the games at home court so far, except against mighty T'Wolves, this shouldn't change today as well. Pistons will miss W.Bynum and C.Billups, that means a short guard rotation and this means more minutes for B.Jennings, so an automatic defensive letdown at the back court, which should cause coach D'Antoni's run'n gun offense to have a decent night. Lakers live with 3 pointers and lacks a go-to-guy and that make them a team not to trust. But, Pistons with B.Jennings in the driving seat is not a trustable team at all, as well, especially in the last game of a one week west coast trip and as they're entering a 4-game week, after this. Everything above evens is takeable, for me. Lakers ml @2.18
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Re: NBA regular season 2013/2014 running stats: 0-3 -3 Jazz - Hornets Obviously I'm not gonna take this pathetic Jazz team, every single time, as long as they get their first W, but they lost one more game and now, they'll face with Hornets, who's not better then Nuggets at all and Jazz gets bigger odds. If I took them against Nuggets, then I must take them against Hornets, as well. It's not the healthiest way of thinking for sure, but it makes sense to my little brain, so I took this disastrous Jazz team, once again. If they fail again, then I'll not touch them for a long time... Jazz ml @2.18 Sixers - Rockets Rockets is terrible, they suck big time in the offensive end, coach McHale insists D.Howard is an effective post player in offense, J.Harden seems uninterested and deals with numerous minor injuries, C.Parsons is also dealing with some minor injuries and finally bench is not good, at all. Sixers started to get underestimated after debut week hype, they kept challenging against some good teams, except the last game against Spurs, which is anyway too superior. Sixers' careless, shoot free style will fit Rockets perfectly, which is far from being a solid defensive outfit. Sixers had beaten better teams at home, their hype didn't last long as expected, but that doesn't mean, they'll stop competing, especially at home court. Sixers ml @3.22
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Re: NBA regular season 2013/2014 I always thrive to take underdogs during regular season (it's actually only thing I do with Nba betting...) and I finally like some plays I would like to share, from tonight's card. Pacers - Grizzlies Indy is the team to watch definitely, they were my bet to get crowned before season, I jumped couple of Pacers in fantasy basketball, so I'm happy them started good. But, one must note that they didn't have a really tough schedule and some of their late performances were not convincing. They'll lost at one point for sure, and I really like the match ups which Grizzlies will put on table, tonight. Grizzlies is nothing but shaky so far, but in overall, they're at quite similar level with Pacers. I believe they'll own some of match ups, they have undoubtedly better PG and some solid perimeter defenders, who can limit L.Stephenson and P.George a bit. Every 3+ offer is must play for me. Grizz ml @3.31 Celtics - Magic I'm leaning towards a very profitable trend, in short time, if the worse team wins the same match up on the road, other team generally wins the next game on the road. Although there is no big difference, I rate Magic as the better team. I don't like their performances on the road so far, but it should be noted they played against T'Wolves, Pacers and Hawks. Celtics is coming off a spiritual win at South Beach, they won 3 straight and it's obvious, I don't rate a team which can win 4 straight. I love the spot for Magic and despite diminished odds, I still believe they deserve a play, as long as they're underdogs. Magic ml @2.06 Jazz - Nuggets Jazz is winless, some of hyped youngsters underperformed so far, it's obvious, it hurts them not to have a solid play maker. Nuggets certainly has better material, but I didn't see any difference on court, compared to their opponent, tonight. Coach B.Shaw definitely wants to shake things up, it's obvious, he couldn't maintain his safe rotation and minute distribution and there are numerous guys who seem incredibly uninterested. W.Chandler will return after a long break and J.McGee is injured, I don't expect these two things to have dramatic effects, for tonight, at least. If Jazz doesn't win tonight, I wouldn't surprise to see them ending up with 0-16 start, as I see their schedule and I know, they don't give a damn about winning, due to super hyped next draft class, they'll win at one moment and I like tonight's spot, as they come to home after a 4-game road trip. Jazz ml @2.16 All odds are taken from pinnacle. I personally played same amount of money for all those three plays, so the stakes are flat. In order to keep the things simple with counting the stats, I'll accept them as 1 unit plays and that'll remain like this, unless I really love an underdog play and call it a double bet. GL!
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Re: FC København v Galatasaray SK > Tuesday November 5th sneijder and muslera is out, chedjou is doubtful. i took copenhagen already, i'll take more...
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Re: NFL week 9 picks Browns - Ravens Coach Harbaugh has great ATS stats after the bye week and when he's facing with a division rival, with who he already played against. (He actually couldn't cover only against Steelers, in this situation, which is a very hot and intense match up, anyway.) I don't believe Jason Campbell can produce two consecutive solid outings, against the best pass rusher teams of the league. J.Flacco's biggest go-to-guy T.Smith will be neutralized by J.Haden, but J.Jones will be back, which will boost J.Flacco, for sure. Ravens are in a good spot and they can't afford to lose, I expect a defensive struggle ends with a slim Ravens victory. Ravens(-1) 5/10 @1.855 Rams - Titans Rams coming out of a really spiritual loss, whole team seemed devastated last week. They have a terrible QB to start and K.Clemens will be awful, once again. He had been awful in all of his starts, so far in his career, so I don't see any reason to trust him. Titans with J.Locker was a 3-1 team and I expect them to be sharp again, after a bye week, against one of the worst secondary defenses around the league. Titans' rush defense is a concern, but Z.Stacy had been off whole week, because of injuries, so I'm not perfectly sure about his conditioning, anyway. Rams is out of any realistic goal, whereas Titans need to win in order to keep the season alive. Titans(-2.5) 5/10 @1.862
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Re: FC København v Galatasaray SK > Tuesday November 5th everywhere is full of conflicting reports about sneijder, some says he's doubtful, some says he's out for both this game and the one at weekend, against fenerbahce. impossible to give a reliable information for now and i really doubt to have an reliable info until the game day. but it doesn't sound promising, since he left two consecutive games at first half, although the area of injuries reported to be different. also, it's known that he attended only one training session, whole last week, so it's pretty sure that even if he's cleared to play, his conditioning will be highly doubtful.
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Re: Nfl week 8 picks just a small note: "Now, before you shout, "You're an idiot for betting on a double-digit road favorites," consider this: There have been 17 double-digit home divisional underdogs since 2002. You know what their spread record is? It's 8-9. Thus, if you've bet on all of these crap teams, you would've lost a bit of money. Now, if you flip this the other way, 9-8 isn't enough to wager on one side, but it's useful to be able to dispel the notion that wagering on double-digit favorites is a bad idea." taken from walterfootball.com btw, really nice picks kev, gl with lynch bet. it seems a really nice bet. i had finally a winning week, so adventure continues... (overall stats: 129unit staked, -10.983u, %-8.514 ROI)
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I'll be short after a fairly long break, I took three plays, but I should note I had atrocious form lately (5 of last 19 picks were correct...). Another losing week means me to quit Nfl betting this season... Broncos - Redskins Broncos is at a good spot, coming off a loss and heading to bye week. Incredible offense had been cooled lately, but they'll face with the worst defense of the league. On the other hand, RGIII reported to get better, he cost me some money against Dallas, due to his terrible performance, but he was better last week and Broncos' defense simply sucks against pass and will continue missing Champ Bailey. I lost two consecutive over bets with Redskins, first one happened because of a red zone drop, the latter was because of Griffin's terrible passing accuracy. Tonight, that should change. over 58.5 5/10 @1.909 Raiders - Steelers Public is all over the Steelers, but Steelers traditionally struggle a lot at pacific coast and despite seemed to fix some problems at the offensive end, they still have a terrible stop unit. They don't have pass rush, they struggle against rush, both should fit Raiders very well, as it's a team which allows too many pressure hit to their capable QB. I believe Pryor&McFadden tandem will hurt Steelers a lot and I really like to take home underdog in a noisy, sold out stadium. Steelers won in Pacific Coast only 1 time in last 10 years, back in 2005, when they became eventual Super Bowl champions. Raiders +1 5/10 @2.06 Bengals - Jets These two teams have arguably the best defensive front sevens with KC and Denver. Bengals' defense is great against rush and has tons of pass rushing, G.Smith will get sacked numerous times and he can't rely on his running backs. Bengals' defense doesn't have an effective secondary, but neither Jets' offense does, anyway. Jets has a good defense overall, they rock in ground game and their secondary is not pedestrian. A.Dalton was far from being accurate throughout the season and I'm not sure facing R.Ryan is the correct spot to start a new chapter. 17-13 Bengals win... under 41 5/10 @1.971
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Re: NFL: Week 6 picks I moved to another home and lived two weeks without internet, that's why i didn't update the bets. And since I lived without watching nfl for a fairly long time, I'll take another off week. I'll be back with updated stats starting from week 9, just wanted to post this in order to prevent thoughts of me disappearing after some bad results. cheers.
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Re: NFL: Week 6 picks There has been some viral thing going on with Bucs team, Carl Nicks, Lawrence Tynes and Johnathan Parks are diagnosed with mrsa. There have been some saying going on, the game might get postponed. That doesn't change my bet, or my thoughts about the game, but I think, I need to note it to inform, the ones who're considering to follow. I see Nicks' absence as important, but even though he had been diagnosed with that before, he played in first couple weeks and he's not officially ruled out for this game, as well.
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Re: NFL: Week 6 picks Buccaneers vs. Eagles Bucs are coming off a bye week, it’s a team full of veterans and they’re still winless. I believe, this is the time to bounce back. They had a difficult schedule so far and despite getting terrible QB performances, their record could’ve been 2-3, instead of 0-5, because of stud defensive unit they have. They ranked in top 10 both against pass and rush. Missing M.Vick will cost for Eagles, since the opposing defenses will solely focus to stop L.McCoy and D.Revis will be matched with Eagles’ only clicking receiver D.Jackson, who generally manages to contain him. N.Foles hadn’t been tested against Giants’ terrible stop unit, I still have doubts him to be able to run coach Kelly’s offense. M.Glennon didn’t seem to be a guy to be trusted in his first start, but he’ll face with a softer secondary defense and his best receiver V.Jackson is fully healthy, for this time. This is Eagles’ third consecutive road game and after this, they’ll have two consecutive divisional match ups. It’s the perfect spot to take home underdog. Buccaneers(+1) 3/10 @2.11 Ravens vs. Packers Packers ranked 29th against pass this season and with the missing of C.Matthews, I really doubt this to change against reigning Super Bowl champions. R.Rice seems to be fully healthy and he’ll face run defense ranked 20th. Packers’ offense is a bit overrated, since it has some flashy players, but actually, recently red zone offense was terrible and Ravens is one of the best defenses in red zone. A.Rodgers will have problems, since his offensive line will face the defensive front seven, which recorded second most sacks, this season and Ravens’ defense is ranked 8th versus rush, I expect this to be a tough afternoon for Packers’ offense as well. Ravens seem to pick games and I believe, they’ll be on attack mode, as they’re underdogs at home turf, where they have been really impressive during Harbaugh&Flacco era. Ravens(+1) 3/10 @2.16 Texans vs. Rams M.Schaub had been awful recently, but he faced with some of the best defenses around, now he’ll be facing a terrible Rams’ secondary and his team is in bounce back spot. Rams’ defense is ranked 28th against both pass and rush. Texans’ previous opponents had top 10 defenses against rush, which effected M.Schaub’s play-action plays, but I expect to see much increased performance overall, this Sunday. Rams doesn’t havea solid running back, whereas Texans’ secondary is ranked 3rd against pass. Moreover, Rams’ O-Line is terrible, they allowed 13 sacks in last 3 games, so I really feel sorry for S.Bradford, as he’ll face with JJ Watt and crew. Rams got destroyed against higher level teams such as Cowboys, Falcons and Niners. I don’t expect this to change against Texans, who is in a definite must win situation. Texans(-7.5) 3/10 @2.06 Seahawks vs. Titans C.Fitzpatrick will have his first career start in Seattle, it’s arguably the hardest place to put a decent performance and he’ll not have his safe option, since Seattle is ranked 5th against rush. Fitz will be challenged to do it on air against a solid secondary defense, in the noisiest stadium. I don’t expect him to be successful, at all. Titans has really good pass rushing and a solid secondary defense, but their main liability is to defend the rush and as M.Lynch finally had his break out game last week, I strongly believe Seahawks will focus running more. I believe o/u line is way off. Under 40.5 3/10 @1.952 49ers vs. Cardinals Kap is struggling and Niners will face Cardinals’ defense, which is ranked 4th against the rush. P.Peterson can match and contain A.Boldin, as well and as D.Washington is back from suspension, Cardinals has much better pass rushing. On the other hand, C.Palmer is terrible lately, he threw 7 interceptions compared to 2 TD’s, in last 3 games. His O-Line can’t protect him well, I expect him to have a real tough evening at San Francisco. P.Willis will finally return to pitch, which will improve Niners’ defense against rush. All in all, anything except a defensive struggle game will be a surprise for me. Under 41 3/10 @1.952 Cowboys vs. Redskins Redskins has the worst defense of Nfl. They’re ranked last against pass by far and 30th against rush. Despite coming off a heartbreaking loss, T.Romo has plenty of options to exploit Skins’ stop unit and he had been solid, so far this season. On the other side of the pitch, Cowboys’ secondary was awful, so far, they seemed to struggle to make the transition to new defensive schemes. RGIII seemed to getting back on track before bye week and as he had more time to prepare for this one, I expect to see him sharper. Cowboys’ rush defense is ranked at the middle, although they might limit A.Morris, I expect RGIII to hurt them on the ground as well, due to read-option scheme’s traditional success against Cowboys’ cover-2. I expect a scoring fest. Over 52 3/10 @1.926
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Re: World Cup Europe Qualification > Friday October 11th I know it sounds crazy to back such a team and i don't have any team news. But, if you exclude the win against Andorra, Kazakh's latest win on the road was in 2007. They will travel massive amount of distance for this meaningless game. On the other hand, Faroe might be one of the weakest teams in Europe, but they never completed a campaign without point(s), except couple previous EC Qualifying. Their last game is against Austria, so if the trend will continue, this game is much better opportunity. In the reverse fixture, Faroens led in half time and got beaten only 2-1, with a penalty goal from Kazakhs. It's always closer to gambling then betting to back such teams, therefore I'm not writing stakes. But, I'll put a bet to Faroe DNB and I would love to hear any opinions, as well. It's 2.71 in my local and I believe it's a decent price, I'm sure it's even much higher at some online bookies.
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Re: NFL: Week 5 picks week 5 recap: Bears-Saints: 18-26 -5 Packers-Lions: 22-9 -5 Cowboys-Broncos: 48-51 +4.9 15W-0V-15L 96u staked -3.684u %-3.838 ROI
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Re: NFL: Week 5 picks I hate this week's card, as I recap my bets so far, I noticed I was mostly accurate with "over"'s and so, instead of messing with a program i don't like, i picked three o/u lines i like most and took them as regular plays. GL with your bets! Cowboys vs. Broncos There's no need to talk about Broncos' offense, at all. They are flowing under the guidance of P.Manning and I don't believe Cowboys has the defensive unit to stop that. Besides, P.Manning will face with Colts' ex defensive coordinator, he arguably knows every play signals and basic principles of Cowboys' defensive unit, maybe more then any QB in the league. Cowboys' defense is definitely improved after last season's woeful performances, but it's still not a solid unit, who allowed 400+ passing yards to P.Rivers last week, how can they'll limit an offense scored 44+ points per game, so far? Broncos' defensive unit has some play makers, but it's still a weakened unit from last season due to various reasons and it's early to trust them on the road, against a capable Cowboys team. Besides, they'll be missing couple starters in the secondary line. Over 56.5 5/10 @ 1.98 Packers vs. Lions Packs is coming out of a bye week, it's hard to make estimation about them, but I believe the match up speaks for itself. Two heavy-pass dependent teams, with QB's who doesn't hesitate to pull the trigger for big plays down to the field, will face each other. Total points per game in Packers' games is 61+, whereas it's 55+ for Lions. Those numbers came out for Packers without A.Rodgers' A-Game, I believe he'll come out more lively after bye week, against Lions' secondary, which will miss, or will be forced to under-use the best defensive back of squad, C.Houston and which let 300+ passing yards to opposing QB's for two straight weeks. The return of S M.Burnett will definitely boost Packers' woeful secondary, but I don't believe a defense unit, which's fifth worst against passing can not suddenly turn into a beast, after a bye week and return of a starter, against an offensive unit with such potential. Over 53.5 5/10 @ 1.926 Bears vs. Saints I got lectured by D.Brees last week and I'm acting accordingly. Again two pass-first teams face each other, and I believe their defense units are still overrated. I wrote a lot about Bears last week and since they showed no signs to proof me wrong, I keep believing, they're an "ok" unit at best. Saints is terrible against rush and that didn't change against Dolphins, as well. It didn't hurt them yet, since they didn't face with a beast, (sorry for not counting S.Johnson after a terrible season, in a new uniform...) so M.Forte will definitely kill them occasionally. Total points per game in Bears' games is 60+ points, the number for Saints is much lower, but you must remember D.Brees had one of his late career's worst games against Bucs. Saints is still a 25+ points per game team, in any stadium, any day... Over 50.5 5/10 @ 1.971
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Re: Euroleague Qualification Somebody believes the opposite, so I'm adding one more unit: Tofas(-8.5) 1/10 @ 1.901
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Re: Euroleague Qualification Oostende - Banvit I don't have too many information about Oostende, but Belgian clubs tend to play high tempo in European campaign and that didn't seem to change, when Oostende shocked Khimki, the other day. They found 29 baskets out of 16 assists and went to foul line for 27 times and scored 90 points against this tournament's dream team. May be they were too relaxed and out of pressure, which let to a solid percentage shooting, but although local league is no comparison to this campaign, this is a team scored 90+ points per game, last regular season of Belgian league. Banvit changed the coach, added couple good players and didn't lose so many solid players, only couple rotation guys. The biggest change I saw on court was some players are green flagged to take early shots in transition and most of the players are green flagged to shot from perimeter, no matter the shot clock, if they're open. They have an attacking back court defense, which leads to steals and fast break points, but also leads to 4 on 3's, 3 on 2's in front court and I must say Banvit's front court defense is terrible, since they have personnel who is terrible at the defensive end. All in all, I absolutely don't agree with this line, my fair line is at least 160. Biggest play of the season, so far... Over 152.5 5/10 @ 1.962
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Re: Euroleague Qualification I didn't want to open a new thread, Turkish Cup Tofas - Selcuk Universitesi 3rd game in 3rd day for each team. Tofas is in must win to qualify, whereas Selcuk doesn't have any chance to qualify. Tofas is coming off an ok performance against Fenerbahce and a convincing win against hosts, whereas Selcuk got destroyed by host club (Olin) and then, played a close game against a relaxed Fenerbahce. Besides Tofas having at least couple level better qualified squad, they have the deeper squad as well and Selcuk's almost whole guard rotation consists of players having 30+ ages. Not the best conditions for 3rd game in 3rd day and there's nothing to play left. Tofas is the better team, has much better coach, they'll qualify with a win and they definitely want to progress further in the cup. Point difference might become decisive depending on the next game's result, so I don't think Tofas will even let a backdoor cover. Tofas(-11) 3/10 @ 1.926
Galatasaray SK v Juventus > Tuesday December 10th
in Champions League Predictions
Posted
Re: Galatasaray SK v Juventus > Tuesday December 10th I believe this all depends to scoring updates from Kopenhagen, I'm sure R.Mancini will not be too upset, if Galatasaray finishes the 3rd. I'm not into the speculations, but this is a group consists 3 Italian managers, anyway. Draws at both games will make all of them satisfied... ps: R.Mancini will surely want to win this and qualify next stage, but this is not his team anyway, nothing will happen to him if he loses and he'll face a much superior team, which should beat him if he tries to play "football". When current forms are considered Juve is much better and a revenge situation might occur as well, because of first leg. ps2: Galatasaray is historically match very well against Juve, but those were the old days and I don't think it's a reliable thing to think about. I'll take very small stake, fun double, draw at both Istanbul and Kopenhagen.