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robilaruk

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Posts posted by robilaruk

    GaF's Nothing to Something thread (Current Bank €1007.85)

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    Posted

    Re: GaF's Nothing to Something thread (Current Bank $685.51)

    I'm no expert but I think there is more to this variance arguement than losing one hand. These things happen, its when they continue to happen that it is bad variance. Notice you havent left the round by round betting in suggesting it was actally more likely bad play due to you being in the wrong state of mind!
    can't quite see what your point is except to try to wind me up:lol my point is that variance exists - I was a 98% fav on the flop and he hits runner runner - that is variance amply demonstrated by this hand. (how the betting went to get maximum out of the other player is irrelevant in this matter, as it bears no relevance to point of whether variance exists) I am not talking about one hand but the mathematical theory of variance - of course if you want to ignore an accepted mathematical model then you are, of course, completely free to:ok Damo

    GaF's Nothing to Something thread (Current Bank €1007.85)

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    Posted

    Re: GaF's Nothing to Something thread (Current Bank $648.47)

    actually losing is also about variance - unless you have the absolute nuts on the flop, with card/cards to come you can still get beat even if you are a 99.6 fav on the flop (i.e. you have a FH on the flop and they hit runner runner to out draw your FH - that is variance) Damo
    like this for instance 25.00/50.00 Texas Hold'em (No Limit ) - 30 September 2007 14:52:28 Seat 3: keith_moon (4805.00) Seat 4: LizziePL (1285.00) Seat 5: ZAPPASS (1410.00) ZAPPASS post SB 25.00 keith_moon post BB 50.00 ** Deal ** keith_moon [N/A, N/A] LizziePL [3c, 3s] ZAPPASS [N/A, N/A] *** Bet Round 1 *** LizziePL Raise to 150.00 ZAPPASS Fold keith_moon Call 150.00 *** Flop(Board): *** : [4s, 4h, 3h] *** Bet Round 2 *** *** Turn(Board): *** : [4s, 4h, 3h, Qs] *** Bet Round 3 *** *** River(Board): *** : [4s, 4h, 3h, Qs, Qd] *** Showdown *** : Rake: 0.00 Total Pot: 1825.00 keith_moon [Qc, Js] Full house Win: 1825.00 LizziePL [3c, 3s] Full house Win: 0.00

    Is it a bad thing ?

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    Posted

    Re: Is it a bad thing ?

    Is it a bad thing to try completely new tactics My question is: Are these tournaments a good place to try new tactics or is it easier to try in small stakes SnG's. Thanks :ok:ok
    no, there is nothing wrong with trying new tactics - we should all do this at some point - as to when, only you can decide - I would think that a freeroll is a perfect time to try new things nice to hear that by changing things you had some success:ok, only long term will 'prove' whether this new style works for you. Cheers Damo

    GaF's Nothing to Something thread (Current Bank €1007.85)

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    Posted

    Re: GaF's Nothing to Something thread (Current Bank $648.47)

    Personally I dont believe in variance- Losing is all about the "wrong frame of mind"
    actually losing is also about variance - unless you have the absolute nuts on the flop, with card/cards to come you can still get beat even if you are a 99.6 fav on the flop (i.e. you have a FH on the flop and they hit runner runner to out draw your FH - that is variance) Damo

    AQ off suit Utg

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    Posted

    Re: AQ off suit Utg and phil Laak suggests folding it in the BB to a raise from an article in IE several months ago http://www.punterslounge.com/forum/showthread.php?t=39947 lists the issue number I think?? quick precis Antonio owed him about $15K so he gave him an online account of his to pay off the debt, which phil started to lose at (about 6K i think) before he wised up to online poker - he said in the article that a big leak of his was calling a raise on his BB with AQ, because half the time you are up against AA KK AK and the other half of the time on an otherwise innocous flop, the villian flops a monster after making a LP move (he only noticed how weak AQ is after starting to use PT) so if Mr LAAG folds AQ, then I would too:ok Damo

    Boss changing to euros on 1st October

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    Posted

    Re: Boss changing to euros on 1st October

    If you play a percentage of bankroll' date=' then it will have no impact....[/quote'] agreed in general however...... so for instance at the moment if your BR is $240 you can play in the $11 STT games (5% max of your BR) but from Monday you will probably be playing in the 5 euro games as 10 euro will be above the 5% max buy in threshold for STT's as this would equate to about $15 or so and need a BR of $300+ to properly play (these are very conservative figures - I prefer 'how many buy-in's have I got' to properly equate STT's, but thanks to Chris Ferguson every one seems to be talking about the magical 5%). also the pschology of 'stepping' down to a 5 euro game, rather than a $10 game - somehow the 5 euro doesn't seem as big:ok thats the problem with playing in a non sterling currency - if it was in £ 5% is a fiver, not 7 euro or $10 etc it WILL be interesting to see how many players don't 'step down' and continue to play in their 'favourite amount game' they currently play - they will be paying another 42% or so more than they currently do if they play in the 10 euro game compared to the $10 game - am wondering if there is a way to exploit this? cheers Damo

    should I have shoved the flop?

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    Posted

    Re: should I have shoved the flop?

    Would say it depends on your stack size in relation to the blinds and how many players are left in. Less than 10 bb's and you shove, you dont really have the chips to manouver. One thing about the initial hand I'm spending a lot of time thinking about at the moment is the size of my raises. I seem to raise too much at times leaving me with very expensive continuation bets that due to the size of the pot I have created inevitabley get called. You might have got away with the first hand if your inital raise had been less as it would have left you more chips to take down a smaller pot.
    I raised deliberately high because 3-4BB raises where getting 2-3 callers - I wanted one caller at most :lol against 2 people if I missed the flop - I am not continuation betting - just checking and hoping for a free turn card - no point puuting in good money after bad etc Damo

    Boss changing to euros on 1st October

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    Posted

    Re: Boss changing to euros on 1st October

    Was informed by Mermaid that they were changing my account to euros on 1st October. Have checked and found that it will happen on all Boss sites. More losses on conversion rates :cry
    are they changing the buy in's as well - coz if they transfer the $10 STT to a 10 euro game then you get less games for the BR (by about a third approx) £100 = 143 euro= 14 games or so £100 = $204 = 20 games or so hmmmm going to effect BR management :) Damo

    should I have shoved the flop?

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    Posted

    Re: should I have shoved the flop?

    We've all seen people moaning on various forums that the lower level games are unbeatable because of the poor standard of play, when in fact the complete opposite should be true. However I'm currently considering whether to up my BR and start playing the $10 tables instead.
    you're right we should be crushing the $5.50's - so why aren't we?? for me its perhaps knowing too much strategy and giving too much respect to the other players (and them having no idea of the gap concept, or fold equity or all the other theories out there). I also think my game is beter suited to normal tables than turbo's, though the lure of playing 10-12 games per hour on the turbo's to improve the hourly rate is strong, compared to 2 or 3 on the full tables. and because I am just breaking even at the $5.50 turbo's at the mo, I am posting the sort of hands like the KJ to ask advice - when to play, what position, how big the blinds need to be etc - that way I will get a better understanding of picking my spot. just my thoughts Damo ps I a probably sucking at these games, because I am playing at lower stakes than I used to a few months ago - so perhaps the money doesn't mean anything to me (i.e. winning a tenner is not a huge amount and wont help pay for stuff in normal life) so therefore I am prepared to gamble more?, or maybe because the money means nothing to others either, so they are prepared to gamble more? I just need to be disciplined and make every $ count at the mo regardless of buy-in and play my optimal game and accept that I will probably be drawn out on, more when I get my chips in whilst ahead against weaker players :ok Damo

    should I have shoved the flop?

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    Posted

    Re: should I have shoved the flop?

    Personally I wouldnt have been in the pot pre-flop either, the blinds may be going up fast but as yet you still have 20+ BBs left. If you had missed the flop you would have folded and had a stack too small to play much poker with. You hit the flop and got called by a couple of guys having a wee break from whatever they were doing. some times they will win but most, sorry more of the time you will. But are $5 STT's really worth the inner torture?
    hmm noticing a pattern here - it seems I am too loose then PF so early in the blinds and structure can I ask when you would play KJ from UTG 50/100 or 100/200? and can't do much about the buy-ins - BR got swallowed up paying the bills whilst I was looking for work over the restful summer break I had :) - so being a good boy I am sticking to sound BR management - though I might give the multi-tabling turbo's a miss and single play some $11's full tables instead thanks for the input:ok Damo

    what is the probability of this happening?

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    Posted

    anyone know? LOL Damo ***** Hand 768983024 ***** 15.00/30.00 Texas Hold'em (No Limit ) - 27 September 2007 22:59:38 5 Player $5 NL Speed (Real /Tournament ) Seat 1: neretva3 (1500.00) Seat 2: sugarbabe1 (1110.00) Seat 3: robilaruk (1920.00) Seat 4: Bravenet (1500.00) Seat 5: virgonomic (1470.00) *** Turn(Board): *** : [5h, 10c, 9c, Ah] *** River(Board): *** : [5h, 10c, 9c, Ah, 8d] *** Bet Round 4 *** sugarbabe1 [6h, Ac] Pair of aces Win: 220.00 robilaruk [As, 3h] Pair of aces Win: 220.00 virgonomic [7d, Ad] Pair of aces Win: 220.00

    should I have shoved the flop?

    in Poker

    Posted

    Re: should I have shoved the flop?

    The guy called a 5 x BB raise with 3 9, he then pushed on a paired board with a 25% chance of hitting his flush. You were ahead at every stage you put money in you played it well enough, if you push at the flop he's calling, so same end result. But you gave yourself chances to get out
    thanks AJ am wondering that I might have given 93s a chance as well - he can call the flop bet and fold the turn if he misses - I think what balls'd this up was the other fella calling as well - there is so much in the pot on the turn I can't see how he can fold? Just wondering how aggressive I need to be on the flop with TP? thanks Damo

    should I have shoved the flop?

    in Poker

    Posted

    Re: should I have shoved the flop?

    Personally I dont like the initial play. I would have folded before the flop. Having got to the flop I would have pushed all in.
    thanks Staffy - would knowing these are 3 minute rounds and the blinds are up in about 20 secs make a difference? and this is the first hand I have raised? just wondering? Cheers Damo

    should I have shoved the flop?

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    Posted

    This is not a bad beat but I just don't get these $5 turbo's at all - whats my play on the flop? should I shove - is there any point in value betting? I can't see why I am not consistently beating them - am I too loose to play KJ so early UTG? is this a leak? really need some help here Damo 25.00/50.00 Texas Hold'em (No Limit ) - 27 September 2007 22:30:31 5 Player $5 NL Speed (Real /Tournament ) Seat 1: toby934 (1055.00) Seat 2: schisser3 (1110.00) Seat 3: Plasto (2435.00) Seat 4: robilaruk (1190.00) Seat 5: opel74 (1710.00) schisser3 post SB 25.00 Plasto post BB 50.00 ** Deal ** robilaruk [Jd, Kh] *** Bet Round 1 *** robilaruk Raise to 250.00 opel74 Fold toby934 Fold schisser3 Call 250.00 Plasto Call 250.00 *** Flop(Board): *** : [2s, 10d, Ks] *** Bet Round 2 *** schisser3 Check Plasto Check robilaruk Bet 450.00 schisser3 Call 450.00 Plasto Call 450.00 *** Turn(Board): *** : [2s, 10d, Ks, Kd] *** Bet Round 3 *** schisser3 Check Plasto Check robilaruk All-in 490.00 schisser3 All-in 410.00 Plasto Call 490.00 *** River(Board): *** : [2s, 10d, Ks, Kd, 4s] *** Showdown *** : Rake: 0.00 Total Pot: 3490.00 toby934 Fold Win: 0.00 schisser3 [3s, 9s] Flush to the king Win: 3330.00 Plasto [Ac, Qh] Pair of kings Win: 0.00 robilaruk [Jd, Kh] Three of a kind, kings Win: 160.00 opel74 Fold Win: 0.00

    Question 2

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    Posted

    Re: Question 2

    Dont care :tongue2 That doesn't impact in any way whether it was the right decision to shove or not - he had 2 random cards, not AK!!
    I agree you can't judge the play by the result - you can only judge it by whether you think it is the right play at the right time. Damo

    Pop Quiz (part XXXIV) - Call or Fold

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    Posted

    Re: Pop Quiz (part XXXIV) - Call or Fold

    So frann was uber strong in the end' date=' was a bit of a 50/50 which one and the other guy had the range i put him in, but the decisions you and i would have made all the way were right imo, just one of those things and on another day you'll punish a guy playing aces so weakly :ok[/quote'] who's to say I didn't punish the guy ;) *** Turn(Board): *** : [8d, 10s, Jd, Kd] *** River(Board): *** : [8d, 10s, Jd, Kd, Jc] *** Showdown *** : Rake: 0.00 Total Pot: 21642.00 robilaruk [10d, Qd] Flush to the king Win: 21642.00 got my leg up just at the right time - finished 8th in the end playing a stop and go with KQ on the BB to a guy with A6o who had no hand no draw on a 10 high flop and called AI for 60% of his stack :eyes Damo
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