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** April Poker League Result : 1st Like2Fish, 2nd McG, 3rd andybell666 **

shobtop

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Posts posted by shobtop

  1. Re: November 10 - November 16 Hi Czech what do you think of the tennis match between Petra Martic and Edina Gallovits in the ITF Captiva Island final? I know it's a pretty average tourny to be punting on but on face value Petra has WTA experience this year (although she lost most games), where as I've never heard of her opponent. I'd say $1.83 for Martic is value but I'm no tennis expert!

  2. Re: January 6 - January 12 Won't see 1.62 about Murray against anyone outside the top 6 players for a while so to me this is value. I know Hewitt beat Federer and is in some decent form but Murray has the power to break Hewitt here and notch up a good win going into the Aus open after losing to F.Mayer on new years day? If Murray is anywhere near his best this shouldn't be a problem for him so I'm hitting this match reasonably hard. 6u Murray to beat Hewitt @ 1.62 (sportingbet) 2u Murray to beat Hewitt 2-0 @ 2.50 (sportingbet) 2u Murray to bear Hewitt -2.5 game @ 1.95 (sportingbet)

  3. Re: September 30 - October 6

    Well done mate !!! Fantastic post !!! Too bad I saw it just now !!! :(
    It was a small loss in the end because the Raonic bet missed out by .5...grr. A couple more.. Roberto Bautista Agut to beat Isner @ $2.45 (sportingbet) I don't really watch a lot of tennis but I do follow, and I've noticed that Roberto handles himself quite well against big servers. Dimitrov is 6"2 and a big lad but Roberto dealt with 37% of his first serves...so I'm going to take the underdog here and hope he can dismantle Isner by stifling his greatest weapon. Keys +4.5 against Radswanksa @ $1.83 (sportingbet) Not much to say here but Rads can really struggle against big hitters at times. I see keys as an attacking player and her ground strokes pack quite a punch so I think she can keep this close.
  4. Re: September 30 - October 6 A couple for me today Raonic -3.5 to beat Soeda : 1.75 at sportingbet. Both these players have great serves and will be hard to break but I'll have to side with Raonic to cover here merely based on form and his solid win over Berdych recently. Fognini +3.5 against Hewitt. Whilst Hewitt has all the experience and seems to be winding back the clock, Fognini is no mug. He is out of form compared to how he has been playing in the last 6 months but I feel he can put it together for 1 set at least, taking it to 3 which should be enough to cover.

  5. Re: September 30 - October 6 I don't mean to criticize your bet here but if I were going to analyze this match in the way you have then there would be one big factor that would sway me to punt on Kerber here. Williams is 33 years old and has played a lot of tennis lately (good tennis too) so will naturally tire and she did. Kerber on the other hand is a 25 year old machine...and in good form. Again not having a dig, just putting forward mmy thinking on that one.

  6. Re: May 20 - May 25 Hi guys long time lurker here. Just thought I'd point out some odds which I see as way over what they should be. Yen-Hsun Lu is $51 to win ATP Nice...any value here? In the matches I've seen him play he really goes for his shots and can play quite aggressively which has troubled some very good players in the past. He just knocked off Seppi in 3 sets which is a decent win. Maybe I see him as a danger because Lu always seems to play well when I back against him, I don't know...but the field doesn't seem overly strong so I feel he is a chance. Thoughts?

  7. Re: US Open 2012 Haven't posted much in here but I don't mind Ivo Karlovic to defeat Jimmy Wang at the odds of $1.70 or $1.80 for a -1.5 games line. The hard court seems to be Wangs strength...but Karlovic has the experience in these bigger tournaments pushing some of the top players in the past. I'm guessing Karlovic has been injured because it doesn't looks like he's played much tennis of late but I think his massive serve should keep him in the game long enough to wear down his Chinese opponent.

  8. Re: Wimbledon 2012 Hi all. First time poster! Is it me or does the games handicap for the Tsonga vs Hewitt match seem too low? I expect Tsonga to put away Hewitt quite easily here who hasn't been able to play much tennis since his Australian Open. I don't think Hewitt can win a set but the $1.60 - $1.65 don't really entice me...the -6.5 game handicap at $1.80 would see this cash with a 6-4 6-3 6-3 match, which is as far as a I think Hewitt will push Tsonga. Hewitt has also had an opperation his foot this year and had steel plates inserted, he has stated that he has had to change the way he moves and plays which I don't think will play into his hands at the age of 31, it is hard to change ways. Does anyone else have a similar read for this match?

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