thecurlyone1

Mallorca only got 2 cards to Granada's 3 so no joy this week.
8-6 and 2 pushes for a 1.2 point profit so far with an ROI of +7.5%.

Can't be many games where both teams get more goals than corners but the result was 5-5 and the corner count 4-4 so the bet wins with the aid of the handicap.
8-5 and 2 pushes for a 2.2 point profit so far with an ROI of +14.67%.

Oldham +2 corners handicap v Forest Green, 1pt at 21-20 with Hills.

5 each on corners so the handicap was more than enough to get the bet over the line.
7-5 and a push for a 1.15 point profit so far with an ROI of +8.85%.

Busted by a 5th yellow deep into stoppage time.
6-5 and a push for a 0.3 point profit so far with an ROI of +2.5%.

Bochum +1 Asian handicap corners v Hoffenheim, 1pt at 1.9 with 365.

A loser this week despite Espanyol getting 4 cards (Getafe got 7).
6-3 and a push for a 2.3 point profit so far with an ROI of +23%.

Espanyol +0.5 Asian handicap cards v Getafe, 1pt at 2.05 with 365.

Won but needed all of the handicap to do it.
6-2 and a push for a 3.3 point profit so far with an ROI of +36.67%.

I realise some will see this as "after timing" and I can't influence that but yesterday was the reason why we stick with the system, stick with the staking and stick with the process. Over 30 units profits on the day with Indy Moon winning at 14.50 & Native Robin winning at 25.0. In fact it came so so close to being even better with Lady Jane P trading into just 1.20 from the BSP of 17.50. Here's todays selections for any one that's interested;
 
21 Oct 2021 14:05 Ludlow Flashing Glance 21 Oct 2021 14:13 Newton Abbot Paricolor 21 Oct 2021 14:30 Carlisle Deluxe Range 21 Oct 2021 14:45 Ludlow Yauthym 21 Oct 2021 15:05 Carlisle Frightened Rabbit 21 Oct 2021 15:58 Newton Abbot Alramz 21 Oct 2021 16:15 Carlisle Holme Abbey 21 Oct 2021 16:30 Newton Abbot Clondaw Rigger 21 Oct 2021 17:20 Carlisle Lissen To The Lady 21 Oct 2021 17:30 Wolverhampton Harry Love 21 Oct 2021 17:30 Wolverhampton Fieldsman 21 Oct 2021 18:00 Wolverhampton Atlantic Heart 21 Oct 2021 20:00 Wolverhampton Gift Horse 21 Oct 2021 20:30 Wolverhampton Delph Crescent  

Winner yesterday for good old Scnuthorpe!  They just won with the aid of the handicap.
5-2 and a push for a 2.425 point profit so far with an ROI of +30.31%.

I think people remain interested and that enquires re how the bets are doing is actually evidence of that. A periodic update would be useful for anyone who follows the thread regularly or comes across it for the first time, e.g. a weekly update with the P/L for the week, year to date and in total.

4 profitable days to see the experiment through to month end; level stakes profit is 8.87 points with an ROI of 4.72% after 103 bets (in 10 days).
Conclusion; the approach is viable (in terms of number of bets being matched) but too early to say whether it will be profitable in the long term. I'm going to carry on but set a bank of 100 points. Stake will be 1% of bank, so will start at 1 point and rise as the bank increases. Minimum stake will be 1 point even if the bank falls below starting level. See how that goes over the course of October.
Average odds laid have been 2.823 so my average odds (if you view it as me backing the players not to score) have been 1.548.

Dundee gained 1 corner fewer than St Johnstone so won with the aid of the handicap.
4-2 and a push for a 1.475 point profit so far with an ROI of +21.07%.

Nice winner yesterday at13.45 but again two near misses with two more selections trading into 1.35 & 1.46 respectively.

Here's today selections when we'll look for some better fortune;
21 Sep 2021 13:00 Lingfield Prince Rock 21 Sep 2021 14:25 Beverley Urban War 21 Sep 2021 15:00 Beverley Tarboosh 21 Sep 2021 15:55 Warwick Monty Guiry 21 Sep 2021 20:20 Newcastle Thowq  

Getafe "won" 7-6 on cards so no need for the start.
2-2 and a push for a 0.1 point loss so far with an ROI of -2%.

Getafe +0.5 Asian handicap cards v Vallecano, 1pt at 1.95 with 365.
Into 1.8 now so the early birds caught the worm.

6-3 to Wigan on corners so the first push of the season.
1-2 (1) after 4 bets, 1.05 points down with an ROI of -26.25%.

Just to confirm no bet this week; as per usual, Kev get's his hair done over the International weekends! 

Here we go...
day profit= +9.40 units
Finn harps vs shamrock rovers away win(1.77) ? -10.00
Vasco vs brasil pelotas  home win(1.61)? -10.00
Seté vs creteil home win(2.31)? +13.10
Concarneau vs bastia home win(2.11)? +11.10
Cabinteely vs galway away win(1.52)? +5.20

Hi All,
Nice winner yesterday, here's todays;

1 Sep 2021 13:30 Lingfield Independence 1 Sep 2021 13:50 Uttoxeter Ali The Hunter 1 Sep 2021 16:10 Bath Plansina 1 Sep 2021 16:35 Lingfield Global Acclamation 1 Sep 2021 17:00 Worcester Kabrit  

6-4 to Tranmere on corners so the handicap wasn't quite enough.
1-2 after 3 bets, 1.05 points down with an ROI of -35%.

Scnuthorpe +1.5 Asian handicap corners
1pt at 1.85 with 365 v Tranmere.

Back today with today's selections below;


27 Aug 2021 14:30 FFos Las Luxy Lou 27 Aug 2021 14:40 Thirsk Intrinsic Bond 27 Aug 2021 15:15 Thirsk Firmament 27 Aug 2021 16:53 Goodwood Desert Land 27 Aug 2021 18:40 Hamilton Platinumcard 27 Aug 2021 19:10 Hamilton John Jasper

Hi All,

A good day yesterday with two winners and just a hair under 5 units profit on the day.
 
25 Aug 2021 13:15 Musselborough Animato 25 Aug 2021 13:30 Catterick Flower Power 25 Aug 2021 14:10 Lingfield Fast Emma 25 Aug 2021 15:10 Lingfield El Felicia 25 Aug 2021 15:40 Lingfield Bella Notte 25 Aug 2021 16:35 Catterick Medicine Jack 25 Aug 2021 17:35 Wolverhampton Flash Betty 25 Aug 2021 18:25 Kempton Dragon's Fire 25 Aug 2021 18:55 Kempton Ventura Vision 25 Aug 2021 20:00 Kempton Spring Glow 25 Aug 2021 20:10 Wolverhampton Calonne 25 Aug 2021 21:00 Kempton Basharat