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thecurlyone1
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thecurlyone1 reacted to Smiles Tennis in Tennis 2.0
Lesham didn't get matched otherwise it would have been a nicer day. I didn't put any in much higher to be matched so he must have shortened quickly from where he was and of course didn't go higher.
A nice winner at 4.0. I swear the other day I must've picked the only day to focus on the high odds picks where they all lost lol.
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thecurlyone1 reacted to Smiles Tennis in Tennis 2.0
Ok, more playing around with the stats revealed that the over 3.00 bets are running away with it. A loss yesterday but it's about the bigger picture of course. The bets of 3.00 and over have been:
57 bets
Staked: £1917
Profit: £1617
ROI: 84%
All the other bets, below 3.00, close to 400 of them, have produced a loss of over £600.
Maybe this is the biggest golden goose I have found? I have expected the ROI for higher odds to drop when it was recently at about 48% but it has increased.
There were also two more at 3.8 and 3.3 that won but weren't matched as I was trying to grab higher than SP so if I had taken SP of maybe 3.0 and 3.5 then this would be even higher.
I can't see it lasting, it's just too high. But for now I will be following the higher odds only and seeing how that goes. I like testing with real bets, it makes me focus more so I will continue to post them here, but it may only be a few a day, with not many towards the later stages of tournaments.
There are a few bets outstanding from yesterday still to complete to fill the spreadsheet too.
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thecurlyone1 reacted to Smiles Tennis in Tennis 2.0
Right, I did reply early this morning and wrote a longer post but it either didn't post or I didn't press submit reply like a fool.
Basically after analysis of hundreds of bets I will be trying to change a few things so won't be sharing for a few days. Oh yeah, loss of £260 ish I think yesterday.
looking at data, faves have ROI of almost 4% and profit of about £600. Bets between 2.00 and 3.00 have -16% with a loss of almost £1000, then over 3.00 has profit of about £1500 and ROI of 48%.
Strange how the under dogs that should supposedly have a better chance end up losing far more often.
I am going to try a few things, maybe look at more data and swap some criteria when making the picks and then start posting again, hopefully with more profit.
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thecurlyone1 reacted to Smiles Tennis in Tennis 2.0
Morning matches.
July totals:
Staked: £12432
Profit: £1923
ROI: 15.4%
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thecurlyone1 reacted to Smiles Tennis in Tennis 2.0
at a wedding today so no more picks. Tried to check most matches. about £150 i think yesterday. one of these might have started already, sorry. More important things to focus on
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thecurlyone1 reacted to Smiles Tennis in Tennis 2.0
Kokkinakis is the last bet for the over night matches.
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thecurlyone1 reacted to anaconda69 in Tennis Betting System
I have had crazy prices win inplay with some good results.
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thecurlyone1 reacted to Smiles Tennis in Tennis 2.0
1 more for this evening.
@OddsPredictor, i have checked the ROI etc, i keep updating it but there are bets outstanding and winning so will do a proper total in the morning but it's basically £6590 total staked, £850 profit and ROI of just under 13%.
Actually that's with the stakes included for the three matches not currently finished. So slightly higher ROI.
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thecurlyone1 reacted to Smiles Tennis in Tennis 2.0
No, my real bets are being made at the price in the spreadsheet. Sometimes 2-3 ticks higher if there's a space but on the first day of restarting this I missed a winner by trying to get 15 ticks higher so cancelled that tactic. Maybe with underdogs I go a bit higher but the spreadsheet shows the price I bet at as this is my personal record of how it's going.
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thecurlyone1 reacted to Smiles Tennis in Tennis 2.0
£146 loss yesterday. Two matches still to play and Ebden was injured and retired, luckily he retired at 0-5 in the first set. If he played one more game and lost the set it would have been a losing bet.
Quite a few picks up to the early afternoon matches. I have increased stakes to 2% per bet. Even with a fair amount of picks, there hasn't been too much of the bank used up. Saying this, on a day when I increase stakes I almost ALWAYS lose. I think it's the law lol.
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thecurlyone1 reacted to Smiles Tennis in Tennis 2.0
£32.80 profit from £60 stakes yesterday. I am just glad for the profit after having so many low odds in there. When Fognini lost I thought it was going to be one of those days when loads of them lose but scraped out a profit in the end.
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thecurlyone1 reacted to Smiles Tennis in Tennis 2.0
Today's picks. Plenty of underdogs so it could go very well, it could go horribly wrong!
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thecurlyone1 reacted to Smiles Tennis in Tennis 2.0
Today's picks are ready. Lots of heavy faves today. I don't really like it as if the couple of underdogs don't win then all it takes is a couple of the faves to lose and it's a losing day with it being hard to make up the losses.
But, the algorithm is the algorithm. I can't argue with the rules. I personally would have been all over Halep to beat Azarenka at evens yesterday but the rules picked Azarenka so I went with her, and she lost.
I'm sure there will be some where my opinion will be wrong and the system will throw up the winner instead so shouldn't really compliain.
Over £500 profit recently so a nice buffer to help when the bad days come rolling along like they always do at some point.
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thecurlyone1 reacted to Smiles Tennis in Tennis 2.0
£64 today, so slightly over a point profit from the four matches.
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thecurlyone1 reacted to Smiles Tennis in Tennis 2.0
Four early picks.
EDIT: after checking further matches there are no more picks for today.