Jump to content
Attention, PL Members! To reinforce security on the forum, we have updated our login process. Please note that you will now need to use your email address to sign in, rather than your forum username. We appreciate your understanding and cooperation.

Tennis 2.0

Recommended Posts

OK, here we go again. The last thread changed from the system to a trading diary and back again. 

I am starting fresh here. I will do my best to get picks up before matches start.

The method:

Using long term results I check to see if a player under/over performs compared to market sentiment. I then bet accordingly. 

Surface matters. 

I usually avoid backing below around 1.3 most of the time.

I also place bets slightly higher to be matched in play. Maybe 10-15 ticks higher for faves, 20 ticks for dogs. Most players drift that much during the matches to enable the bets to be matched. If I miss out on many winners due to not being matched then I will reduce this. 

Stakes are around 1.5% of the bank per bet. It's rough, I do it in my head, not to the penny. 

Two bets to start with today, maybe one or two more later this afternoon but unlikely. 



Link to comment
Share on other sites

Pliskova didn't get matched so will change Querrey to current price which is 1.23. I fear missing out on too many easy winners trying to get the extra ticks. 


Edit: And now he's drifted to 1.3 almost straight away! lol

Edited by Tennis Picks
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Today's picks are ready. Lots of heavy faves today. I don't really like it as if the couple of underdogs don't win then all it takes is a couple of the faves to lose and it's a losing day with it being hard to make up the losses. 

But, the algorithm is the algorithm. I can't argue with the rules. I personally would have been all over Halep to beat Azarenka at evens yesterday but the rules picked Azarenka so I went with her, and she lost. 

I'm sure there will be some where my opinion will be wrong and the system will throw up the winner instead so shouldn't really compliain.

Over £500 profit recently so a nice buffer to help when the bad days come rolling along like they always do at some point. 



Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

  • Create New...