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OK, here we go again. The last thread changed from the system to a trading diary and back again. 

I am starting fresh here. I will do my best to get picks up before matches start.

The method:

Using long term results I check to see if a player under/over performs compared to market sentiment. I then bet accordingly. 

Surface matters. 

I usually avoid backing below around 1.3 most of the time.

I also place bets slightly higher to be matched in play. Maybe 10-15 ticks higher for faves, 20 ticks for dogs. Most players drift that much during the matches to enable the bets to be matched. If I miss out on many winners due to not being matched then I will reduce this. 

Stakes are around 1.5% of the bank per bet. It's rough, I do it in my head, not to the penny. 

Two bets to start with today, maybe one or two more later this afternoon but unlikely. 

 

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Pliskova didn't get matched so will change Querrey to current price which is 1.23. I fear missing out on too many easy winners trying to get the extra ticks. 

 

Edit: And now he's drifted to 1.3 almost straight away! lol

Edited by Tennis Picks

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Loss of £212 yesterday, nearly all of the underdogs lost, it could've been a profitable day if a couple had turned it around. Bouchard came closest I think, being a game away, but it's Bouchard and she was never really going to win I don't think lol

 

 

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7 hours ago, thecurlyone1 said:

Going well fella 👍🏻

Ticking over at the moment yeah, thanks. I got excited when Niculescu was leading in the first set lol, would have been a great day if she would have won as well. :D

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