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beaker1

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Posts posted by beaker1

    BBOTD - Tuesday 22nd March

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    Re: BBOTD - Tuesday 22nd March 3-50 kempton sparrow hills @16/1 w/hill this horse as run some cracking races this season and theres no reason to think that his progress as come to a halt,he ran a good race at ffos las last time off a 1lb lower mark when going for a hatrick trainers in goodish form and at 16/1 willing to give him the chance to show hes still improving good luck

    NICKY HENDERSON -TAKEN FROM THE MAIL ONLINE

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    Gold Cup-winning trainer Nicky Henderson made the astonishing admission on Friday that he’d had a big bet at 16-1 on his own yard not having a single Cheltenham Festival success. The revelation, during a BBC 5 Live interview, was all the more surprising considering the ongoing racing authority investigation into Henderson’s book-keeping of drugs treatments, following the withdrawal of Binocular from the Champion Hurdle. Even more bizarrely, the wager, believed to be £1,000, was struck with the full backing of Cheltenham managing director Edward Gillespie, who discussed the bet when Henderson was their guest at a Festival preview dinner in London last week. Gillespie said: ‘I discussed the intended bet with Nicky during the meal and whether it might be misconstrued by those who don’t understand racing. (Yes, it will) ‘We had no problems with it whatsoever and gave him our 100 per cent backing to go ahead.It was what can be described as an emotional hedge bet.’ Gillespie also had no reservations about the way the racecourse’s new chairman, Robert Waley-Cohen, owner of Gold Cup victor Long Run, shamefully blocked questioning on Binoculargate after the showcase race. Waley-Cohen said: ‘We’re here to talk about Long Run, not what happened in the stables last week.’ Henderson refused again to comment on the background to the Binocular exit, saying only that it had been a ‘very cruel set of circumstances’.

    BBOTD Sunday 13th March

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    Re: BBOTD Sunday 13th March 4-10 navan notre pere win if this horse run to its best after a change of stables [big if] his handicap mark of 129,would give him an outstanding chance and at 10/1 @w/hill im going to give him a chance hes a former welsh national winner and hes also won the punchestown gold cup in 09 he could outclass this lot

    Wed 2.40 : RSA Steeple Chase

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    Re: Wed 2.40 : RSA Steeple Chase i think the giant bolster has a good e/way chance in this,he was still in contention in time for ruperts race at the open meeting when falling at the 12th and hes won his other 2 chase starts,hes best when fresh,his record when rested for at least six weeks reads 1211 [3-4] and he will go to cheltenham after a 46 day lay-off -16/1 with w/hill

    Anything goes thread

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    Re: Anything goes thread taken from the racing post According to Saturday's 16-day forecast by Weatheroutlook.com, snow could fall at the course next Wednesday and again on the Sunday and Monday before the meeting. In Claisse's forecasts provided by former BBC weatherman John Kettley there has been no mention of snow. "John Kettley has given me a forecast that goes beyond his normal seven days but I am not taking a huge amount of notice of it," he said. "He wasn't predicting snow anyway. Even if it is forecasting that, there is nothing I can do. "The positive thing is that we are ready to race. Preparations will be complete tomorrow in terms of mowing. If snow comes, it comes."

    Grand National Thread

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    Re: Grand National Thread A total of 21 seven-year-olds have lined up since 1999 and 15 of them have either fallen or unseated. They include Eudipe in 1999 and Jurancon in 2004, both well-fancied 10-1 shots, while Iris Bleu, the 8-1 second-favourite in 2003, was pulled up on the first circuit after three significant errors. to be continued ginge

    Grand National Thread

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    Re: Grand National Thread some trends for the national

    • 8 to 12 years old
    • handicap rating above 135 on the day
    • weight of 11 stone 5lb or under
    • won over at least three miles
    • run in at least ten chases
    • won a chase worth at least £17,000
    you have to go back to 1940 to find a horse younger than 8 that as won the national In the last 87 years no horse older than 12 has won the Grand National Most recent Grand National winners ran off an offical rating of between 136 and 157 with only Bobby Jo and Little Polvier winning from "out of the handicap" Since the war only five Grand Nationals have been won by horses carrying more than 11 st 5 lbs and two of those were by the incredible Red Rum! Gay Trip (1970) was the last Grand National winner who hadn't previously won over at least three miles! Every winner in the last ten years had won a race worth at least £17,000. Each of the last 10 Grand National winners had run at least ten times over fences before the start on the big day at Aintree. In recent years Silver Birch (second in the Cross Country), Bindaree (sixth in the William Hill Chase) and Dont Push It (pulled up in the Pertemps Final) have gone on to win the Grand National after racing at Cheltenham. Many others have tried and failed.
    • Pay attention to runners from stables with a history of training good staying chasers and Grand National winners but don't place too much emphasis on this.
    • Don't be put off if your selection has an inexperienced jockey on board - Liam Treadwell for example!
    • Richard Johnson is one of the current top jump jockeys yet he has never won a Grand National!

    R.I.P BACKSPIN

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    TAKEN FROM SPORTING LIFE The very useful novice hurdler Backspin has sadly died after suffering a suspected heart attack on Tuesday night. The Jonjo O'Neill-trained six-year-old had romped to an eight-length victory in the Grade 1 Challow Hurdle at Newbury over Christmas and was fourth behind Bobs Worth in a good race at Cheltenham last time out. He had been on course to run at the Cheltenham Festival and was entered for the Supreme Novices' Hurdle and the Neptune Investment Management Novices' Hurdle. O'Neill told the Racing Post: "Unfortunately, Backspin dropped dead in his box overnight and I thought I should let everyone know with Cheltenham only days away. "We think it was probably a heart attack but obviously that is only a guess until the post mortem has been carried out." rip

    Wed 2.40 : RSA Steeple Chase

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    Re: Wed 2.40 : RSA Steeple Chase

    I think Jessies Dream is bang in there with Time for Rupert - If Realt Dubh or Noble Prince were running the irish would be lumping on after their last race - Jessie Dream beat Realt 5 lengths and Noble prince 4 lengths and also looked like winning against Mikael Du Hugeuneot even though everyone says mikael looked like he was going to win. Even though he was 2nd to magnamity it was close and it was probrably to quick a turn out after his last run the form looks good 112 and also by presenting sire so yes I think a great chance . Bags of stamina although probably a bit tired last race - bounce factor has a good break upto festival should give a good account. Only issue is lack of Cheltenham form - Whereas Time For Rupert is has got Cheltenham experience and is not short of giving a gutsy staying performance - I will be surprised if its not between these two . Jessie is the better E/W price :hope
    the thing i dont like about jessies dream is that hes not won over fences going left handed

    Fri 3.20 : totesport Cheltenham Gold Cup Steeple Chase

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    Re: Fri 3.20 : totesport Cheltenham Gold Cup Steeple Chase taken from the sporting life Paddy Brennan expects Imperial Commander to feel the benefit of his racecourse gallop as he continues the build-up to the defence of his totesport Cheltenham Gold Cup title. The 10-year-old blew away the cobwebs with a two-mile spin alongside a couple of younger stablemates at Warwick on Monday, although Brennan was reported to have been busy in the saddle. Imperial Commander has been off the track since winning the Betfair Chase at Haydock in November and Brennan believes the stiff piece of work will bring him on again. "He felt great and looked great," said the rider. "I wasn't disappointed (with the racecourse gallop), but you'd like to think there's an awful lot of improvement. "He'll have another racecourse gallop and I certainly wouldn't want to ride anything else at Cheltenham. "He loves Cheltenham, has all the form and ticks all the right boxes. "But, as everyone knows, it's never easy to win a Gold Cup." Imperial Commander is 7-2 favourite with the sponsors to land another Gold Cup.

    BBOTD 26th Febuary 2011

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    Re: BBOTD 26th Febuary 2011 :rollinQuinz - 3.00 Kempton - He is currently trading at 8-1 on Betfair and i think that is serious e/w value as i feel absolutely certain he'll finish in the first 3 and i reckon he's good enough to win. I've watched all his races today and He is a fantastic jumper, actually one of the best jumpers in the novice ranks in my opinion, which is very important in this race. Nacarat's main asset is his jumping and he looks sure to go well for a third year in a row. Quinz has to carry 11st which may seem like a lot on what he has achieved though he is a very big horse and looks the type that would carry any weight easily enough. I thought they made far too much use of him at cheltenham the last day, which set the race up for Time for Rupert. He was a well beaten 3rd that day after not quite getting home, though if you watch the closing stages again when Dickie Johnson knew he was beaten he eased of him completely and probably would have been a lot closer to 2nd had he not. Being a flat track(in comparison to cheltenham) Kempton looks sure to suit and he is guaranteed to stay the 3 miles having won twice over the distance going right handed. The ground tomorrow is forecast as good to soft which should be near enough his ideal going. Philip Hobbs has this lad entered in the national and he looks the type that could run that close in a year or two (Is a very similar type of horse in my opinion to big fella thanks who finished 3rd in a better renewal of this race two years ago). Of the opposition Fistral beach and Nacarat look the dangers. I'm not convinced by Fistral beach as to me he does not jump well enough. I backed him in this race last year where he fell, and putting that down to a once off i backed him nto, where he jumped terribly and was beaten a long way by Prince De Beauchanene. They claim to have sorted some of his problems out with a wind op but i don't see that improving his jumping enough to win this. Nacarat is nearly impossible to rule out and has been in very good form this season though i can't help feeling that if he was going to win this race twice, then he missed his chance last season as only 1 horse has won this race twice in the last 20 years, Docklands Express and he did it in consecutive years. I was quite sweet on Bakbenscher earlier this week but after watching some of his races I don't think he'll be able to cope with the pace Nacarat will set and his jumping will suffer as a result. The ground and the fact that his last run was only 13 days ago are also negatives. This trip looks to long for Hey Big Spender and he seems better in a smaller field and also has a lot of weight. So with his 4 main rivals ruled out (sort of!) i can see Quinz sitting just off the pace behind Nacarat and Hey Big Spender before pressing on 3 to stretch the field out. I have to admit that i'm slightly worried that something down the weights could collar him close home but for me he is a confident shout to win (or at least be in the first 3!) 8/1 win-15/2 w/hill

    Jumps Racing - Saturday 26th February

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    Re: Jumps Racing - Saturday 26th February Quinz - 3.00 Kempton - He is currently trading at 8-1 on Betfair and i think that is serious e/w value as i feel absolutely certain he'll finish in the first 3 and i reckon he's good enough to win. I've watched all his races today and He is a fantastic jumper, actually one of the best jumpers in the novice ranks in my opinion, which is very important in this race. Nacarat's main asset is his jumping and he looks sure to go well for a third year in a row. Quinz has to carry 11st which may seem like a lot on what he has achieved though he is a very big horse and looks the type that would carry any weight easily enough. I thought they made far too much use of him at cheltenham the last day, which set the race up for Time for Rupert. He was a well beaten 3rd that day after not quite getting home, though if you watch the closing stages again when Dickie Johnson knew he was beaten he eased of him completely and probably would have been a lot closer to 2nd had he not. Being a flat track(in comparison to cheltenham) Kempton looks sure to suit and he is guaranteed to stay the 3 miles having won twice over the distance going right handed. The ground tomorrow is forecast as good to soft which should be near enough his ideal going. Philip Hobbs has this lad entered in the national and he looks the type that could run that close in a year or two (Is a very similar type of horse in my opinion to big fella thanks who finished 3rd in a better renewal of this race two years ago). Of the opposition Fistral beach and Nacarat look the dangers. I'm not convinced by Fistral beach as to me he does not jump well enough. I backed him in this race last year where he fell, and putting that down to a once off i backed him nto, where he jumped terribly and was beaten a long way by Prince De Beauchanene. They claim to have sorted some of his problems out with a wind op but i don't see that improving his jumping enough to win this. Nacarat is nearly impossible to rule out and has been in very good form this season though i can't help feeling that if he was going to win this race twice, then he missed his chance last season as only 1 horse has won this race twice in the last 20 years, Docklands Express and he did it in consecutive years. I was quite sweet on Bakbenscher earlier this week but after watching some of his races I don't think he'll be able to cope with the pace Nacarat will set and his jumping will suffer as a result. The ground and the fact that his last run was only 13 days ago are also negatives. This trip looks to long for Hey Big Spender and he seems better in a smaller field and also has a lot of weight. So with his 4 main rivals ruled out (sort of!) i can see Quinz sitting just off the pace behind Nacarat and Hey Big Spender before pressing on 3 to stretch the field out. I have to admit that i'm slightly worried that something down the weights could collar him close home but for me he is a confident shout to win (or at least be in the first 3!) 8/1

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